InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz

Professional Futures Trader #CoTReport | Twice 3rd in the World Cup Championship of Futures Trading® | Personal Trading Account 1,5 Mio $ | Learn more 👇

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

Feeder Cattle – Possible Bear Trap

I’m coming back to Feeder Cattle once again. The break below support was quickly bought back, suggesting that the long setup — and the potential bear trap — may finally be starting to work.#FeederCattle #GF #CattleFutures #Livestock #FuturesTrading #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #BearTrap #CME

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

Copper $HG: bullish fundamentals, crowded positioning.

China imports hit a 9-month high; SHFE stocks are down more than 80% from March, LME stocks fell 24%, and the Yangshan premium is near $100/t.

COT signals work best when aligned with the prevailing trend. A confirmed breakout to new highs could create strong upside asymmetry—but crowded positioning also raises shakeout risk.

#HG #Copper #CopperFutures #COT #Commodities #FuturesTrading

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

What mattered last week:

• Crude fell and bonds rallied — yet stocks still sold off.
• Strong earnings failed to lift AI and chip stocks.
• Great fundamental story, weak tape.
• Yen shorts are getting crowded again.
• CAD may work if oil stabilizes and the USD weakens.

When good news stops working, pay attention.

First reply

Fresh COT data and positioning breakdown:
https://t.co/TkvkepkRp5
Which markets show the most asymmetric positioning right now?

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

Cotton Weather Market: The Risk Is Still in Texas

Cotton is turning into a weather-driven market again.

The latest USDA crop data shows U.S. cotton condition slipping, with only 45% rated good/excellent. Texas — the largest U.S. cotton state — is much weaker, with only 30% good/excellent and 28% poor/very poor.

That matters because the crop is now moving through a sensitive stage: squaring, blooming, and setting bolls.

This is where weather stops being “background noise” and becomes a yield factor.

Texas conditions are mixed. Some regions received good rains and improved. But the Panhandle and South Plains remain the real concern: patchy rainfall, declining subsoil moisture, extreme heat, and higher water demand as cotton reaches first flower.

NOAA’s 6–10 day outlook keeps the risk alive: above-normal temperatures across the cotton belt, with below-normal precipitation favored in parts of the Southern Plains.

For cotton futures, this does not mean “buy blindly.”

But it does mean the weather premium is not dead.

If heat continues and rains miss the dryland areas, the market can start pricing lower yield and higher abandonment risk.

That is why I am still willing to give cotton another chance.

Not because the chart is perfect.
Not because the trade is obvious.
But because the fundamental weather risk is still there — and if price starts to confirm again, cotton could become interesting for a new attempt.

In commodities, patience matters.

Sometimes the first setup fails.
But if the weather story remains alive and the market gives a new technical trigger, the second attempt can be the one that works.

#Cotton #CottonFutures #Commodities #FuturesTrading #WeatherMarkets #AgWeather #TexasCotton #SoftCommodities #USDA #NOAA #RiskManagement #TradingProcess #CommodityTrading

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

The US Dollar Is Trying to Regain Control

We are once again seeing an attempt by the US dollar to recover.

On the daily chart, the US Dollar Index is forming a small consolidation that resembles a flag following the recent advance. Price remains above the previous resistance zone and close to the rising 18-day moving average.

The next bullish leg has not yet been confirmed. However, an upside breakout from this structure could indicate that the dollar recovery is ready to continue.

This matters for every position currently held against the US dollar.

British Pound

A small Head and Shoulders structure had formed in the British pound.

The market attempted to break out, but the move failed to produce convincing follow-through. Price quickly returned toward the 18 MA, weakening the original bullish scenario.

A failed breakout does not automatically mean an immediate reversal lower. But when a market receives a good technical signal and cannot develop momentum, expectations should be reduced.

A genuinely strong market usually does not make us wait long for follow-through.

New Zealand Dollar

My New Zealand dollar position also appears to be under increasing pressure.

6N had previously shown stronger relative performance than both the Australian and Canadian dollars. It recovered more aggressively, moved above the 18 MA, and held above its longer-term support line.

