@realmattmai @defpriorities@ForeignPolicy Let’s flip this. The PLAN is ill-equipped to endure a sustained high-intensity conflict in the Pacific against the world’s best Navy.China’s last war was in 1979 vs. Vietnam. Last naval battle? War in Ukraine has highlighted how we tend to over estimate authoritarian militaries.
@tshugart3 Numerous war games show that the US would have a difficult time “winning” a war vs. China over Taiwan. But the PLA Navy has never engaged in anything that comes close to a large scale operation in its history. Are we making the same “overestimation” mistake me made w Russia?