JC

Building predictive models to profit from betting on sports: MLB, NBA & Golf #JCPicks

[JC @J_C_Picks]

@MagicRatSF Thanks. Yes I’ve been using what’s in the book and it’s been working nicely - just wanted to double check exact details. Thanks Joe and all the best!

[JC @J_C_Picks]

@MagicRatSF Joe - big fan of your work and doing my own modelling for MLB & PGA inspired by you. One Q: how do you derive implied win % from strokes gained advantage for a golf tournament? Ie, what’s the formula/math equation using PAR/True strokes gained?

[JC @J_C_Picks]

@MagicRatSF Thanks for the reply. My bad, I should have mentioned, this is for full tourney head to head matchups only. Eg, +0.25 strokes gained advantage = 54% win rate for one player over another. How do you calc that?

[JC @J_C_Picks]

Soccer 2018/19:

40-30, +2.01u

[JC @J_C_Picks]

Rugby Sat:
Waratahs @ 1.75
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

Rugby Sat:
Chiefs/Blues O 49.5 @ 1.90
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

Rugby Sat:
Reds/Tahs U 51.5 @ 1.90
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

AFL Sat:
Crows @ 2.05
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

MLB Fri:
Pirates @ 2.42
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

MLB Fri:
Royals @ 2.40
Giants/D’Backs O 9 @ 1.96
Phillies @ 1.84
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

Wkend Suoer Rugby:
Rebels/Reds +12.5 @ 1.81
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

MLB Thur:
Cardinals @ 1.99
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

MLB Thur:
Tigers @ 2.17
Royals @ 1.87
Pirates @ 1.99
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

MLB Wed:
Brewers @ 2.03
Padres @ 2.40
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

MLB Tue:
Phillies @ 2.02
Padres @ 2.50
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

PGA Champ:
McIlroy @ 12.00 (0.1)
Fowler @ 19.00 (0.1)
Cantlay @ 34.00 (0.1)
Finau @ 36.00 (0.1)
Watson @ 51.00 (0.1)
Fowler Ov Molinari @ 1.79
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

MLB Mon:
Mariners @ 1.80
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

MLB Mon:
White Sox @ 2.29
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

NBA Series:
Raptors +1.5 @ 1.80
#JCFund

[JC @J_C_Picks]

NBA:
Warriors To Win Championship @ 1.62 (5)
#JCFund