VP @ Mile High Data Solutions. Live in Cleveland. Interests: sports biz, numbers, data. Prev roles: RightsHelper, @MemGrizz, @VailResorts, @KOREsoftware.
Professional news: I've joined Mile High Data Solutions as VP, Operations & Professional Services.
Still living in Cleveland. Excited for this next step of career growth and development in the sports business industry.
https://t.co/FnsDumxSuU
Saw some chatter about how shooting variance has been a recent contributor to NBA playoff randomness.
May I remind you about the 2009 Eastern Conference Finals.
The horrors of this hot three-point shooting (albeit lesser volume than modern times) still live on in my mind.
@RichardYannow Using the respective players' regular season 3P% for their East Finals 3PAs, it's closer to expecting 55 threes made.
Impact entirely from Pietrus, Lewis, Alston shooting well above their usual efficiency.
Difference of 7 threes is 21 points, which certainly swings a series.
The Cavaliers 31 point win in Detroit is the 3rd largest margin of victory for a road team in a Game 7 in NBA history behind:
39 (Philadelphia Warriors at St Louis Bombers, 1948).
33 (Mavs at Suns, 2022).
I have a lot of FiveThirtyEight thoughts! I blogged a ton about sports analytics circa 2009-16.
Getting quoted by a @Neil_Paine 538 article remains a career highlight.
For now, I’ll just share this very dorky and precocious 2008 email I sent to Nate Silver.
Ah, a few additions.
Tree Rollins played 87 before playing in conf finals in game 88 (1995).
Lou Williams played 83 before playing in conf finals in game 84 (2021).
Josh Smith played 64 before playing in conf finals in game 65 (2015).
Most career NBA playoff games until/before/prior to winning a title:
Karl Malone 193
Al Horford 186 (won title in 186th game)
James Harden 186 (will play in 187 on Sunday)
John Stockton 182
Sam Perkins 167
Chris Paul 149
Hard to search/unverified, but most career NBA playoff games until reaching conference finals:
Chris Paul 86 (first played in game 87)
Tobias Harris 80 (81 on Sunday)
Donovan Mitchell 76 (77 on Sunday)
Jamal Crawford 74
Blake Griffin 68
Rudy Gobert 64 (first played in game 65)
The way that Brandon Clarke swung that 2022 Grizzlies-Wolves playoff series is the stuff of legends.
How many other career ~20 mins per game players had that dramatic of an playoff impact?
He averaged 16.5-9-3-1-1 in 29 mins that series!