@SamCoatesSky 45% of the vote does not mean a 55% chance of not winning. This is really bad for a pol correspondent - you’re either deliberately misleading people or utterly clueless as to how polls / elections work.
@AllyFogg I’m in the odd position of actually quite liking Burnham whilst also thinking it would be very funny if he lost his by election and the Mayor to the Greens.