J. H.

Libertarian TERF. The state has lost its legitimacy in 2021. Fuck ALL Politicians!

[Glenn Diesen @Glenn_Diesen]

"One ought to recognize that the present political chaos is connected with the decay of language, and that one can probably bring about some improvement by starting at the verbal end" - George Orwell

[Mohamad Safa @mhdksafa]

The Iranian navy, which has been destroyed eight times, closed the Strait of Hormuz again, because the United States for the seventh time won the war that wasn’t a war, so the United States can open the Strait of Hormuz that was open before the not war.

The not war that started to get the uranium that was completely obliterated, so that the Iranians can’t build the nuclear bomb that they weren’t building for the not war that the United States started.

Then the United States which has nuclear weapons threatening to use nuclear weapons to prevent Iran from having nuclear weapons because having nuclear weapons is dangerous.

If the United States saw what the United States is doing in the United States, the United States would invade the United States to liberate the United States from the tyranny of the United States.

[James Melville 🚜 @JamesMelville]

Gaza:

▪️A peer-reviewed study in The Lancet Global Health estimated 75,200 violent deaths between October 7, 2023, and January 5, 2025.

▪️Over 65,000 additional deaths from starvation.

▪️Women and children comprise approximately 60% to 70% of total fatalities.

▪️An additional 10,000 people are estimated to be missing and presumed buried under rubble. 

▪️Over 80% of buildings in Gaza are reported to be damaged or destroyed, with an estimated 320,000+ housing units affected and over 60 million tonnes of rubble created.

Hell on earth. And there is absolutely no justification for this scale of atrocity whatsoever.

[Arnaud Bertrand @RnaudBertrand]

So, if I got that right, here's the narrative:

- A US F-15E fighter jet got shot down over Iran, despite Trump saying 2 days beforehand in his nationwide address that Iran has "no anti-aircraft equipment. Their radar is 100% annihilated." (https://t.co/3pnVUGxHyV)

- The plane's weapons systems officer - a "highly respected Colonel," according to Trump - ejected from the plane and got "seriously wounded" (still according to Trump: https://t.co/jUbGiGk9uM)

- He still managed to "hike up a 7,000-foot [2.1km] mountain ridgeline and hide in a crevice" in the Zagros Mountains, despite his wounds (https://t.co/ECTqgUFOZ3)

- U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drones started killing all "Iranian military-aged males believed to be a threat who got within three kilometers of [the American's location]" (https://t.co/86aZgrsXGT)

- To retrieve him the U.S. managed to seize an "abandoned airport," 200 miles deep inside Iran, near Isfahan (https://t.co/rOpRm3mqt9), which happens to be where Iran's largest atomic scientific center is located (https://t.co/jQfmg4zI8t)

- They landed two MC-130 military transport planes in that airport (https://t.co/k0mU0wqnvU) in an operation involving "hundreds of special forces troops and military personnel" (https://t.co/ECTqgUFOZ3)

- Both MC-130 planes got "stuck in the sand" and the U.S. destroyed them themselves "to prevent them from falling into Iranian hands" (https://t.co/k0mU0wqnvU)

- They deployed "three new aircraft to extract all the U.S. personnel" on the ground (https://t.co/k0mU0wqnvU)

- There are videos circulating online of "heavy clashes" with presumably Iranian missiles raining down in Kohgiluyeh County, in the Zagros Mountains during that night (https://t.co/VCeTzcC1vt)

- Iran sent pictures of the aftermath at the "abandoned airport" and it's a sight of utter destruction, with US plane and MH-6 helicopter parts scattered all over the ground, still smoking (https://t.co/mDpYT9qsKC). Iran claims they are the ones who in fact destroyed all the aircraft.

- Meanwhile a second U.S. plane, an A-10 Warthog, also crashed on Friday near the Strait of Hormuz according to two U.S. officials speaking to the NYT (https://t.co/lFs4zERw2t). In that instance too the lone pilot was apparently "safely rescued."

- In all this, after the multiple planes and helicopters destroyed or shot down, the documented heavy clashes, the "hundreds of special forces troops and military personnel" operating deep inside Iran, not a single US soldier was reported killed "or even wounded" (according to Trump: https://t.co/rCgrl6vMpT).

- And the 'highly respected Colonel' this was all for? No name. No photo. No interview. Nobody has spoken to him nor knows who he is.

So to sum up: anti-aircraft equipment that supposedly didn't exist shot down an F-15 (and, apparently, an A-10 Warthog the same day). A seriously wounded man climbed a 2.1km mountain. The US seized an airfield 200 miles inside a country it's at war with, next to one of its most strategic nuclear sites, and deployed hundreds of troops all apparently unimpeded. Lost two planes to "sand" and destroyed their own helicopters. Videos show heavy clashes, missiles raining down - but not a single person got "even wounded". And the man at the center of it all? Nobody knows who he is, completely anonymous, zero pictures, but Trump says he is "SAFE and SOUND." And so is the rescued A-10 Warthog pilot, who also remains anonymous.

Trump concludes this all proves the US has "achieved overwhelming Air Dominance and Superiority over the Iranian skies" (https://t.co/rCgrl6vMpT), despite the whole episode only happening because Iran shot his planes out of the sky.

