Jules Winnfeld

mekanik73.bsky. social /// Veteran / Guitar Player / # NoDemUnder1k #VoteBlue #VoteBlueToSaveDemocracy #VoteBlueToStopTheStupid

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

@ElissaSlotkin @VP He could always kickstart a 25A campaign.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

This guy for real with this? GTFOH!

[JD Vance @JDVance]

One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.

So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."

Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.

There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.

But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.

Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:

1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel

Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)

In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.

The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.

If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.

But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.

I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

Scott who?

[Angry Staffer @Angry_Staffer]

(Don’t)

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

Yep

[Olena Rohoza @OlenaRohoza]

The final pieces of the puzzle are falling into place, revealing an increasingly disturbing picture of what is happening behind the scenes in Washington.

If you are still wondering where Donald Trump's hysterical attacks on Kyiv come from, why he keeps making absurd claims about "the rain that saved Ukraine," and why he responds so aggressively to journalists who challenge him, consider the analysis of someone who understands the inner workings of the White House.

Dr. Fiona Hill, a former senior White House national security official and one of America's leading experts on Russia, has offered a deeply troubling interpretation of Trump's behavior.

Trump wants Zelenskyy to capitulate.

Why? Because, according to this interpretation, the entire situation comes down to something painfully simple: Trump's wounded ego.

This is a man who promised to end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours. He imagined himself receiving the Nobel Peace Prize and being celebrated as one of the greatest peacemakers in history. He envisioned a spectacular diplomatic triumph that would secure his place in the history books.

Instead, his grand promises have collided with reality.

Months have passed, the magical peace agreement has failed to materialize, and the Kremlin dictator continues to reject proposals that do not satisfy his demands. Putin has repeatedly demonstrated that he has little interest in helping Trump achieve his political ambitions.

So who should Trump blame for this humiliating failure?

Himself? Absolutely not. In Trump's political universe, admitting a mistake is practically unthinkable.

Putin? Apparently not. Trump continues to treat the Kremlin dictator as a powerful leader worthy of respect, despite Russia's continuing destruction of Ukrainian cities and the deaths of innocent civilians.

That leaves one convenient target: Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Trump is furious because the Ukrainian president refuses to surrender, refuses to kneel before Moscow, and refuses to sign an agreement that would sacrifice his country's sovereignty and territorial integrity.

He is furious because an entire nation refuses to capitulate to an aggressor merely so the 47th president of the United States can stand before the cameras and declare himself the man who ended the war.

And now, as Hill's analysis suggests, the pressure is increasingly being directed not at Moscow, which launched the invasion, but at Kyiv, which is fighting for its survival.

The apparent calculation is that Washington, potentially supported by war-weary European governments, can pressure Ukraine into accepting terms that would allow Trump to claim a diplomatic victory, regardless of the long-term consequences for Ukrainian security.

But the price of this political spectacle is not measured in television ratings, headlines, or Nobel Prize nominations.

It is measured in the blood of Ukrainian soldiers defending their country in freezing trenches. It is measured in the lives of civilians killed by Russian missiles and drones, in destroyed homes, shattered families, kidnapped children, and entire cities reduced to ruins.

Ukraine is fighting an aggressor determined to destroy its independence. At the same time, Ukrainians must confront the possibility that some of those who call themselves allies may place their own political ambitions above Ukraine's survival.

There is something profoundly disturbing about demanding concessions from the country being invaded while treating the invading dictator as an indispensable partner in negotiations.

Ukraine did not start this war.Ukraine did not invade Russia.Ukraine is not responsible for Putin's imperial ambitions or Trump's unfulfilled political promises.

And Ukrainians should not be expected to pay for anyone's wounded pride with their freedom,their territory,or their lives.

A peace agreement that rewards aggression and leaves Ukraine defenseless is not a historic diplomatic victory. It risks becoming an invitation to the next war.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

👏

[News to Remember @allchronology]

North Carolina A&T students marched an hour each way to vote on the first day of early voting after their campus polling site was removed by the Guilford County Elections Board. Proud 👏🏽

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

@typocatCAv2 Thanks for your answer!

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

I would guess the majority of Liberals are just like this man. Bravo, Sir. -35Z veteran, father, husband, and liberal.

