One thing there is no shortage of is frost this month in Slovakia.
This morning even thought just after midnight cloud came we got below -10°C.
Looking at short range it will be no problem reaching -10°C in May.
Just few hours after sunset its already -11°C at my Karst frost hollow station. You would struggle to get that low all winter here in the town in Rožňava - Slovakia even under snow cover.
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Data from website "Bez Počasia" showing some station with about 1 hour! of sunshine with dull frost free month it is the most desperate december so far since my Lifetime in Slovakia. So much for seasonal models december early cold La Nina potential.
@JanJasenka Vcera sa vyfarbili s tými dymovnicami a 20 minút sa nehralo. Nechápem,ako to oni môžu doniesť na štadión,keď ty musíš jednu dvojdecovu fľašku vyhodiť pri vstupe pri SBS. Niečo je prehnite s celým futbalovom v prospech Slovanu.
Very quiet when seasonal model updates like this from ECMWF.
With shockingly mild first 20 days of December and to follow up anomalies like this,looking very likely that we will again be attacking some of the mildest winters in central Europe.
@judah47 You Can have 75 stratospheric warmings in a month, off th the scale MJO 6-7-8, weak LA Nina, yet the pressure pattern in Europe = like Super Nino/Super Nina or MJO in circle of death and zonal winds 10hPa 50ms.
always Euro high + west based -NAO or just straight high pressure
@WorldClimateSvc Lol, all 4 mentioned maps have about same percentage of mild winters in Slovakia,as if we are imune to these climate drivers. Better show average height anomalies then 2m temps to see trends as appart from western Europe inversion elsewhere effect average temps.
@Superchri90 Tropical convection in MC moving through phases 4 to 6 is actually very good for early cold. -AAM early winter/late autumn most often bring early snow in Central Europe. However for this pattern we tend to pay price in Januáru,because its not best for heat flux.
@WorldClimateSvc Why there is such poor NAO correlation with 1 month lead time for október,yet very good 5 month lead time for February. Because so many "default" + NAO februaries in recent years?