Garrett Jones

I enjoy history and travel. Fan of Army sports. Thoughts are my own. Retweets do not equal endorsements.

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@BradDuplessis That little toss of the peg to rub it in the faces of those who struggled to get up that thing in HS. The smugness!

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@DrTraceyK The bleakness is in the husband becoming the top AI user at his company. He had to do it to survive the cuts happening in tech due to AI.

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@ArmsControlWonk I hope the troops who will be part of the ground invasion are up to date on their cultural awareness training.

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@mikenelson586 @BradDuplessis And this guy is a colonel.

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@gloefflmann It’s going to be available at the MAGA yard sale in 2028.

[Danny Boy @Care2much18]

Quote: "This is how USAID spent your tax dollars"

I think people have lost the will to try fact-check this guy due to the volume of lies he spreads.

Also it's actually pretty difficult with this image and quite time consuming.

It just happens I had nothing better to do. /1

[Nathan Strang @NavyStrang]

As an active Scouting leader it's important for me to address the comments under this amazing display of civic service by Troop 36.

First of all, they are doing nothing wrong. The US Flag Code is the only guidance that matters. Everything else is either tradition or opinion. Comments like these are exactly why Scout units do not want to do these ceremonies; because people who know nothing, but are strongly confident in their ignorance, come charging in to berate them.

Which brings me to point 2: why do so many people feel like they need to try and beat down these kids who are taking time from their weekend to perform a critical civic duty? Does it really make you feel stronger to ignorantly yell at children? Are you doing it because you feel like you need more attention than they do?

Third... Are you volunteering? Are you performing these ceremonies at your VFW or other veterans group? Or are you just yelling from the sidelines like so many love to do. Feel free to volunteer yourself, it's cheap and easy to do so. You have a chance to improve the experience for both yourself and others. Are you even interested in that? Or are you only interested in using the Flag as a means to attack people and groups you don't like?

Great job Scouts. Everyone else can sit down and shut up.

[Michael McFaul @McFaul]

To remind, Hormuz was open before Trump launched his war against Iran. Reopening the strait is not a war victory.

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@VorpalDerringer Electricity is very expensive, so a dryer is a luxury that most people don’t want. No need for ductwork to support an appliance you don’t have.
I had 3 assignments in Italy. We usually paid for more kW so we could run the oven and washing machine simultaneously.

[Adam Kinzinger (Slava Ukraini) 🇺🇸🇺🇦 @AdamKinzinger]

@FoxNews Of all the things that never were real, this is the never realest

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@whd_93 He’s got nothing to lose by crossing the president.

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

NYT Connections: If 59% of players get the purple category first, it’s not the hardest category!

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@ChrisO_wiki @threadreaderapp unroll

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@BradDuplessis Pedantry alert: The OP’s grammar & spelling are terrible. A colonel should do better, even on social media. It causes one to question the soundness of his thinking and judgment.

[Peter Girnus 🦅 @gothburz]

I have three monitors on my desk. The left one shows the order book. The middle one shows Truth Social. The right one shows the investigation queue.

On April 21st, the left screen moved first.

I am a Senior Surveillance Analyst at a commodities exchange. I have held this position for nineteen years. My job is to monitor trading activity for suspicious patterns and generate compliance reports. I am employee of the quarter. I have a mug.

At 19:54 GMT on April 21st, someone placed 4,260 sell orders on Brent crude futures. They did this during post-settlement. The window after the market closes when daily volume is typically in the dozens. Sometimes single digits. Sometimes I watch the screen and nothing happens for forty minutes and I think about whether my daughter is happy.

On April 21st, someone placed $430 million in directional bets in 120 seconds during that window. One hundred and twenty seconds. I timed it on my watch because the system clock rounds to the nearest minute and I have found, in nineteen years, that precision matters to no one but me.

At 20:10 GMT, the President posted on Truth Social that he was extending the Iran ceasefire.

Brent dropped from $100.91 to $96.83.

I flagged the trade. I flag a lot of trades. I want to tell you what happens to my flags.

My flags go into a system called TRACE. Trade Review and Compliance Evaluation. I did not name it. The system generates a report. The report goes to a committee. The committee has a name I am not allowed to share but I can tell you it meets quarterly and the conference room has a credenza with bottled water that is sparkling because someone once put still water in the room and a managing director sent an email about it that was longer than most of my surveillance reports.

The committee reviews my flags. The committee has reviewed all of my flags. Here is the complete record of actions taken on my flags in 2026:

Reviewed.

That's it. "Reviewed" is a status. In compliance, a status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one.

Let me show you my flags.

March 9th. Someone bet millions on oil falling at 18:29 GMT. Forty-seven minutes later, a CBS reporter posted that the President said the Iran war was "very complete, pretty much." Oil dropped 25%. Forty-seven minutes. I flagged it.

March 23rd. Someone sold 5,100 lots of Brent and WTI crude futures between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT. Fourteen minutes later, the President posted on Truth Social about a "COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION" to hostilities. Oil dropped 11%. Over 13,000 contracts traded in sixty seconds after the post. Fourteen minutes. I flagged it.

