johnny

just a chill data science student studying dfs and sports analytics 🌟💫❤️

[johnny @Johnyman_]

@TurtleBetsDFS 💚

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

☢️ BANG CASH ANOTHER NUKE TO START THE 2H ☢️

Caleb Williams Over 24.5 Rushing Yards 📈

CASH THE BUMPS TOO 🚀🚀

We cashed on 10 STRAIGHT PLAYS now ‼️‼️‼️

[johnny @Johnyman_]

@TurtleBetsDFS @KBProps 🔥

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

💚 Shoutout to my boy @KBProps, absolutely LOVED this Chris Olave play for over 5.5 Receptions‼️‼️

☢️ Had to pair this with my mf NUKE PLAYYY ☢️

GO #Saints, WHO DATTT WHAT AN UPSET 😂😂😂😂

#Gambling𝕏 #SportsBetting #NFLPicks #PrizePicks

[johnny @Johnyman_]

@TurtleBetsDFS how did saints upset?

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

WTF was this early game slate 😂😂 The Underdogs were going CRAZY and there would’ve been so many upsets 🐢🐢

Regardless, NFL has been FEEDING US 🚀🚀

Let’s have a night for Sunday Night Football!!!

#Gambling𝕏 #NFLPicks #PrizePicks

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

☢️ NFL SUNDAY NUKEEEE 9/20 ☢️

✅ WE ARE 9-0 THE LAST 3 DAYS ✅

Caleb Williams Over 24.5 Rushing Yards 📈

Caleb only needs 25 rushing yards, yet he just ran for 65 yards on 10 carries in Week 1 and has cleared this line in BOTH games vs Minnesota last season (100%). ‼️

Week 1 @ Carolina:
10 carries ‼️
65 rushing yards ✅
6.5 YPC
2 rushing TDs 🔥
29-yard TD scramble

Chicago clearly showed they’re comfortable letting Caleb use his legs, whether it’s designed movement or taking off when coverage opens up. His 10 rushing attempts were more than double his 3.8 attempts per game across his final 10 games last season. 🚀

Caleb vs MIN last season:
58 rushing yards | 6 carries ✅
26 rushing yards | 4 carries ✅

That’s 2/2 over this line (100%), averaging 42.0 rushing yards per game against Minnesota last season. 📈

His full CAREER history against Minnesota is strong too:

33 rushing yards ✅
3 rushing yards ❌
58 rushing yards ✅
26 rushing yards ✅

That’s 3/4 (75%) over 24.5, averaging 30.0 rushing YPG and 6.0 YPC across four career meetings. ‼️

Minnesota’s defensive style also creates scrambling opportunities. Brian Flores sent pressure at an EXTREME rate in Week 1, blitzing Green Bay on roughly 82% of plays and generating pressure on about 53% of dropbacks. 👀

When extra defenders are sent and the first read isn’t there, Caleb has the athleticism to escape and turn broken plays into rushing yards. 🔥

Mobile QBs have already shown they can hurt Minnesota with their legs:

Justin Herbert — 62 rushing yards
Caleb Williams — 58 rushing yards
Lamar Jackson — 36 rushing yards
Caleb Williams — 26 rushing yards ✅

Minnesota also allowed 124.1 rushing yards per game last season, and Caleb has personally averaged 6.0 YPC against this defense throughout his career. 😮‍💨

I’M NUKING CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 24.5 RUSHING YARDS ☢️🚀

If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off 📊🔬

#TurtleBets 🐢 #Bears #NFLPicks #Gambling𝕏

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

NFL SUNDAY CARSON WENTZ O199.5 PASSING YARDS 🚀🚀

Wentz is stepping in as Minnesota’s full-time starter after throwing for 133 yards and 3 TDs in relief last week. He completed 12/19 passes with a 123.5 passer rating and now gets a full week of preparation as QB1.

PropsEdge shows Wentz averaging 235.2 passing yards in the sample, with the over hitting 3/5 in his last 5 and 3/4 against Chicago. The 199.5 line sits well below that average 📈

Chicago allowed Bryce Young to throw for 361 yards in Week 1, while the Bears gave up 37 points. If Chicago’s offense continues creating a fast-paced game script, Minnesota should be forced to throw throughout.

Wentz has already shown he can move this offense efficiently, and the Vikings’ injuries at running back make additional passing volume even more likely. 199.5 is a very manageable number for a veteran quarterback with full-game control.

