Josh Rogin

The Cable on Substack Global Security Analyst, Washington Post
Author, Chaos Under Heaven: Trump, Xi & the Battle for the 21st Century

[Josh Rogin @joshrogin]

We can regulate AI and also win the race with China. It’s a false choice.

“The U.S. tech bros and the Trump people, they're basically in it for the money. The Chinese Communist Party is a genocidal dictatorship that's in it for their own power - and they mean us harm. That's worse. So we don't want that to happen.”

“And if if they were to win, it basically means that all the other countries of the world are going to build their tech stacks on Chinese tech rather than American tech. That's a big threat. We don't want the Global South and Europe and Asia to be riddled with Chinese AI, because then China's going to be able to assert a great amount of power.”

“At the same time, anyone who tells you that means we should just let American tech companies run wild with no regulation is trying to fool you into thinking that's actually the solution to the problem. There’s a middle ground - where we regulate AI and still win the race - that’s what we have to try to figure out.”

[Laura Rozen @lrozen]

Iran national security advisor

[Erin Burnett OutFront @OutFrontCNN]

Nobel Peace Prize-winning Russian journalist Dmitry Muratov speaks out about a Russian plot to kill Americans on U.S. soil, the oligarch who paid for Donald Trump Jr.’s wedding party, and the plight of political prisoners in Russia.

[Joseph Wu @josephwutw]

So thrilled to accompany VP @bikhim Hsiao to welcome Matt Pottinger & @AnneNeuberger. Both are former Deputy National Security Advisers, serving under Trump I & Biden respectively. Their presence shows strong #US bipartisan support for #Taiwan.

[Josh Rogin @joshrogin]

“The Chinese are skeptical of our calls for international cooperation on AI. They think they're in a race with us. And if they think they're in a race with us, it's kind of hard for us not to be in a race with them. And that's just the way it is.”

“And at the end of the day, the Chinese government is a dictatorship that's nationalist and socialist and doesn't really want to cooperate with us much. They want to beat us. They want to compete with us. So, we can try. It's worth trying.”

“But the record shows, according to 100% of the evidence, that when you sign an AI or a nuclear or a cyber-hacking document with the Chinese government, it turns out not to be held up. It turns out that they're not actually trustworthy.”

[Tom Malinowski @Malinowski]

There are two concepts for applying AI guardrails globally.

1. The U.S. and China agree to it, as Sam Altman fantasizes below.

2. The U.S. and other democracies agree to it and use our combined market power to hold back those (including potentiall China) who don't go along. 1/

[Select Committee on China @ChinaSelect]

China is paying for Iranian oil with credits for Chinese goods.

Here’s another story exposing how the CCP is working hand in hand with Iran to help fuel its attacks and evade sanctions. https://t.co/EqGg2Sebjy

[Bi-khim Hsiao 蕭美琴 @bikhim]

So delighted to welcome @GovWhitmer to Taiwan on her 3rd trip! We talked about student exchanges, investments, trade & drones and robotics. Industry cooperation with good potential for both Michigan & Taiwan! BTW, LOVE the cat warrior present! 😻

[Josh Rogin @joshrogin]

@ThirdWayMattB @johnbiggs The Hatch Act does not apply to the President or VP.

[Josh Rogin @joshrogin]

Any honest discussion of the minor benefits in the new U.S. agreement with Greenland and Denmark must taken into account how Trump’s threats to invade and bullying have undermined America’s standing there and undermined confidence in the U.S. commitment to NATO.

[Matt Morse @MattMorseTV]

“Trump’s new deal with Greenland is exactly the same as the old one!”

Not true at all. Key new details:

Duration: The 1951 deal lasted only as long as NATO existed and Greenland remained part of NATO. Trump’s 2026 deal lasts indefinitely, even if NATO implodes or Greenland becomes independent.

New Military Bases: In the 1951 deal, the U.S. could establish “defense areas” in Greenland only if Denmark gave the go-ahead. In Trump’s 2026 deal, the U.S. can establish military installations as it sees fit, with or without Denmark’s approval.

Third Countries: In the 1951 deal, Denmark retained the right to allow foreign nations, like China, to establish a presence in Greenland. Trump’s 2026 deal explicitly forbids foreign nations from doing anything in Greenland without U.S. approval.

Foreign Investments: The 1951 deal placed no restrictions on foreign nations making investments in Greenland, such as port build-outs, critical mineral mining, or undersea cable installations. Trump’s 2026 deal requires U.S. approval before foreign nations can invest in Greenland.

Simply put, Trump’s new Greenland deal is an absolutely massive geopolitical accomplishment, further establishing America’s dominance over the Western Hemisphere.

[Decoding Fox News @DecodingFoxNews]

As part of his Presidential EO Reinvigorating America's Hunting Heritage Tump unbanned lead ammunition. He obviously had no idea it was even included in the EO. Lead ammunition causes severe environmental contamination, wildlife poisoning, and human health risks.

[Shaun Walker @shaunwalker7]

I spoke to former Pussy Riot activist Rita Flores, who recently admitted she had been forced to collaborate with the FSB for the past three years, on her life as an informant, how the FSB runs agents, and the sad state of the wartime Moscow art scene.

https://t.co/gFH2Qf85Q2

[Uyghur American Association @Uyghur_American]

Xi Jinping will be visiting Washington, D.C. on Thursday, September 24th.

Join us at Franklin Park to raise our voices for Uyghurs and other communities facing human rights violations under the Chinese government.

!!! Please wear all black !!!

6 PM ET | We will march toward the White House, so please arrive early.

Reach out to us with any questions or concerns.

#Uyghur #UyghurGenocide

[Domino Theory @DominoTheoryMag]

NEW: At an international forum in Taipei, Anduril CEO @PalmerLuckey urged Taiwan to harden itself against the risk of a Chinese invasion by building more weapons and a political consensus, @StellaR39041279 reports.
https://t.co/YBdWHOgsAM

[Amy McGrath @AmyMcGrathKY]

My guess on this:

The National Defense Strategy was written by Trump’s appointee who he barely knows. Trump never read it and never cared and just did whatever he felt like doing.

So bottom line: no real strategy.

[Carol Rosenberg @carolrosenberg]

Now assembling at Andrews airbase near Washington DC: Guantánamo-bound lawyers and other war court personnel for what may be the last pretrial hearing before jury selection in the USS Cole bombing case. My first dispatch for @JustSecurity is here. https://t.co/aj9toF5oLU

[Kyle Chan @kyleichan]

“Indeed, word around D.C. is that more hawkish officials have drafted several proposals to hobble China’s high-tech industries, which are ready to go if Trump sours on Xi.” -@neilthomas123

Many great insights here from @wstv_lizzi and others: https://t.co/yvJqJWCAKf

[Megatron @Megatron_ron]

🇾🇪🇸🇦 King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia is burning

[Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 @AMFChina]

I still remember the time when folks earnestly told us that China was leaving fossil fuels behind and started embracing renewables. I was always sceptical. And now there are news about the resurgence of coal 👇

[Jason Leopold @JasonLeopold]

"Within hours of a Feb. 28 missile attack that hit an Iranian school, some Pentagon personnel knew the US was responsible, according to officials involved in an internal investigation of the incident. That probe found what the officials now describe as a cascade of preventable failures."