Momentum is now beginning to slow. If the US dollar continues to strengthen, the New Zealand dollar may return toward the breakout area and the moving average.

That does not mean a position should be closed simply because of fear. Risk must still be managed according to the original trading plan.

The Main Trading Lesson

A good chart pattern does not guarantee a profitable trade.

We can identify the direction correctly, find a strong setup, and still take a loss. The market is under no obligation to confirm our analysis.

The trader’s job is not to prove that the analysis was correct.

The job is to respond correctly to every possible outcome:

If the market confirms the idea, hold the position.
If follow-through is missing, reduce risk.
If the structure fails, exit.
If a new signal develops later, re-enter without hesitation.

A good process does not guarantee a profit on every trade. It ensures that one incorrect idea does not destroy the overall result.

We cannot control the direction of the market.

We can only control our risk, execution, and discipline.
#FuturesTrading #CurrencyFutures #USDX #GBPUSD #NZDUSD #RiskManagement

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

https://t.co/ujynZXBnw8

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

🌾 Markets I’m watching now

Right now, commodities are not moving from one single factor. The main driver is a mix of weather, geopolitics, seasonality, and fundamentals.

For me, several markets deserve close attention.

🌽 European Corn / Euronext Maize
This is probably the strongest weather-driven market right now. Drought and heat in Western Europe are putting pressure on corn crops, especially in France and Spain. The market has already moved well to the upside, so I do not want to chase it. I would rather wait for a new base, a pullback, or another clean setup.

🌾 Wheat
Wheat has a strong fundamental background: geopolitics, supply risks, Ukraine-related uncertainty, and tight global balance. But the market has already moved. I do not want to buy emotions or headlines. I need a proper technical entry.

🌽 US Corn / Soybeans
There are dry areas in the U.S. Corn Belt, but for now it does not look like a major drought disaster. Some rain is also expected, so confidence is lower here. I keep these markets on the watchlist, but I want to see stronger heat and dryness across a larger part of the Midwest.

🧵 Cotton
Cotton could become interesting later this summer. The key factors are drought in Texas and the risk of a weaker Indian monsoon. If these conditions get worse, cotton could receive support again.

🍬 Sugar
Sugar remains a waiting market. The main risk is a weaker Indian monsoon and the El Niño factor. There is not much momentum yet, but if weather conditions deteriorate, this market can wake up quickly.

☕ Coffee
Coffee remains volatile. There is pressure from the Brazilian harvest, but also weather risks in Brazil and Vietnam. For me, this is not a high-conviction directional market right now. It is more suitable for quick trades from clear levels.

🍫 Cocoa
Cocoa is mixed at the moment, but it stays on my watchlist. If wet weather returns to West Africa and crop disease risks increase again, the bullish scenario could come back.

🔥 Natural Gas
Natural gas looks more bearish to me. There is no sustained heat in the eastern U.S., inventories are high, and weather demand is weak. This is one of the clearer bearish weather setups right now.

Bottom line:
The most interesting markets on my radar are European Corn, Natural Gas, Cotton, Sugar, and Cocoa.

The main point: I do not want to trade headlines. I want to see fundamentals, weather, COT/positioning, and the chart all pointing in the same direction. That is when a real trading edge can appear.

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

I spent years thinking that better trading meant predicting markets more accurately.

It doesn’t.

Better trading means following the same risk process after a winner, a loser, or a missed trade.

The market controls the outcome. I control selection, sizing, execution, and discipline.👇https://t.co/pOh3OAOwCe

[Coach AJ 🎯 Mental Fitness @coachajkings]

Steve Nash explains what it really means to have a process over outcome mindset.

Everyone wants to win. That's not the problem.

The problem is that most people think about winning at exactly the wrong moment.

"Is winning easy? No. Don't get fooled. Winning is not easy. Expect the unexpected. Expect something you don't expect right around the corner."

📌Nash isn't talking about talent. He's talking about attention. Because the moment you start thinking about the scoreboard - you stop doing the things that put you on it.

"Process over outcome. Do not worry about the outcome. The outcome is winning. Do not worry about winning. Winning takes care of itself."

Read that again slowly.

Winning takes care of itself.

