One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
Today’s speech in Riyadh was the closest we’ve come to where we started from in as long as I can remember.
End the wars. End the sanctions. Embrace diplomacy. Bring our troops home. Focus on America First.
The Somali man was known to be lean, strong, & healthy.
Today, the Somali man is FAT:
• Reckless eating
• Doesn't fast except for a mandatory religious reason
• Big belly
• Manboobs
• Feminine hips & behaviours
Somali men must CHANGE or PERISH
UNFAT!
#ManDay
The Ottawa police secretly wiretapped five of its Somali officers and their family members for months, never laid any charges, and refuses to tell them why, alleges a $2.5-million lawsuit filed by the officers.
https://t.co/woK3HsgCRM
The Mexican explorer Melgar y Serrano wrote about this 8-ton head (“El Rey” / “The King”) in an 1869 issue of the Seminario Ilustrado:
“What astonished me was the Ethiopian type [Black African / negroid] representation. I reflected that there had been Negroes in this country, and that this had been in the first epoch of the world”
Archeologist Matthew Stirling wrote that the facial features “are bold and amazingly negroid in character”
SOURCE;
(Jacqueline Phillips Lathrop, “Ancient Mexico: cultural traditions in the land of the feathered serpent”)
The Smithsonian Institution's Bureau of American Ethnology Bulletin 138, noted that the Olmec appear to be "Negroid” and have "Ethiopic” features (Stirling, 1943)
Describing photographs of Olmec figurines contained in his book, von Wuthenau says, "The two Negroid heads on page 48 are quite conspicuous. They prove that this racial type can be found nearly everywhere in ancient America.”
Likewise, it should be kept in mind that Africans held positions of considerable importance in ancient American societies…
It would thus be flying in the face of truth to deny the African presence in pre-Columbian America…
Von Wuthenau comments further:—
“The Negroid element is the exception, but is well proven by the large Olmec stone monuments as well as the terracotta items and therefore cannot be excluded from pre-Columbian history of the Americas. Furthermore, it is precisely the Negroid representations which often indicate personalities of high position, who can unhesitatingly be compared to the outstanding Negroes who served as models for great works of art in Egypt and in Nigeria”
Recent discussions of the high level of culture and maritime skill of West Africans lend additional credence to the claims by Wiener, Rogers, von Wuthenau and others that Africans braved the roaring waters of the Atlantic Ocean and established relationships with native Americans more than one thousand years ago…
Harold G. Lawrence, in an article, "African
Explorers of the New World,” states emphatically:—
“We can now positively state that the Mandingos of the Mali and Songhay Empires, and possibly other Africans, crossed the Atlantic to carry on trade with the Western Hemisphere Indians and further succeeded in establishing colonies throughout the Americas."
The Olmec specialist David C. Grove wrote of a typical colossal head that:—
"The face is well modeled and heavy featured. The eyes are normally heavily lidded, the nose is broad and flaring, while the lips are frequently thick and everted. The first [of the heads] was found in 1862 at Tres Zapotes and described as 'Negroid.’”
My name is Elin. I’m no longer alive although I loved life. 🇵🇸
Israel bombed my family, I heard screams, then nothing. I was not used as a human shield, actually I was in the area they told us to evacuate to.
I will rest in peace now
12th, October, 2023
#Gaza_under_attack
#Gazagenocide
Compare & contrast! Attacking "civilian infrastructure, especially electricity, are war crimes. Cutting off men, women, children of water, electricity and heating with winter coming - these are acts of pure terror". UNLESS the attacker is Israel. Then it's NOT terror!?@?!!!
One important issue: #Hamas is recognized as a legitimate organization across the #Arab countries.
Only some Western countries consider it as a terrorist group.
🎙️🇷🇺 @RusGavrilov:
There is practically no arms control. #USA and its satellites have actually destroyed all the foundations even of those politically binding documents that were adopted in @OSCE: on #SALW, on non-transfer of weapons to conflict zones. All this is ignored.
What does Israel's occupation of Palestinians look like?
This former Israeli soldier told @dena how the Israeli army controls every aspect of Palestinians' lives.