April 7th. Someone established a $950 million short position in oil futures at 19:45 GMT. Three hours later, the President declared a two-week ceasefire. Nine hundred and fifty million dollars. I flagged it.

April 17th. Someone placed $760 million in bearish bets twenty minutes before Iran's foreign minister confirmed the Strait of Hormuz would reopen. Seven hundred and sixty million. I flagged it.

April 21st. The $430 million. Fifteen minutes. I flagged it.

That is $2.1 billion in directional oil bets in April alone. Every one of them landed on the correct side of a presidential announcement. Every one of them was placed in a window so narrow you could measure it in bathroom breaks. I flagged every single one.

The CFTC chair told a Congressional committee that his organization has "zero tolerance" for fraud and insider trading. I wrote that quote on a Post-it note and stuck it to my right monitor. The one that shows the investigation queue. The investigation queue has not moved since March.

Zero tolerance. Zero staff. Zero budget. Zero prosecutions under the STOCK Act since it was signed in 2012.

Fourteen years. The law has existed for fourteen years and has been enforced zero times. In compliance, we call that a compliance rate of one hundred percent. No cases filed means no cases lost. You cannot fail an audit you never conduct. We call that excellence.

Last month the White House sent an internal email to staff. I was not on the distribution list but I have read reporting on it and I need you to sit with what I am about to say. The email instructed White House staff not to use insider information to place bets on prediction markets.

The White House had to send a memo telling its own employees not to insider-trade.

I want you to read that sentence again. Not because the instruction was unclear. Because the instruction was necessary. Because someone in the building looked at the same pattern I have been flagging for months on my three monitors and decided the appropriate response was an email.

The President's son sits on the advisory board of Kalshi. He is an investor in Polymarket. Both are prediction markets. Both saw accounts created days before U.S. military action.

One account. I cannot stop thinking about this account. It was called "Burdensome-Mix." It was created in December. On January 2nd, it placed $32,500 on Venezuela's president being removed from power. On January 3rd, Maduro was seized by U.S. special forces. Burdensome-Mix collected $436,000. Then it changed its username. Then it disappeared.

One account is a coincidence. But there were six.

Six accounts were created on Polymarket in February. All bet on U.S. strikes on Iran by the 28th. When the President confirmed the strikes, the six accounts collected $1.2 million between them. Five of the six never placed another bet. The sixth went on to correctly predict the ceasefire date and made another $163,000.

My surveillance system logged all of this. My system logs everything. My system does not have opinions and neither do I. I generate reports. The reports go to committees. The committees meet quarterly. Between meetings, the windows get shorter and the bets get larger.

March 9th: 47 minutes. March 23rd: 14 minutes. April 17th: 20 minutes. April 21st: 15 minutes.

The window is compressing. In March, you had time to make coffee between the trade and the announcement. By April, you had time to send a text. By summer, at this rate, the trade and the announcement will be the same event.

The spokesman said any implication that administration officials are engaged in insider trading is "baseless and irresponsible reporting."

Then the White House sent the email again.

I have been in compliance for nineteen years. I have seen insider trading run out of strip mall offices by men who could not spell "derivative." I have seen pump-and-dump schemes coordinated over WhatsApp by people who used their real names. I have seen a man try to manipulate soybean futures from a Panera Bread.

I have never seen $2.1 billion in perfectly timed trades across five presidential announcements in a single month go uninvestigated.

But I have also never seen a compliance system work this beautifully. Every trade flagged. Every report filed. Every committee briefed. Every quarterly meeting attended. Bottled water: sparkling. Minutes: distributed.

Zero prosecutions.

As long as the flags go up and the cases don't, my performance review says I am meeting expectations.

I am meeting expectations. The system is meeting expectations. The $2.1 billion is meeting expectations. The fourteen-year-old law with zero prosecutions is meeting expectations.

The left screen moves. The middle screen moves. The right screen stays perfectly, immaculately still.

In my field, we call this price discovery.

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@BradDuplessis

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

Less than 50% of the popular vote is hardly “overwhelmingly.”

[DNI Tulsi Gabbard @DNIGabbard]

Donald Trump was overwhelmingly elected by the American people to be our President and Commander in Chief. As our Commander in Chief, he is responsible for determining what is and is not an imminent threat, and whether or not to take action he deems necessary to protect the safety and security of our troops, the American people and our country. 

The Office of the Director of National Intelligence is responsible for helping coordinate and integrate all intelligence to provide the President and Commander in Chief with the best information available to inform his decisions. 

After carefully reviewing all the information before him, President Trump concluded that the terrorist Islamist regime in Iran posed an imminent threat and he took action based on that conclusion.

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@ShadowPatriotUS @DataRepublican @CynicalPublius CP’s name has been out for a while. It’s not due to WOTR or Brad D.

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@Edward_Pernotto @derrickvanorden @NWC_NDU The Army has in-residence satellite CGSC campuses. Belvoir is one of them.

[Garrett Jones @JonesGP1996]

@GuntherEagleman The chemical smell is tied to Democrats? How so? Please cite specific examples.