Gue ga ada simpati sama pengusaha sppg
- Mereka dari awal jadi enabler negara buat bakar duit
- Mereka doyan potong anggaran, nilep duit yang jadi haknya murid sekolah dan ibu hamil
- Mereka kasih upah minim ke tim pelaksana SPPG
- Mereka dapet titik dari nyuap dan koneksi ordal
- Mereka oportunis ga tau tempat. Orang2 kaya gini kalau pegang jabatan pemerintahan, udah pasti bakal korup
IHSG junam, Rupiah junam, ya karena uang negara yang harusnya dipake secara cermat dan strategis malah masuk kantong mereka
Kita mungkin baru akan liat IHSG recover 2027 onwards, itu gara2 mereka
Dear Americans,
Iran does not have the missile range to strike your country;
if an attack occurs, it would most likely be carried out by your own GOVERNMENT or ISRAEL.
They're right for Japan, Korea, and Singapore. Those guys source 75% of refined products from the Persian Gulf. Hormuz closes, they bleed.
But Indonesia is a different story entirely.
Yes, Indonesia imports refined products. Pertamina's refining capacity doesn't fully cover domestic demand, so Pertalite and Solar get bridged through imports. The Hormuz shock hits that. Real exposure.
What makes Indonesia different is this.
Indonesia's actual risk from this isn't supply. It's fiscal. If oil prices spike because Hormuz stays closed, the government's subsidy bill for Pertalite and Solar expands. Wider deficit, rupiah pressure. That's the bear case for Indonesia, and even that's manageable.
The bull case is what nobody is talking about.
Indonesia runs B40 right now. 40% of every liter of diesel consumed domestically is palm oil biodiesel, not petroleum. When oil spikes, the incentive to push toward B50 or B55 gets stronger overnight. Import volume drops. Indonesia self-hedges using its own CPO supply. No other country in Asia has this. Not Korea, not Japan, not Singapore.
Then there's coal.
When Hormuz disrupts LNG and oil flows into Asia, the fastest lever available to power generators in Japan, Korea, and India is gas to coal switching. Indonesia is the world's largest seaborne thermal coal exporter. ADARO, ITMG, PTBA, BUMI don't suffer from this scenario. Export volumes go up. Realized prices go up. Royalty revenue to the government goes up.
Same logic on LNG. Indonesia exports from Bontang and Tangguh. When Middle Eastern supply gets disrupted, the spot premium on non Gulf LNG widens. Indonesian cargoes price up.
Same logic on CPO. High oil equals strong biodiesel demand globally equals strong CPO prices. Indonesia and Malaysia control 85% of global supply.
You see, Indonesia pays more for refined product imports. Fiscal subsidy pressure rises. Rupiah is a watch item. Those are real negatives.
But Indonesia earns more on coal exports, earns more on LNG spot, earns more on CPO, and reduces net petroleum import volume through accelerated biodiesel blending. The terms of trade move in Indonesia's favor, not against it.
The conventional take is "Indonesia is a net oil importer so oil shock is bad." The correct take is Indonesia is a net energy exporter in the commodities that directly substitute for disrupted Persian Gulf supply. A sustained Hormuz closure improves Indonesia's aggregate energy trade position, not deteriorates it.
Happy Sunday and Happy Easter.
Amazing. Lost two C-130s to save one guy who was only there because his F-15 got knocked out of the skies (which resulted in downed/damaged Blackhawk helicopters and a downed A-10. Incredulous amount of hardware lost in this fiasco and the U.S. is calling it a win somehow.
NEW: MMA trainer chokes out Russian tourist in a headlock who was allegedly touching local girls inappropriately.
Belda Brig Sando, who is a Balinese Fighter and gym owner, is seen putting a Russian tourist in a headlock and choking him until he passes out.
Sando claims the man was drunk, touching people, walking in the middle of the road, and even slapping people on the head.
Sando said on his Instagram post of the video, “I’m tired of seeing some foreigners come here and act without respect.”
📹belda_brig_sando | IG
Innalillahi wa inna ilaihi raji’un.
We are outraged. An Indonesian peacekeeper is murdered. Another is fighting for his life. Israel bombed the base where they served.
This is clearly not an accident, nor a collateral damage. This is Netanyahu’s regime showing, once again, that they don’t care about international law, about UN personnel, and about the lives of those who dedicate themselves to peace.
Indonesia has gone above and beyond. We have sent over 1,200 of our troops to serve under the UN flag. The Indonesian government also joined the Board of Peace to push for a just and lasting resolution in the Middle East. We extended our hand in good faith. Yet the answer to that good faith is a bomb dropped on our soldiers’ base. They spat on every effort Indonesia has made for peace.
But let us be honest, this is not surprising. Netanyahu’s regime has shown time and again that they are indifferent to the world’s calls for restraint. They ignore UN resolutions. They strike UN facilities. They kill civilians, journalists, aid workers, and now peacekeepers. No one is off-limits. No one is safe. Sadly, it keeps going because the world keeps allowing it.
To the UN Secretary-General, we appreciate your condemnation and your condolences. But words are not enough anymore. The UN must move beyond statements. Concrete, enforceable, and urgent action is what this moment demands. The credibility of the UN is on the line. If the world body cannot protect its own peacekeepers, what exactly is it protecting?
To the nations of the world, now is the time to act together. Push for accountability. Refer those responsible to international courts. Enforce the rules that you all signed up to uphold. International law is only as strong as the willingness of nations to defend it. That willingness has been tested over and over again by Netanyahu’s regime. For countless of times, the world has failed the test.
Do not let this death be forgotten in a news cycle. Do not let this become just another statistic in a long list of violations. Demand justice. Demand accountability. Make clear that those who attack UN peacekeepers will face real consequences.
Kepada prajurit TNI yang gugur, selamat jalan, Pahlawan. Doa kami menyertai, juga bagi keluarga yang ditinggalkan. Kepada yang terluka, semoga lekas pulih. Indonesia berduka, tapi kita yakin, Indonesia tidak akan diam.
List of theories, add your own:
- False flag as big as 9/11
- Blackmail on Trump
- Ground invasion of Iran about to start
- Exploding phones
- The end of the U.S. empire, to be replaced with Greater Israel