@jeffma@RufusPeabody it’s honestly pretty wild to see Nate make comments like these, that fly in the face of everything you guys believe in terms of market efficiency
Since almost no people have the relevant expertise to build political forecasting models (it takes tons of work and even then is easy to get wrong), political betting markets are basically just a competition over what types of people suffer more from the Dunning–Kruger effect.
@iAmJ0HN3 It would be too unreasonable to ever scan and email hard copies of documents. Because that’s not how the world operates nowadays...what on earth is right