@CrabtreeEdmond @KallumPickering Democrats will likely be in power by the time the next election comes around. Reform’s enemy is time… They need an election sooner rather than later, and in all likelihood they are going to have to wait until May 2029
@RobertTimper1@Frencheconomics On what planet is Reform who have vowed to tear up our Brexit deal and leave the ECHR, the Tories too are in favour of the latter, ‘centre-right’ 🤔. The hard right is just as bad as the hard left, and until both are marginalized, this country will not be able to progress
@Frencheconomics On what planet is Reform who have vowed to tear up our Brexit deal and leave the ECHR, the Tories too are in favour of the latter, ‘centre-right’ 🤔. The hard right is just as bad as the hard left, and until both are marginalized, this country will not be able to progress
@Frencheconomics@RobertJenrick What you fail to mention is Reform’s flagship pledges of leaving the ECHR and tearing up our Brexit deal. No point analysing their other economic policies when those two policies would cause gilt yields to spike, untold economic damage, and put peace in NI at great risk
@bigpicturepol@Frencheconomics Ultimately the gilt market will always have the final say over what can and cannot be done whoever the electorate vote for. No point trying to defy it, because the loser always ends up being the man in the street
@bigpicturepol@Frencheconomics Until as a nation we can have a mature and honest discussion about how we want to move forward, acknowledging the need for trade-offs and compromises, we won’t progress. We can’t forever live beyond our means or think there are easy answers to complex questions
@bigpicturepol@Frencheconomics True, but none of the alternatives on the left or right would be better than Starmer and Reeves. The market likes these two as they are predictable and the sums add up. We need stability, not yet another change of PM which would end up leaving the average person even worse off
@Frencheconomics@bigpicturepol What you correctly identify is that the economy is not in as bad shape as made out, and as long as no leadership challenge is triggered, it will continue to improve
@Frencheconomics@bigpicturepol The media need to stop referring to the likes of Rayner as ‘soft left’. That should be reserved for the likes of Starmer
@holygraileth@Frencheconomics Yup, and take a gilt rate sensitive stock like Phoenix Group which I hold, which was up on the day trading at 739, following the Burnham rumours it went down to an intra-day low of 718, before recovering a bit to end the day at 724.50. The timing of the fall was not coincidental
@GibbersQS @FrankRockFiegel @afneil Too many in the UK want their cake and eat it. We can’t continue to live beyond our means indefinitely. Hard choices will have to be made sooner rather than later.
@GibbersQS @FrankRockFiegel @afneil Scrapping the triple lock is a good suggestion, but again politically Labour would be hammered by the right-wing press if they tried to do that. What we lack as a nation is the ability to have a mature debate about the situation we find ourselves in and the required trade-offs.
@RoyLivingstone6@afneil He certainly would. At least if he makes a statement like this, he should at the very least tell everyone how he thinks it should be funded
@afneil Those on the hard left need to realise they would create their equivalent of a Liz Truss moment by replacing Starmer with Burnham if he manages to get a seat, with the working class, the ones clamouring for change the most suffering yet again
@afneil Starmer will still be there because the parliamentary party will not vote against him in big enough numbers to force a challenge. In any case, no hard left replacement chosen by the membership would be accepted by the gilt market, so changing really would be a pointless exercise