Just finished putting together a new trailer for The Innovation Podcast.
https://t.co/9dqZnEduMg
Given yesterday's news about the likely viral origin of MS -- via EBV -- I'm lucky my first full episode will be an interview with a proponent of the viral hypothesis of Alzheimers.
Books found in Michael Jackson's possession during a raid on Neverland. One bears MJ's inscription: “Look at the true spirit of happiness & joy in these boys’ faces, this is the spirit of boyhood...MJ"
Check out the authors 👇
https://t.co/sfsZ6y6cD9
This the most compelling narrative of Michael Jackson's crimes and the campaign to whitewash his reputation ever written. By @AndrewHammel1 for @quillette
https://t.co/sfsZ6y6cD9
You’re lying, either to yourself, to us, or both. Many things cause cancer. The introduction of the mRNA shots in 2021 unleashed an unprecedented wave. You and other doctors need to come clean. People have an absolute right to know what was done to them. Remember your oath.
@enumerate14 @CpaFogle8004 @CaitlinPacific The executioner saw the gun being taken -- it happened right in front of him -- then went around Pretti to get an angle and executed him.
I study authoritarianism for a living, so I do not say this lightly: America isn't facing an authoritarian future. America is living an authoritarian present.
(A long 🧵)
/1
And then there are protests. We have forgotten what they are.
Let me say something almost no one will tell you. And I am sure I will be lambasted for saying this as I have never heard it said to me explicitly:
There are really no such things as peaceful protests. A protest works because of a show of power which can be converted to a riot, uprising, lynching, or even a revolution.
Every group chanting in the streets is one toggle switch off of being a mob.
No one knows who has a gun. Police are often outnumbered and reliant on their training, camradare and weapons.
So my avuncular advice to those of you who have never yet gone to Kent State or Soweto Township or Peekskill New York: don’t be naive.
I am not saying don’t protest. Quite the opposite.
I’m saying study what protests are. Why they work. Realize that Gandhi was explicitly pro-violence and actively hated passivists with a passion that burned. I’m not insane. Look it up.
Don’t get played out there. This is a revolution I never wanted to happen and of which I would want no part given the choice. Charlie Kirk fell to it. As did this 37 year old. As nearly did Donald Trump.
It will kill more of us. Those stoking it from America First militants and Groypers to the Ultra Woke are profiting from it. But we will all get sucked in to varying degrees. Myself included.
So I am not going to be naive and say “Stay Safe out There!” to my fellow Americans.
I’m going to say I love you and know what you are getting yourself into: a low grade revolution grinding for nearly a decade now. May the best parts of your hopes for our country be worth the risks you are taking, and may you be conscious of them and manage them wisely to make our nation better.
And if you don’t understand the above, may you have the good fortune to be able to stay home until you better understand the forces around you that would sacrifice your life to make a point without a second thought.
Either way: Good luck.
I want to again bring attention to James Alex Fields. in 2017 a violent mob of antifa members (terrorists) attacked his car, so he feared for his life and accelerated. An obese woman died of a heart attack after contact. For that, he received 2 life sentences + 419 years.
An antifa professor named Dwayne Dixon, who has now fled the country to avoid the FBI’s investigation of antifa terrorism, literally admitted to chasing James with a firearm. Dixon was also charged with two misdemeanors during a different event, one of which was “going armed to the terror of people.”
Liberals jeered as Fields was sentenced to TWO LIFE SENTENCES PLUS 419 YEARS IN PRISON for accelerating his car in an attempt to escape a violent mob which was bearing down on it, and actively attacking his car in an attempt to get at him. Leftists were literally brandishing firearms at him, and he was sentenced to prison for trying to escape.
And now that an ICE officer shoots and kills a woman who was trying to run him over and kill him, the left is suddenly pretending that attacking people with a car isn’t a real threat. Because it’s only a real threat when a Right Winger bumps a fat woman with his car, and she dies — HOURS LATER — of a heart attack. When radical leftists like Hasan incite the murder of conservatives and conservative politicians, and then try to literally murder law enforcement, apparently it just doesn’t matter.
But the average person is demonstrably biased.
Does NOT think well.
@CBSEveningNews, thanks to @bariweiss, is now in the business of telling people what they want to hear.
P.S. As for the truth?
"On too many stories, the press has missed the story. Because we've taken into account the perspective of advocates and not the average American. Or we put too much weight in the analysis of academics or elites, and not enough on you."
That changes now. The new CBS Evening News starts Monday at 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS.
It's not that new Alzheimer's drugs don't WORK.
They just don't do any GOOD.
"...treatment with semaglutide resulted in improvement of Alzheimer’s disease-related biomarkers... in two separate trials, this did not translate into a delay of disease..."
https://t.co/uM1NrmoChp
As a survivor of the Catholic sex abuse crisis, I'm living "When Prophecy Fails."
Most of the people I know are aware of my story and remain Catholic.
It may be that the Chicago group wasn't sufficiently invested.
