@9mmsmg We used to be on the water rowing by 6, and you'd occasionally meet people on the way out that were heading to sleep after a fun night out.
You do feel better.
@MemoryMedieval I'm surprised people don't want to see the future - it's the unknown. It's exploration. It's literally the things that makes so many people in history impressive.
@mitchellh Ignoring whether AI is a bubble or not, I think that intelligent people with resources can pivot and learn new skills far more easily than conventional wisdom suggests.
@nonregemesse Rome. I think if you define importance as "had a large, long-running (1000 year plus), and surviving influence on history, government, and culture" then the only peer would be Beijing.
@Alex_Rogov_js@dramaricic Tests, types, and a good CI/CD pipeline are as useful as ever.
I also like clearing and reviewing. Sometimes multiple times for different things.
Judging by my tl there is a growing gap in understanding of AI capability.
The first issue I think is around recency and tier of use. I think a lot of people tried the free tier of ChatGPT somewhere last year and allowed it to inform their views on AI a little too much. This is a group of reactions laughing at various quirks of the models, hallucinations, etc. Yes I also saw the viral videos of OpenAI's Advanced Voice mode fumbling simple queries like "should I drive or walk to the carwash". The thing is that these free and old/deprecated models don't reflect the capability in the latest round of state of the art agentic models of this year, especially OpenAI Codex and Claude Code.
But that brings me to the second issue. Even if people paid $200/month to use the state of the art models, a lot of the capabilities are relatively "peaky" in highly technical areas. Typical queries around search, writing, advice, etc. are *not* the domain that has made the most noticeable and dramatic strides in capability. Partly, this is due to the technical details of reinforcement learning and its use of verifiable rewards. But partly, it's also because these use cases are not sufficiently prioritized by the companies in their hillclimbing because they don't lead to as much $$$ value. The goldmines are elsewhere, and the focus comes along.
So that brings me to the second group of people, who *both* 1) pay for and use the state of the art frontier agentic models (OpenAI Codex / Claude Code) and 2) do so professionally in technical domains like programming, math and research. This group of people is subject to the highest amount of "AI Psychosis" because the recent improvements in these domains as of this year have been nothing short of staggering. When you hand a computer terminal to one of these models, you can now watch them melt programming problems that you'd normally expect to take days/weeks of work. It's this second group of people that assigns a much greater gravity to the capabilities, their slope, and various cyber-related repercussions.
TLDR the people in these two groups are speaking past each other. It really is simultaneously the case that OpenAI's free and I think slightly orphaned (?) "Advanced Voice Mode" will fumble the dumbest questions in your Instagram's reels and *at the same time*, OpenAI's highest-tier and paid Codex model will go off for 1 hour to coherently restructure an entire code base, or find and exploit vulnerabilities in computer systems. This part really works and has made dramatic strides because 2 properties: 1) these domains offer explicit reward functions that are verifiable meaning they are easily amenable to reinforcement learning training (e.g. unit tests passed yes or no, in contrast to writing, which is much harder to explicitly judge), but also 2) they are a lot more valuable in b2b settings, meaning that the biggest fraction of the team is focused on improving them. So here we are.
@pennyelizabeths Freedom units match scales that make sense (0 degrees is really cold, 100 degrees is very hot).
There is no sense of scale at drug quantities.
@sync24fps@Cobratate The patriotic impulse to lay your life on the line for your country should always be respected.
We judge an 18 year old because he understands he might die, not for his understanding of geopolitics.
@Handre Socialism is persuasive because the productive class and the wealthy class are often only tenuously related, and most visible wealth is rent seeking.
When bankers are richer than industrialists, this John Galt posturing is a larp.