CARSON WENTZ O199.5 PASSING YARDS ☢️🚀

If you want to research plays like this, use code “TURTLEBETS” with @PropsEdge for 20% off 📊🔬

#TurtleBets 🐢 #Team #NFLPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

🔥🔥NFL SUNDAY 9/20🔥🔥

PARKER WASHINGTON 54.5 RECEIVING YARDS OVER✅📈

Washington has gone over this number in 5 STRAIGHT, posting 145, 115, 87, 107, and 83 receiving yards 📈

That stretch gives him a 107.4-yard average, with a 5/5 hit rate over his last 5 games (100%) and 6/10 over his last 10 (60%). He has also cleared 54.5 yards in his last matchup against Denver.

Jacksonville enters with 34.0 points per game, 360 total yards per game, and 10.7 yards per pass attempt. Denver has allowed 31 points and 392 total yards per game this season, creating a favorable passing environment.

The game is projected to stay competitive with Denver favored by only 3 points and a 45.5-point total, giving Washington a strong chance to maintain consistent receiving volume.

PARKER WASHINGTON 54.5 RECEIVING YARDS OVER✅

If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdgefor 20% off 📊

#TurtleBets 🐢 #NFLPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks

[johnny @Johnyman_]

@TurtleBetsDFS bangg

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

☢️ CASH THE NUKEEE THATS OUR 9TH STRAIGHT CASH ☢️

We’re 9-0 in the LAST 3 DAYS 🔥🔥🔥🔥‼️

GET READY FOR NFL SUNDAY TMR COME ON DONT MISS OUT 💚💚💚💚

#Gambling𝕏 #MLBPicks #NFLPicks #Kalshi

[johnny @Johnyman_]

@TurtleBetsDFS @PropsEdge let’s sweep again

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

☢️ MLB SATURDAY NUKEEEE 9/19 ☢️

⚾ TEXAS RANGERS ML vs BLUE JAYS

Texas is coming off a 7-1 WIN over Toronto last night and gets another home game at Globe Life Field. The Rangers are now 77-77, while Toronto sits at 76-78. 📈🐢

‼️ CAL QUANTRILL IS DEALING:
Quantrill enters 9-5 with a 2.90 ERA + 1.05 WHIP across 108.2 IP. Even better lately — 5-1 with a 1.88 ERA over his last 7 starts 🔥
His last 3 starts:
→ 7 IP / 0 ER vs TB ✅
→ 6 IP / 3 ER vs SEA
→ 6 IP / 2 ER vs ARI

Toronto's offense has struggled to consistently produce they're 29th in MLB in runs and 28th in HRs, giving Quantrill a matchup where he can potentially work deep again. 📉
Toronto counters with José Soriano: 12-7, 3.56 ERA, 159 Ks, so this isn't a free matchup. But Texas already showed what its lineup can do yesterday, putting 7 runs on Toronto.

I'M NUKING TEXAS RANGERS ML ☢️🚀

If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off 📊🔬

#TurtleBets 🐢 #Rangers #MLBPicks #GamblingX

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

☢️ NFL SUNDAY NUKEEEE 9/20 ☢️

Derrick Henry Over 89.5 Rushing Yards 📈

Henry has cleared this line in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), including 6 STRAIGHT, and now gets a Saints defense that just allowed Jahmyr Gibbs to run for 156 YARDS on 29 CARRIES in Week 1. They haven't had a good run defense in YEARS‼️

Week 1 @ IND:
24 carries
144 rushing yards ✅
6.0 YPC
3 rushing TDs 🔥

Henry handled another true WORKHORSE workload and immediately picked up where he left off last season. Baltimore fed him 24 carries while he produced 144 yards in a 41-23 win.

Henry L10 rushing yards:
144 ✅
126 ✅
216 ✅
128 ✅
100 ✅
94 ✅
60
64
103 ✅
75
That’s 7/10 over (70%) while averaging 111.0 rushing YPG across that stretch. 📈

Since joining Baltimore, Henry has averaged 104.6 rushing yards per game, comfortably above this 89.5 line. ‼️

New Orleans STRUGGLED against the run last season. The Saints’ run defense earned just a 50.6 PFF grade in that game, with multiple interior defensive linemen grading poorly against the run.

