🇺🇸🇮🇱 Something has people watching the Middle East very closely tonight
First came U.S. security alerts across the region, then Netanyahu scrapped the Texas leg of his trip and is headed back to Israel, while Trump is returning to Washington tonight instead of tomorrow.
That’s a lot of unusual movement in just a few hours... but so far, no confirmed explanation ties it all together.
Source: U.S. Embassy Jerusalem, @BrettErickson28 / Writer: Val
🇮🇷🇨🇳 China would drop Iran in a heartbeat if the price got high enough, and that is exactly what Washington will be shopping for when Xi lands this week
Beijing and Tehran don't like each other. Jeff Snider calls the whole arrangement a marriage of convenience, and the logic runs one way: China props up Iran because it squeezes America, and the day that squeeze costs Beijing's own shaky economy more than it gains, the support ends.
Whoever wins in Tehran, hardliners or moderates, China plans to be their biggest customer either way.
So the American goal at the summit is simple, find the pain point and the price.
China's goal is to sit back and hear the offer.
Snider also makes a case almost nobody else on this board makes: the total blockade has never been tried on Iran before, reports say it's biting, and the uglier it gets inside the country, the closer the regime comes to a people who've had enough.
Long odds, but not zero.
@JeffSnider_EDU@WeTheBrandon
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