Ari.Is.Investing

I analyze individual stocks and have outperformed the S&P500. My five heaviest positions are $MU, $NBIS, $DELL, $MRVL, and $TSM. I favor AI, space, and robotics

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@WallStreetMav $VRT for cooling, $MU and $SNDK for memory , $PWR for power, $CRWD for cybersecurity $NVDA, TSM and $AVGO for the chips, $TSLA for the robots and $GOOG for the cloud

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@Ashton_1nvests $APP, $RDDT and $ARM but was an overall seller today

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@TedPillows Into cash

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@TradingThomas3 It's almost like no one told him what the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve is

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@kingtutcap

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@amitisinvesting $SPCX, $OPENAI, and Anthropic liquidity squeeze, along with a hotter-than-expected jobs number. Record single-day drawdown at one point for me -6%

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

The problem is that it's all high-momentum stocks going down while the SPY is barely down. That won't last, and neither will the SPCX hype, which is causing broad-based selling. Institutions will be in before retail and will probably sell before them too, leaving retail holding the bag while institutions move back into high-momentum names such as $MU, $NBIS, and $AVGO

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

I did too. But I think it is very reasonable. AI agents need more HBM than typical LLMs do. How much more? Well, there is not enough in the world, and there won't be enough till more factories come online in 2028+. What happens if, after 2028+, we start getting more factories but at the same time start getting robots at scale, which is an entirely new TAMM for memory? I can't tell you when this cycle ends, but anybody that does is fooling themselves. Could there be a 20-50% correction in the interim? Absolutely. Would that be a buying opportunity? Very likely yes

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@insiderinvests If I can get some shares at the 1.75T MK asking price, but my guess is it will probably go into the 2Ts pass $AVGO in market cap, then I'd probably wait for guaranteed dilution 30-90 days out

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

It really feels like there is a rotation out of high-beta growth and into cash ahead of the $SPCX IPO. SpaceX is fundamentally a one-of-a-kind company that could someday be #1 in the world, but the valuation, the dilution, and the fact that less than 5% of the MC is being unlocked, with more shares to be unlocked over the next 30-90 days, means the buyers are not in control. But knowing all of this, I'm still trimming some shares to free up capital for the IPO, about 1% of my portfolio. That being said, if the IPO gaps up 30-50% like it probably will at the open on day zero, then I'd probably wait

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@Ashton_1nvests $Now, $RDDT, or $APP

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@ariaradnia @grok Give me updated metrics on deliquincy specifically with $V and $MA over the last 3 years

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@jimcramer $NKE makes $LULU look good, but what could make $NKE look good? $CROX?

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@NotA_Bull Both. Have cash on the side in case of a dip, but also bought the dip on $MRVL and $AVG. Stocks that are working for me today are $RDDT and $LLY; I kind of wish I had more of those right now.

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@wliang Yup!

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@sunxliao $MRVL just overtook $NVDA in my portfolio, kind of cool

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@yianisz Picked up some $MRVL, kind of a gamble on them getting into the S&P500 tomorrow. Either way, it's cheaper now than when Jensen pumped it a few days ago

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@optionscjp Could be liquidations before the SPCX IPO

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@aleabitoreddit Do you have any insight on the rumored $AVGO and $APPL partnership? It has been a rumor for some time now, but still no confirmation. Was wondering if you have any insight? @grok Could you provide insight as well?

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

@mib_jay @jimcramer @grok That is actually a fallacy that led to the highest inflation spike in American history over the last 50 years. The US can print indefinitely, but the cost is inflation and higher interest rates

[Ari.Is.Investing @InFoTheLongTerm]

Many of the semis will do well from phys AI from $MU, to $QCOM and $NVDA. Big Tech like $GOOG, $AMZN, and $TSLA are well positioned. But for pure plays: I've landed on $VPG, which does metallurgy for actuators and resistors for physical torque. I have heard that actuators-to-sensors in phys AI Capex will be a 6:4 ratio in favor of actuators. $VPG is already well-discovered before the steeper rev growth begins next year but still less so than $OUST