A lot of people worked very hard to get RFK on the ballot in many states.
It will be truly unfortunate if he bails now - even if there is no path to victory. The people deserve a third choice.
Your favorite doom poster is going to be tweeting about revised payroll numbers.
I’ll be right here reminding you that the (1) revised payroll numbers are exactly what Powell and company wanted to see to lock in a Sept. cut;
$VXUS Global All Cap ex US Index, which measures the investment return of stocks issued by companies located outside the U.S. about to break to highest level since February of 2022
If you use CPI, the inflation adjusted all time high for bitcoin is about $79,000.
If you claim that actual inflation is double the official government CPI data, the inflation adjusted all time high for bitcoin is about $92,000.
The polls will move up and down as will poly / predictit over the next few months.
The reality is, as long as Biden didn’t run, this was always going to be a close election. Neither side will run away with it, and we probably won’t know the winner on election night, imo.