Well done man. This has been my best cycle at managing the transition at the top. Idk if it was pattern recognition (after getting smacked being overexposed at the top in previous cycles), but that June 3rd day I recognized as a shift in the market and got out of all my positions. Maybe some luck to it lol, but like you said it’s so important to be dynamic in your exposure levels and this has been my best cycle so far. Like you said, there’s a time to be aggressive and it’s not after going straight up for 10 weeks. Cheers!
$SPY $QQQ I don’t see many traders talk about the concept of positive and negative feedback loops and how your ability to avoid staying in the negative feedback loop is so important.
Negative feedback loops are created when a trader has a losing streak or is in a drawdown. When you’re in the negative feedback loop, you come to the market every day and you feel like you have to make money in order to dig yourself out of the hole. The problem is when you have this urgency to make money in the market, you aren’t patient and you force trades you know you shouldn’t be making. And then you continue to make losing trades, which forces you deeper and deeper into the negative feedback loop. This continues until you have the ability to step away from the screens and come back with a clear mind, understanding that losing trades are apart of trading.
Your ability to stay out of a negative feedback loop is crucial in avoiding large drawdowns.
@NickSchmidt “Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year”. Reminder that “easy money” periods only happen a few times a year. The other periods money is to be kept
I’d guess this is the “suck people back in” day you were talking about last week. Those who were on the sidelines see the first dip and buy up the leaders. I’d expect there to be some continuation to the downside within the next week, those who bought today puke it out and then things set up. Obviously could not be the case with some of the strongest leaders like $DOCN but we’ll see. At some point they won’t make it as easy as buying the first sign of red
I’d guess this is the “suck people back in” day you were talking about last week. Those who were on the sidelines see the first dip and buy up the leaders. I’d expect there to be some continuation to the downside within the next week, those who bought today puke it out and then things set up. Obviously could not be the case with some of the strongest leaders like $DOCN but we’ll see. At some point they won’t make it as easy as buying the first sign of red
$MSTR May go down as the biggest scam when it’s all said and done. Buying an unproductive asset by diluting shareholders may work when the underlying asset is appreciating, but what happens when that unproductive asset falls? 📉
@PrimeTrading_ As a @TradersLab_ subscriber myself, I love this new feature. Easy to see what groups are leading and even the leading themes within the leading groups. Super cool
$IGV There are some stocks that are shaping up to move into stage 2
$CRWD, $DDOG, $PANW, $MSFT
I think we’ll look back on this earnings season and the talk will be about how the software selloff was a bit overdone