JamesJamisson

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

It wont be long until the Americans and Iranians realize they are still at war.

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@MarioNawfal This has clearly been the case for a long time Iran's patience has been shocking.

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@AJEnglish If close to a deal why continue mounting sanctions pressure

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@MarioNawfal Why would Iran believe the 50th threat when the first 49 were bluffs.
It is in their best interest to drag negotiations on for as long as possible their leverage increases with time. Not to mention next time the strait will have new work arounds they get one shot at this

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@MarioNawfal I suppose I must point out the obvious problem. If one side says no toll and the other says there is a toll what will the irgc who control the toll system do when ships are from their view in non compliance. Before shipping begins there must be clarity

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

The night is darkest before the dawn

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@Rory_Johnston Thank you

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@MarioNawfal The security meeting with the president is scheduled tomorrow. It was very unlikely that any strikes were planned already. Trump has posted on countless occasions things that in hindsight meant nothing but to lower oil and boost stocks. He needs that economic capital for the war.

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@MarioNawfal Trumps post today is to steady the markets while they get the final details ready for the assault. He mentions Gulf allies to lean credibility (he is losing credibility) and to give them debiability in hopes that they will be spared. They will not even accept half of Iran's terms

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@MarioNawfal Strategically relevant to the reopening of the strait and silencing the Iranian coast line

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@aeberman12 Sorry that week being the week ending may 8th

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@aeberman12 There was 5.6 million barrels of sour crude drawn down from the spr that week. 5.6÷7=.8 Could this not explain the export number may be a stupid question. Thx

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@DAGOD45 @MOSSADil The original question was the power or capability of Israel if pushed into a corner they could wipe out all of Iran in a week. With or without the US not a hypothetical good talk.

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@DAGOD45 @MOSSADil Continue... In the next few years and emboldened Iran is pretty likely to attack an Israel without support. 10-20% chance id say heightened to 40-60% if major economic damage is felt world wide and a complete loss to Iran manifests

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@DAGOD45 @MOSSADil And lets say hypothetically speaking. US loses decisively takes on the worst of the economic impact possible trade relations suffer public opinion turns against Israel US stops supporting them. Regional support for Iran against Israep heightens attacks against Lebanon and Gaza...

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@DAGOD45 @MOSSADil Just like Iran has nothing to lose and is taking a maximalist position towards its enemy (quite justifiably) so would Israel if they were backed into the a similar corner. Consequences or not if someone is going to launch a nuke in the next ten years my bet is on Israel.

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@DAGOD45 @MOSSADil If they are truly threatened and don't have the US this puts Iran in a worse spot not a better won. If Iran starts to win they'll get nuked especially if the US isnt behind them. A pause was more likely pushed by the US on the gulf states behalf not Israel

[JamesJamisson @JamesJamisson]

@DAGOD45 @MOSSADil With or without* Apologies