The best performers in the world have figured out that outcomes are lagging indicators. They show up after the work - not during it.

"The process is what wins. The process is what wins."

He said it twice on purpose.

"You're feeling a little bit of pressure - how do we stay winning? Throw all that away. What do I have to do right now, today? How am I gonna give it the best day I can give it?"

📌The outcome is a destination. The process is the vehicle. Most teams lose focus chasing what they want. The great ones stay locked in on what they can control - the next rep, the next possession, the next decision.
(🎥 @ASUFootball)

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

One thing caught my attention this week:

Strong results from ASML and TSMC failed to stabilize the broader semiconductor sector.

Nasdaq is selling off despite cooling inflation and solid earnings, while several former leaders are already down 25–30%.

The Nasdaq has also lost its 50-day moving average.

Is this just a reset after an overheated run—or the start of a deeper correction?

I’m watching the next rebound closely.

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

Fresh COT data is out.

I’m starting my weekly routine: reviewing positioning, updating my watchlist, and looking for potential trade ideas for the week ahead.

View the latest COT report here: https://t.co/IRVTz7LHhf

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

It’s been a while.

I’ve decided to bring this account back and start sharing my work on the commodity markets again.

We’ll talk futures, risk, weather, seasonality, spreads, positioning, and the price structures I’m watching.

No hype. Just real market observations and the trading process behind them.

Good to be back.

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

🌾 Grain Futures Outlook – A Decisive Week Ahead 🌾

Last week’s USDA WASDE report brought volatility to corn, soybeans & wheat. This week, markets may set new trend directions:

🌽 Corn (Dec ’25):
Bulls pushed back after USDA’s record crop forecast. Strong export demand + weaker USD provide support. Watch the Pro Farmer Crop Tour for key signals.

🌱 Soybeans (Nov ’25):
Rally continues. Lower stocks & production forecasts + record NOPA crush data add momentum. Risk remains: weak Chinese buying despite extended tariff truce.

🌾 Wheat (Dec ’25):
Still weak with new contract lows. Global ending stocks cut to a 10-year low, but short-term sentiment follows corn & soybeans. Potential rebound once US harvest pressure fades.

📊 Takeaway:
Corn seeks a seasonal bottom, soybeans are gaining momentum, and wheat lags despite bullish fundamentals. Weather, exports & Crop Tour data will be decisive.

#Futures #Commodities #Trading #Corn #Soybeans #Wheat #Agriculture #USDA #WASDE

No investment advice, for informational purposes only.

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

📈 Cocoa: Comeback or Start of a Bigger Move?

After months of price declines, cocoa futures are bouncing back sharply – up +4.56% in New York and +3.80% in London. The drivers? Slower exports from Ivory Coast, quality issues in the mid-crop, and signs of short covering by funds.

Still, the fundamentals remain tight: Inventories are building, demand is weakening – especially in Europe and Asia. Yet the 2023/24 deficit is the largest in over 60 years, and stock-to-use ratios are at multi-decade lows.

📊 The big question: Is this just a technical rebound – or the beginning of a longer-term uptrend?
For strategic commodity investors, cocoa should now be firmly on the radar.

👉 Check out our Commodity Map for key growing regions & more market insights.

#Cocoa #Futures #Commodities #InsiderWeek #MaxSchulz #Softs #Trading #RawMaterials #COT #Macro

No Investment Advice

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

📈 Live Cattle at record highs – trend continuation or turning point?

Tight supplies, strong cash market & positive basis suggest further upside potential.
But technicals show overbought conditions – sharp corrections often follow strong commodity rallies.

👀 Key focus: USDA cattle inventory report this Friday.
A surprise here could shift market dynamics significantly.

Traders should stay alert – the next move could be decisive.

#LiveCattle #FuturesTrading #AgMarkets #CattleMarket #Commodities #InsiderWeek #Seasonality #USDA

No Investment Advice

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

📈 Partial Profit in Micro Bitcoin Trade – $8,591 Realized

I opened this trade with 44 contracts –
and today I closed half of them (22 contracts) with profit.
I’m still holding the remaining 22 contracts.
👉 The entry was based on #cotreport signal – executed as always, according to plan.

