@TheBTCTherapist No it's not. All recent bear markets are 12 months long (we are 4 months into it) with lower lows and lower highs. Grow up and do some research. This is normal behaviour for a bear market - 3 year bull (ended Oct) and 1 year bear (started in Oct, likely end Oct 2026)
@Vivek4real_ yeah, smart as she is, she has a track record of being OVERLY optimistic. She also sold Nvidia before they went 10x. BTC has a 4 yr cycle, up 3 years, down 1 year. We are 4 months into a 12 month bear market. History echos!
Good news, we are already 4 months into this 12 month bear markets (based on previous cycles). Only 8 to go. BUT, MSTR usually bottoms first, so that might be buying back some MSTR starting in May
So, inspite of the blood bath, we are following previous patterns very closely, just a much lower ATH than any respected source anticipated. This graph is monthly averages. If you look at previous monthly daily/candle charts there is usually a bear trap in Feb/March...
followed by lower highs and lower lows. If this melt down took you by surprise, it might be worth waiting for a bull trap partial rally to cash out more before we hit a lower low.
@NathanOnCrypto@100trillionUSD Central banks have been accumulating gold like mad in the face of inflation due to debasement. Just wait till they start to pile into bitcoin!!
@100trillionUSD@solsticemonk No trusting humans needed. You need to trust the code/tech/community. Lots of trust, it’s just decentralized and transparent.
@100trillionUSD Gold has 1000’s of years of history and trust, you can live in and rent out real estate. But there is a clear trend in your graph that it’s following up and right, but lower angle than the other assets
Here is what I’m rotating into for 2026. If things go down like previous cycles, I plan to rotate back into Crypto in Aug-Dec 2026 to be 50-60% crypto portfolio (mostly BTC)
The most reliable part of the 4 year cycle is the 12 months of bear market. Usually there is a bull trap where it touches the 50WMA a few months after the top, so it will likely get near $100k again before dropping. I’m guessing $65k by Oct 2026.
@TheBTCTherapist The most reliable part of the 4 year cycle is the 12 months of bear market. Usually there is a bull trap where it touches the 50WMA a few months after the top, so it will likely get near $100k again before dropping. I’m guessing$65k by Oct 2026.