@suchenzang@scaling01 yes "much cope".
Opus is no longer about pushing frontier, but now about pushing near-Frontier at reduced cost.
and, yes, connecting the dots you "can see" is the stupid move, because it actually project new dots "you can't see" from the future, too, but without knowing it.
@rickjeff78 with what money?
congress have refused to even give $200B to the admin. for keeping basic routine operations running flawlessly, lol.
the US army burned ~half of it's stock of MANY of it's most advanced missiles/interceptors, many of it's bases in the GCC are destroyed.
@thelateempire tweet not even in Hebrew but in English, what are they fucking doing? guy is a prominent minister in the gov.
what do they think they can achieve by that? 1 more seat at the knesset in a few months? in exchange to get dropped by the US?
they're so arrogant & stupid, it's crazy.
@gchampeau Du fait que chaque modèle individuellement sont rentables en fait, mais qu'entraîner à la chaîne de nouveau modèles, faire des tests sur des tas de direction de recherche à explorer, etc.. faisait que les l'ABS perdaient énormément d'argent.
Also. Actually. Face à la +
@thelateempire (it's probably already baked in, though, GCC refineries have been severely damaged, with months if not years of repairs for a very significant chunk, & ramping up production back, have insurances reduce their price, have SoH gov. sorted out will take quite some time)
@thelateempire such delusional losers.
we're less than 2 month before serious shortages in oil products.
you're so close 🤏 "israel", Iran's one missile off conceding on dropping all their missiles and drones capabilities, just one more missile, I swear.
@ApplyWiseAi@Young_AGI literally nobody cares.
nobody cares SO MUCH that fucking Cursor made Composer 2.5, a very good coding model, out of Kimi K2.5 (+ shittons of RL).
except maybe some random "researchers" trying to test "CAN AI REASON" by testing "LLaMa-2-7b" and "Starcoder-4b-v0.2" in big 2026.
@sixerrrrrrr deepen dramatically the distance from the west and israel. this will naturally very, very significantly increase as long as the strait keep being shut, but they seem to pursue the bigger prize : near-term collapse of the support to israel.
"seem to indicate Iran is running out of low-risk maneuvers to keep the strait closed"
in what world? first israeli military censor is gigantic so we'll know the extent of the damages in israel with some huge delays.
and iran did not need to attack israel, actually, the easier
While I agree with much of your analysis over the past few weeks, I do think you're understating the risk that the SOH crisis resolves before the inventory math plays out. For that same reason, this data doesn't seem too shocking.
I say this only because the recent exchanges between Iran and Israel seem to indicate Iran is running out of low-risk maneuvers to keep the strait closed without escalation (Israel just responded to a largely symbolic attack with full force).
Obviously, there is no room for any sincere agreement yet, as the US has shown they are incapable of restraining Israel from crossing Iranian red lines. However, it does seem like this could possibly change in the coming weeks.
Are you still certain your thesis will materialize?
@sixerrrrrrr 2) they need to project to their "resistance axis" the fact that they are a reliable ally, and to consolidate this block, integrate more deeply both the Hezbollah and very importantly the Houthis
3) they KNOW the real deal is israel, and that one gigantic goal is to +