I had already analyzed this market in my latest Sunday video on YouTube
and transparently announced the trade in the Trader Channel.

💬 Since 2016, I’ve been announcing every single trade in advance –
to provide 100% transparency for my community.

📊 Since then, the account has grown from $200,000 to $1,500,000.
My next goal: $10,000,000 – and I’m taking you with me on this journey.

➡️ Learn more about my strategy and trades at:
🌐 https://t.co/XWqtxT6iow

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

Market_of_the_Week | #Silver (Comex Silver, #SI)

🔎 Market Overview:
In the weekly chart of silver (SI), the price has finally broken out of the long-standing rectangular consolidation between 2988 and 3481.
Notably, for the past five weeks, a new base has been forming just above the previous range.
After such a breakout, it’s crucial to watch whether the price can hold above the breakout level and whether a real impulse follows.
For now, it looks like the “calm before the storm” – a strong move has yet to materialize.
The projected chart target at 4039 remains valid.

📉 Daily Chart:
On the daily timeframe, we saw an attempted breakout above the 3736 level –
but price quickly fell back into the range.
This suggests that larger market participants are still cautious, with signs of careful accumulation underway.

⚡️ What’s next?
Silver is shaping up to be an exciting candidate for active trading next week.
If the market holds the current base and doesn’t drop below 3391 (key weekly support),
there’s still potential for acceleration toward the upside.
A breakout above 3736–3750 on the daily chart could trigger stop orders
and ignite a fresh impulse move.

💡 Discussion Question for the Community:
What do you think – does the market have enough momentum to break through 4039 this month,
or is one more pause needed before the next move?
Let’s discuss – how do you trade setups like this?
👇 Looking forward to your thoughts in the comments!

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

🚨 My copper trade hit big after Trump’s tariff news – +23,974 profit! 💥

Trump announced a 50% import tariff on copper – triggering the strongest one-day price rally in copper history.

I had announced the trade yesterday (COT2 strategy) – got triggered today right on plan.
🎯 Target hit quickly.
💰 Profit: +23,974

#Trading #Copper #COTStrategy #Futures #PlannedTrading #Trump #MarketReaction #Investing #MaxSchulz #InsiderWeek

No investment advice.

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

💡 #Gold (#GC)

The chart shows a very clean consolidation within a triangle. The price is respecting the boundaries, and the reaction to the lower trendline looks convincing. Today’s upward move confirms buying interest.

🧠 Why this idea?
— Well-defined boundaries
— Holding key support
— Potential breakout to the upside (trend continuation pattern)

⚠️ Caution — this is not an entry!
I’m simply highlighting an interesting market where we might get an entry soon.
I don’t jump into a market once the move has already started. I will observe: If the price remains within the current range over the next few days, Gold may very well be part of next week’s trading plans.

📌 Reminder: It’s better to trade trend continuation patterns than reversals. They tend to deliver faster and more predictable moves.

Happy Trading,
Max

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

Every week, same routine: First I analyze the #COTdata, then I implement the trade based on my analysis. Consistency in process leads to better #trading outcomes. 📊📈 #CHF

[InsiderWeek Commodities Trading with Max Schulz @InsiderWeek]

🛢️ Oil Market in Flux – Is Another Price Drop Coming?

After a geopolitical price surge, crude oil lost double digits last week. The ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah eases the risk premium – but the real driver runs deeper.

🔎 Structural shifts underway:

🇺🇸 US production at record highs
🛢️ OPEC+ easing output cuts from July
📉 Demand barely growing – IEA forecasts just +0.8%
⚡ Renewables & e-mobility cutting oil’s relevance

📉 Result: Growing oversupply.
📊 3 scenarios for the coming weeks:
1️⃣ Bearish baseline: Prices slide toward $68–70
2️⃣ Volatility: Geopolitical shocks persist but get quickly priced out
3️⃣ Recovery: Surprise demand boosts could temporarily stabilize prices

📌 Bottom line: Upside is limited. The oil market may structurally reshape in 2025 – with big impacts for consumers, energy firms, and traders alike.

No Investment Advice.