Complex Adaptive Systems=Decentralize=Adapt.
OODA
Otis Rush
To all post modern Jacobins: "Had you stopped at Classical Liberalism, everything would be jake"
A lifelong black resident of DC reacts to the restored fountains and pool at Meridian Hill Park.
“I’m here at Malcolm X Park, and let me tell you it’s beautiful. It used to be so dark, sad, and melancholy. Now we have a ton of people picnicking. It’s never been this lively.”
A lifelong black resident of DC reacts to the restored fountains and pool at Meridian Hill Park.
“I’m here at Malcolm X Park, and let me tell you it’s beautiful. It used to be so dark, sad, and melancholy. Now we have a ton of people picnicking. It’s never been this lively.”
@the_jefferymead@zellieimani If Karmelo were to walk, his next victim will be black
Recidivism math, especially for violent crime, does not favor him and racial math - intraracial crime - will not favor black folks
@christopherrufo Living Room Electioneering
Ballot harvesting is a massive electioneering scheme
And electioneering should be the basis for laws against ballot harvesting
THE FORMULAS
WHAT THEY MEAN AND WHY THEY MATTER
I derived four deterministic linear formulas from the ballot drop data:
Raman% = 27.87 + (3.19 × drop number)
Pratt% = 22.05 - (1.17 × drop number)
Bass% = 40.20 - (1.86 × drop number)
Other% = 9.88 - (0.16 × drop number)
The Starting Points
The constants - 27.87, 22.05, 40.20, 9.88 - represent each candidate’s baseline. Where they genuinely stood when post-election counting began. Real votes. Organic support. These are the numbers before anything unusual occurs.
The Slopes - How the Formula Runs
The slope is the increment applied to each candidate every single drop. It gets multiplied by drop number - 1, 2, 3, 4 - which means the effect escalates automatically with each drop.
So for Raman it isn’t just plus 3.19% every drop. It’s:
Drop 1: 27.87 + (3.19 × 1) = 31.06%
Drop 2: 27.87 + (3.19 × 2) = 34.25%
Drop 3: 27.87 + (3.19 × 3) = 37.44%
Drop 4: 27.87 + (3.19 × 4) = 40.63%
Drop 5 predicted: 27.87 + (3.19 × 5) = 43.82%
Each drop pushes her further from her baseline. It is built in. Automatic by design.
The slopes also sum to exactly zero.
+3.19 - 1.17 - 1.86 - 0.16 = 0.00
Every percentage point Raman gains comes precisely from the other three candidates/groups combined. This is a closed system. Conservation of votes. The formula doesn’t create votes - it redistributes them.
The R Values - The results were remarkable
To validate these formulas I ran linear regression analysis. The Pearson correlation coefficients, R values, came back as follows:
Raman vs Pratt: R = 0.9966
Raman vs Bass: R = 0.9934
Raman vs Batch: R = 0.9984
Raman vs Other: R = 0.9794
R values measure how perfectly data fits a straight line. They run from 0 to 1.
0 means completely random.
No pattern whatsoever.
1 means a perfect straight line.
Every point exactly where predicted.
For context:
0.70 is considered strong in social science research.
0.85 gets researchers excited.
0.90+ is extraordinarily rare in human behavioral data.
Squaring them to get R² values:
Raman vs Pratt: R² = 0.9932
Raman vs Bass: R² = 0.9869
Raman vs Other: R² = 0.9592
Raman vs Batch: R² = 0.9968
That last number, 0.9968, means that 99.68% of Raman’s vote share movement across these drops is explained by a single variable. Drop number. Nothing else. Just counting to five.
You get R values like that in physics experiments. In controlled laboratory conditions. Measuring the expansion of metal under heat. Not in elections. Not in a major American city with millions of diverse voters casting ballots across weeks.
The Slope Relationship
The slope of 3.110 between Raman and Pratt is particularly significant.
It means for every percentage point Pratt lost Raman gained 3.110 points. Every drop. Without variation. Without noise.
Candidates in a democratic election don’t move in mathematical opposition to each other at a fixed ratio across 200,000 ballots. Four variables in an equation do.
Why The Shutoff Had To Exist
Because drop number keeps increasing, the formula keeps pushing percentages further from baseline. Left unchecked by drop 7 the math produces:
Raman: 27.87 + (3.19 × 7) = 50.2%
Pratt: 22.05 - (1.17 × 7) = 13.9%
Bass: 40.20 - (1.86 × 7) = 27.2%
So the formula was never intended to run to completion. It was designed to run until a specific objective was achieved, Raman leading Pratt by a sufficient margin to secure the runoff and then stop.
The stopping condition appears to have been triggered at approximately 38,000 votes into drop 5. The precise moment Raman crossed 3,000 votes ahead of Pratt.
After that point the remaining 9,800 votes in drop 5 distributed at approximately the baseline that existed after drop four.
The formula completed its task. Then it stopped. And the numbers went back to looking normal.
@LawyerDave1@postmaster3000@IDoDeclare83@Susan_Shelley@grok More Soros NGO funding & volunteering willfully processed by "clerks"
Can't be proven. Can't be disproven. Can't be subject to observation or video surveillance. Similar to hand delivered ballots back dated with a signature
Bye Dave. Happy lawyering
https://t.co/qEwSfsvCwx
Hypothetically yes it is possible in California. Voter registration relies on self-attestation of U.S. citizenship under penalty of perjury with no documentary proof required in standard cases. California does not require any ID photo or otherwise to vote at polls in most situations and mail ballots use signature verification.
A gym membership card is irrelevant since no ID is typically checked. Non-citizens registering or voting in state or federal elections is illegal and a felony but the process depends on honest attestation rather than real-time citizenship verification for every applicant. Certain local school board elections in places like San Francisco allow eligible non-citizens via separate registration.
@LawyerDave1@Susan_Shelley@IDoDeclare83@grok is it possible for a non citizen with a gym membership card who attests that they are a citizen on their registration form (committing perjury) to vote in a California election? Hypothetically, is it possible?
@LawyerDave1@postmaster3000@IDoDeclare83@Susan_Shelley@grok "But now there's no need for ballots at all."
No, ballots & elections are required to preserve the veneer of legitimacy. Ask Stalin or Napoleon
Just as Medical officials & offices & codes are required to preserve legitimacy in LA county's massive medical fraud
@LawyerDave1@postmaster3000@IDoDeclare83@Susan_Shelley@grok "now it's a conspiracy of county employees rather than just an NGO fraudster"
Fraudsters, plural
We can check in on how California has ameliorated the observation & challenge process or simply use common sense that a fraudster is not going to fraud in sunlight
@LawyerDave1@postmaster3000@IDoDeclare83@Susan_Shelley@grok For the umpteenth time, a fraudster could care less about the code & is obliged by further code to help her fraud, one of which is never being able to prove or disprove when hand delivered ballots were actually delivered
@LawyerDave1@postmaster3000@IDoDeclare83@Susan_Shelley@grok "now it's a conspiracy of county employees rather than just an NGO fraudster"
Fraudsters, plural
We can check in on how California has ameliorated the observation & challenge process or simply use common sense that a fraudster is not going to fraud in sunlight
@LawyerDave1@postmaster3000@IDoDeclare83@Susan_Shelley@grok Gawd you're dumb
That a hand delivered ballot doesn't have a postmark is the point
As such you have no way of knowing when it was hand delivered & therefore someone intent on fraud - who doesn't care about your code - may fraud with impunity