Saints 2025 run defense:
19th in rushing yards allowed
120.6 rushing YPG allowed
And Week 1 was even worse.
Detroit rushed for 165 total yards on 33 carries (5.0 YPC) against New Orleans, with Gibbs accounting for:
29 carries
156 rushing yards ‼️
5.4 YPC
2 rushing TDs

The GAME SCRIPT also favors Henry. Baltimore is around an 8.5-point home favorite, so the Ravens are positioned for exactly the type of positive script where Henry can continue getting carries deep into the second half.

That matters because Henry historically gets STRONGER as his workload grows. Last season:
Carries 1-10 --> 5.2 YPC
Carries 11-20 --> 4.9 YPC
Carries 21-30 --> 5.5 YPC 📈

If Baltimore controls this game and Henry gets back into the 20+ carry range, the volume sets up extremely well against a defense that just got gashed on the ground.

I’M NUKING DERRICK HENRY OVER 89.5 RUSHING YARDS ☢️🚀

If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off 📊🔬

#TurtleBets 🐢 #Ravens #NFLPicks #Gambling𝕏

[johnny @Johnyman_]

@TurtleBetsDFS @PropsEdge 💚

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

☢️ NFL SUNDAY NUKEEEE 9/20 ☢️ WE JUST WENT 8-0 THE LAST TWO DAYS ✅✅

Bijan Robinson Over 39.5 Receiving Yards 📈

Bijan just saw 10 targets, the MOST among all RBs in Week 1, and Cooper Rush is starting again after throwing 8 of his 12 completions to Bijan last Sunday ‼️

Week 1 @ PIT:
10 targets ‼️
8 receptions ✅
90 receiving yards ✅
1 receiving TD
52.6% target share 📈

Bijan accounted for over HALF of Atlanta’s recorded targets in Week 1. No other Falcon had more than 4 targets 👀

Rush also failed to complete a pass more than 5 air yards downfield last week. With Atlanta going back to him at QB, the short passing/checkdown game should continue to heavily involve Bijan. 🔥

Bijan L10:
447 receiving yards 💚
44.7 receiving YPG
61 targets
46 receptions

The Carolina history is interesting because Bijan landed at EXACTLY 39 receiving yards in BOTH meetings last season:

@ CAR –> 5 REC | 6 targets | 39 yards
vs CAR –> 4 REC | 5 targets | 39 yards

Both finished just 0.5 yards below today’s line, but Bijan’s Week 1 receiving role was MUCH larger with Rush: 10 targets compared with 5 and 6 in those Carolina games. 📈

Carolina’s defense just allowed 59 POINTS and 7.9 yards per play to Chicago in Week 1. Their defense also ranked 28th in third-down stop rate, allowing Chicago to consistently extend drives. ‼️

Atlanta is currently around a 2.5-point underdog, which also gives this play a potential positive game script. If Carolina gets ahead, Rush should be forced to throw more rather than simply feed Bijan carries. 8 of his 12 completions went to Bijan last week 🤑🔥

I’M NUKING BIJAN ROBINSON OVER 39.5 RECEIVING YARDS ☢️🚀

If you want to research plays like this, use code “TURTLEBETS” with @PropsEdge for 20% off 📊🔬

#TurtleBets 🐢 #Falcons #NFLPicks #Gambling𝕏

[johnny @Johnyman_]

@TurtleBetsDFS congrats!

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

☢️CASH THE MLB NUKKKE 9/18☢️

Kumar Rocker UNDER 15.5 Pitching Outs ✅

AFTER A SWEPT🧹🧹 FREE TNF TURTLEBETS STAY CASHING THE NUKES!!! FOLLOW FOR MORE NFL AND MLB NUKES LIKE THESE🔥🔥🔥

Use my code “TURTLEBETS” for 20% off and get access to premium sports data analytics, player props, and betting tools 🔬📊

https://t.co/jigjwmTE3J 💚

#MLB #Gambling𝕏

[johnny @Johnyman_]

@TurtleBetsDFS let’s goo

[TurtleBets 🐢 @TurtleBetsDFS]

☢️BANGGG CASH THE NUKEEE WE SWEPT 2-0 ON NUKES TODAY ☢️

CASH GERRIT COLE OVER 16.5 BUMPS TOO📈📈

AND WE NOT DONE YET‼️‼️NEED YANKEES TO BRING IT HOME FOR THE SWEEP 🧹 🧹

DONT MISS OUT ON THIS FREE CASH 💚💚🔥🔥