[Not Your Average Liberal @NotAvgLiberal]

For my MAGA friends -

I am a decorated Combat Veteran.

19 Delta, Bronze Star, Arcom with “V” Device, Combat Wounded.
Iraq.

I’m a degreed Mechanical Engineer P.E. / CPM (Biofuels and Food Processing)

I’m married to the same beautiful woman for the last 30 years.

2 highly educated, independent and outspoken daughters.

1 teen son who’s an honor student aspiring to go into Radiology or IT/AI.

I’m completely debt free.

I employ up to 300 skilled tradesmen/women at a time depending on the project.

I left the Catholic Church over 20 years ago.

I left the Republican Party in 2008.

I support a woman’s right to choose.

I support the LGBTQ and Trans Community.

I support feeding hungry children.

I support the 2nd Amendment,
Although I think there’s room for change.

Go ahead.

Make your case to call me a “Communist” or a “Traitor” to this country.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

@BeverlyHallberg Following

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

@DougWahl1 The point is to pass the seat down to his Son. Like an heirloom.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

@GtfCyres Send it back. SI is the new term now.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

@grok tell us more about the Federal Regulation the homeowner mentioned.

[Mrs Ril🥀💍 @MrsRilzk]

I wrote back immediately.

Me: Thank you for clarifying. I’m glad we were able to resolve this.

A few minutes later, the HOA president called me again.

HOA President: You really weren’t planning on putting up that tower, were you?

Me: Honestly?

HOA President: Yes.

Me: I hadn’t decided.

HOA President: So you were bluffing?

Me: I never said I was building one. I said I was considering it.

HOA President: You nearly gave the entire board a heart attack.

Me: That’s unfortunate.

HOA President: You know what the funny part is?

Me: What?

HOA President: Nobody on the board actually cared that much about the trampoline.

Me: Then why did you send me a violation notice?

HOA President: Someone complained.

Me: About a trampoline?

HOA President: Apparently.

Me: Well, I hope they’re happy.

HOA President: Why?

Me: Because now my kids still have their trampoline.

HOA President: And the tower?

Me: I haven’t bought one yet.

HOA President: Yet?

Me: Have a nice day.

I hung up.

The trampoline stayed.

And for some reason, the HOA never seemed quite as interested in enforcing every little rule in my backyard again.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

@bammybae_ Who is she?

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

@Jasoncoderx I bet this works well in negotiations too…like at the car dealership.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

@joncoopertweets @GovAndyBeshear Who cares whether the Senate seats her/him? The point would be to put the Republicans on defense…they would have roll Mitch out or file their own lawsuit….either way, Dems would be on offense for once.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

Maybe the point of calling an election now would be to smoke McConnell out?

[Chris D. Jackson @ChrisDJackson]

Urging @AndyBeshearKY to call a special election right now to replace McConnell would be political malpractice.

Democrats haven’t won a U.S. Senate race in Kentucky since 1992. Calling one now would almost certainly give Republicans another reliable vote and make Trump’s life easier.

The smart move for Democrats is to keep that seat vacant as long as legally possible and leave Republicans one vote short. (actually two now with the passing of Graham)

Andy Beshear has won THREE statewide elections in deep-red Kentucky. The left-wing social media consultants screaming from the cheap seats have won exactly nothing.

Maybe listen to the guy who actually knows how to win. 🤷.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

Thank you for sharing your spirit and kindness with us!

[Erling Haaland @Erling]

It’s been quite a row, thank you for making it so special 🚣🏼🇳🇴❤️

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

Great. Now do Mitch.

[BNO News @BNONews]

NEW: DC medical examiner says Lindsey Graham's preliminary cause of death is aortic dissection due to arteriosclerotic cardiovascular disease

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

Legend

[Thomas Massie @RepThomasMassie]

I spoke to McConnell for about 20 minutes this morning.

He said we should end the war with Iran, quit giving aid to Israel, stop spying on Americans without a warrant, and he’s really sorry about how my primary turned out.

[Jules Winnfeld @J_WINNFELD]

Well said, and without a political message. Unless you are looking for one

[Anthony Scaramucci @Scaramucci]

https://t.co/GevTqHPvk3