@weatherwilly It looks like the models want to split the PV around 3/4. Typically, we see cold in the Eastern US two weeks after the split. Combined with MJO phase 8 in March, could be some wild times.
@judah47 With a split, is the response immediate in the troposphere? The depiction shows the split from the 12th-14th. Would that immediately effect the Eastern US storm during that same time period?
@Snow_Cohen Sorry to learn that you've been hacked. Good thing you have the blog. People will find you once they read it. While the pattern looks favorable, I do not like the MJO being in phase 6. That's not favorable. If it's a strong, convective wave, it will be too warm for the east.
@Ol_TimeFootball What I enjoy about these clips is the reaction after the TD. In today's era, you see guys dancing and doing backflips. Back then, the players did their jobs because that's what they were supposed to do. No need or desire for outrageous celebration.
@judah47 Whether it's stretched or SSW, I sure hope the PV stays weak overall this winter. SSW now could mean a stronger PV later during the Jan-Feb time period. That would put the brakes on winter pretty fast. We wait and watch.