Unlike Catholics.
The fall of "When prophecies fail": Another social psychology classic turns out to be based on fabrications and lies.
In 1954, Dorothy Martin predicted an apocalyptic flood and promised her followers rescue by flying saucers. In “When Prophecy Fails “ (1956), the now-canonical account of the event, Festinger, Riecken and Schachter claimed that the group doubled down on its beliefs and began recruiting—evidence, the authors argued, of a new psychological mechanism, cognitive dissonance.
When Prophecy Fails is one of the most influential case studies in 20th-century social science. It shaped popular understandings of how belief survives disconfirmation, and became a touchstone for explaining the origins of religious movements...
But the case was misrepresented. The cult did not persist, proselytize, or reinterpret its failure as a spiritual triumph. Its leader recanted, the group disbanded, and belief dissolved. Drawing on newly unsealed archival material, this article demonstrates that the book's central claims are false, and that the authors knew they were false. The documents reveal that the group actively proselytized well before the prophecy failed and quickly abandoned their beliefs afterward.
They also expose serious ethical violations by the researchers. The newly unsealed Box 4 of papers contain transcripts, telephone logs, research notes, channeled messages, and internal communications among the researchers. Collectively, they reveal serious ethical breaches: fabrications, covert manipulation, and at least one instance of interference with a child welfare investigation.
One coauthor, Henry Riecken, posed as a spiritual authority and later admitted he had “precipitated” the climactic events of the study. This article shows that the authors of When Prophecy Fails misled their readers—and that scholars in psychology, sociology, and religious studies have been building theories atop a collapsed foundation.
The full scope and variety of the misrepresentations and misconduct of the researchers needed the unsealed archives of Festinger to emerge, the full story could not be written until now. Every major claim of the book is false, and the researchers’ notes leave no option but to conclude the misrepresentations were intentional.
@GusHurwitz@asymmetricinfo As a survivor of the Catholic sex abuse crisis, I'm living "When Prophecy Fails."
Most of the people I know are aware of my story and remain Catholic.
It may be that the Chicago group wasn't sufficiently invested.
Unlike Catholics.
@asymmetricinfo As a survivor of the Catholic sex abuse crisis, I'm living "When Prophecy Fails."
Most of the people I know are aware of my story and remain Catholic.
It may be that the Chicago group wasn't sufficiently invested.
Unlike Catholics.
@NickLongrich@asymmetricinfo As a survivor of the Catholic sex abuse crisis, I'm living "When Prophecy Fails."
Most of the people I know are aware of my story and remain Catholic.
It may be that the Chicago group wasn't sufficiently invested.
Unlike Catholics.
While I take some of the points, as a survivor of the Catholic sex abuse crisis -- all of my family knows of my experience and a small percentage have LEFT the church, but most have STAYED -- I believe there's some truth to WPF.
Having to do with the level of commitment?
The fall of "When prophecies fail": Another social psychology classic turns out to be based on fabrications and lies.
In 1954, Dorothy Martin predicted an apocalyptic flood and promised her followers rescue by flying saucers. In “When Prophecy Fails “ (1956), the now-canonical account of the event, Festinger, Riecken and Schachter claimed that the group doubled down on its beliefs and began recruiting—evidence, the authors argued, of a new psychological mechanism, cognitive dissonance.
When Prophecy Fails is one of the most influential case studies in 20th-century social science. It shaped popular understandings of how belief survives disconfirmation, and became a touchstone for explaining the origins of religious movements...
But the case was misrepresented. The cult did not persist, proselytize, or reinterpret its failure as a spiritual triumph. Its leader recanted, the group disbanded, and belief dissolved. Drawing on newly unsealed archival material, this article demonstrates that the book's central claims are false, and that the authors knew they were false. The documents reveal that the group actively proselytized well before the prophecy failed and quickly abandoned their beliefs afterward.
They also expose serious ethical violations by the researchers. The newly unsealed Box 4 of papers contain transcripts, telephone logs, research notes, channeled messages, and internal communications among the researchers. Collectively, they reveal serious ethical breaches: fabrications, covert manipulation, and at least one instance of interference with a child welfare investigation.
One coauthor, Henry Riecken, posed as a spiritual authority and later admitted he had “precipitated” the climactic events of the study. This article shows that the authors of When Prophecy Fails misled their readers—and that scholars in psychology, sociology, and religious studies have been building theories atop a collapsed foundation.
The full scope and variety of the misrepresentations and misconduct of the researchers needed the unsealed archives of Festinger to emerge, the full story could not be written until now. Every major claim of the book is false, and the researchers’ notes leave no option but to conclude the misrepresentations were intentional.
@DavidSartor0@ArthurKolchak@PTetlock@StefanFSchubert It's a devastating critique.
But what's weird is Catholics, in the aftermath of the sex abuse crisis, are acting EXACTLY as predicted by FRS in "When Prophecy Fails."
How to square the circle?
(I'd start with the investment differences between Martin's group and Catholics.)