Ian Pickett

Proud Rhinoceros Party supporter 🦏

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@ShahShite @MikeHalford604 This is what you probably look like

[Alex Mason 👁△ @AlexMasonCrypto]

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE AI BUBBLE WILL BREAK THE S&P 500

Read this carefully before buying stocks.

Three AI and space giants are going public at the same time with a combined valuation of $4 trillion:

SpaceX. OpenAI. Anthropic.

And most people still don’t understand what it means.

1. The biggest liquidity event ever

SpaceX just became the largest IPO in history.

$75 billion raised. $2.2T valuation.

OpenAI has already filed a confidential S-1 and is targeting a valuation of $1 trillion.

Anthropic is also moving toward a public listing at the same valuation.

That means almost $4 trillion in AI and space valuation is trying to enter the public market simultaneously.

And that money has to come from somewhere.

2. The S&P 500 is now more concentrated than most people understand.

Mag 7 and AI-related stocks make up roughly one-third of the entire index:

Nvidia. Microsoft. Google. Amazon. Meta. Apple. Tesla.

And now the largest private companies on earth are coming for the same pool of capital.

Funds do not magically create hundreds of billions in new money overnight.

They dump the market. Take profits. Free up cash.

That means the first stocks under pressure are usually the stocks that worked the best:

Nvidia. Microsoft. Google. Amazon.

The same names holding the S&P 500 together.

3. At the peak of every major market bubble, capital gets trapped in a small group of “can’t lose” companies.

The Roaring Twenties had them.

Japan’s 1980s bubble had them.

The Dot-Com Bubble had them.

Every time, investors said the same thing:

“These companies are different.” “They are too important to fall.”

Then the market broke.

Today, capital concentration in tech is once again at historical extremes.

And crowded markets do not need bad news to fall.

They only need liquidity to leave.

4. After an IPO, early investors finally get a way out.

Venture funds. Employees. Private investors. Insiders.

They can lock in profits after years of private buying.

Companies go public when public markets are willing to pay the highest price.

During the Dot-Com era, even the best companies were destroyed after the insider IPO sell-off:

Amazon: -95%

Microsoft: -65%

Intel: -80%

Oracle: -80%

Yahoo: -97%

Now the same setup is back.

And this is how the bubble feeds itself:

First, the winners carry the index. Then giants go public.

Funds sell the old winners to chase the new ones.

Insiders get liquidity.

Retail is left holding the dream.

Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.

The next call will be even more important.

When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.

Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@bryancurtis He won’t let it go! Maybe he should go over and tell each coach

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@AdamSchefter Ok I’m a bills fan now

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@RealDonKeith And here I thought Kamchatka was just a made up territory in Risk that my friends and I used to roll dice over

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@kambrice1tv Regular season Lamar is a nice player!

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@NFL_DovKleiman Mahomes and Hurts?

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@MLFootball And yet has still won zero big playoff games 💀

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@Moorelife1 The problem is Hunter probably lines up offside and it never even happens

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@DedManWak @arpan_on_BC @fr_aquilini Aqualini burner spotted

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@FAN590 @DhaliwalSports @RealKyper @jtbourne Rick is just a mouthpiece for the ownership team. Completely delusional and out of touch. The Canucks are terrible and Quinn Hughes is leaving. It’s time to reset and admit that this hasn’t worked out

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@RobTheHockeyGuy Maybe lower season tickets too. They’ve aggressively raised them since one playoff run. Fans feel squeezed by ownership. 25 dollar beers, 10 dollar buckets of popcorn. Time to start showing respect to one of the more loyal fan bases in the league.

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@AlbertBreer That ref should be suspended for that nonsense

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@LRiddickESPN So is he bad or good? Plz clarify

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@BatchHockey @Sportsnet650 Kane to Abbotsford?

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@KevinOConnor He’s got early onset Antonio brown

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@stephenasmith

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@CanucksInsider @RogersArena Did we check the ticket prices? It’s not like the owners paid for this one.

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@taj1944 Time for D and D to hang it up and be put in a home. Clueless.

[Ian Pickett @IPickettwisely]

@elitetakes_ Only started watching football once Mahomes got drafted?