Basically, the only thing that's "overwhelming" here is the audacity of the storytelling...

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@seanhannity You wouldn't believe how happy most citizens in NATO countries would be to get out of it. Ami go home.

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@lugosi187161813 @MartinSonneborn Diese Typen sind keine Muslime, die sind Sunniten. Würdest du das gelten lassen?

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@WhiteHouse Chicken

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@J1MMYJAMJAM @camarada_gato @Matt_Bracken48 You are delusional. Have you followed the Ukraine war? US soldiers will be hunted down man by man with FPVs. It's a nightmare. US drones are spare, expansive a mediocre.

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@lostguy79 If this happend, neither China nor Russia are surprised, because it's prob. Chinese tech.

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@Striekspoen @MartinSonneborn Dafür müsste die Transaktion in chinesischen Yuan gezahlt werden. Ihr glaubt doch selbst nicht, dass irgendein deutscher Politiker dazu die Eier hätte.

[Arnaud Bertrand @RnaudBertrand]

You've got to hand it to Iran: that's masterful asymmetric warfare.

If they pull this off and suddenly oil transiting through Hormuz is traded in Yuan, we're talking potentially close to $1 trillion less in annual demand for dollars (20% of the world's oil + LNG). It'd be insanely impressive to achieve this simply by controlling a 30-mile strait with a few missiles and drones.

And it'd have compounding effects: $1 trillion less in demand for dollars means less foreign buying of US Treasuries, higher borrowing costs in the U.S., more inflation, etc.

Heck even if this doesn't materialize, the mere fact they're suggesting it and that it's taken seriously by mainstream media like CNN is impactful in and of itself: at the end of the day dollar supremacy is also very much based on inertia. But inertia works both ways: once enough people start questioning it, the questioning itself becomes self-reinforcing.

Imagine you're a central banker and you're seeing this: you're undoubtedly telling yourself "mmm, maybe it's time to hold a bit more yuan, just in case."

It's also pretty ironic: the U.S. has weaponized the dollar against others countless times - including, of course, against Iran - but I can't think of a precedent of a country actively at war with the U.S. using the dollar's dominance as a weapon against them. Literally flipping the playbook, which sets an interesting precedent.

All in all, in this war you really have the feeling to witness Sun Tzu's maxim about "knowing the enemy and knowing yourself" in real time: Trump obviously completely failed to understand what he was getting into.

Iran, on the other hand, clearly studied its enemy's vulnerabilities, be it hitting Gulf countries until they question whether being a U.S. ally protects or endangers them, choking oil supply to inflict economic pain the US can't bomb its way out of, or now attacking the dollar itself.

The U.S. only has bombs to reply, but hard to see how they could bomb their way out of problems that were entirely predictable consequences of their bombing in the first place, if anyone had spent five minutes thinking about what Iran might do in response.

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@dany_bmg @PolitRealist Lass gut sein. Das, was wir zwei hier machen, hat gar keinen Sinn. Du bist neutralen Mapper-Informationen ggü. unzugänglich und scheinst mich nur zum Aggressionsabbau zu benutzen. Keiner wird den anderen überzeugen, weder jetzt noch in 3 Monaten.

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@dany_bmg @PolitRealist Nicht großartig meint also kleine Gewinne für die UKR? Oder etwa für RU, weil das kann ja nicht sein. Die UKR gewinnt ja gerade! Magst du dich nicht festlegen? Hab ich mich ja getraut. Kannste in 3 Monaten behaupten, egal was kommt, dass du richtig lagst. Erbärmlich. 🤭

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@grok @dany_bmg @PolitRealist @grok Iran: Nicht nur das Internet und der Mobilfunk innerhalb kürzester Zeit abgeschaltet, sondern auch Starlink vollständig gejammt. 20.000 illegale Terminals nutzlos. Die Technologie dafür stammt entweder aus China oder RU. Kurz darauf Starlink für RU tot. Zufall?

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@grok @dany_bmg @PolitRealist @grok Warum wurde erst jetzt entschieden Starlink abzustellen? Musste RU nicht damit rechnen? Könnte der Zeitpunkt damit zusammen hängen, dass die RU Starlink für die UKR jammen können und es daher für die UKR an Wert verloren hat? Siehe Iran als Beweis.

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@dany_bmg @PolitRealist @grok Warum konnte RU Starlink so lange benutzen? Welche Maßnahmen hat Russland ergriffen, um die fehlende Kommunikation nach dem Abschalten von Starlink zu verbessern? Wann plant RU eigene Satelliten zu senden, die wie Starlink funktionieren?

[Glenn Diesen @Glenn_Diesen]

Why shape public opinion with rational arguments when you can manipulate the language

[J. H. @Jutta___H]

@dany_bmg @PolitRealist Wir treffen uns in 3 Monaten wieder: Was ist deine Voraussage, wo wird die Frontlinie in 3 Monaten verlaufen? Damit wir wirklich vergl können, wer heute näher an die Wahrheit gekommen ist. Meine ist wie gesagt: Ru vor den Toren von Kramatorsk und Sloviansk. Konstant. gefallen.