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Mid Apr - Be wary
So I’ve dropped quite a few tweets about Q2:
https://t.co/rQiApLSJoT
https://t.co/6uuG95Um4W
https://t.co/pfWUMcS709
Lazy to find more but here is the summary for my thoughts:
1. People pay taxes after a big bull run
2. BTC halving → Sell the news event, the nuke around the event hasn’t happen yet
3. Liquidity Reduction
4. CPI going up will dampen expectation of rate cuts
Overall, while my public portfolio has a high beta rating yet extremely conservative. If every single shit I own goes zero, I’m effectively break even with half million cash.
So I'm going to keep saying this. In a bull market, buy the fastest moving risk asset.
Don't buy the safest asset ( Dividend, Reits, Low P/E ). Stupid normie shit at its finest.
It's time to be in 50% cash ( moving from 30% from my top of market call )
https://t.co/lUKjnvR9YQ
First I want to say, we had a massive run. Be grateful. If you’re not, fuck off. Today announcement from Bank of Japan ( BoJ ) has moved my “sell in Mid Apr” to NOW.
🔶We know liquidity will be reduced from Apr and there might be front running.
I've mentioned it here:
https://t.co/k79AYI13fu
🔶Today BoJ's decision of exiting out of negative rates + ending YCC
🔶I’m not touching alt coins ( explained before ), only majors ( #BTC / #ETH ) will be adjusted.
Notes on BoJ
🔶Japan biggest creditor of the world, wants capital to flow back to Japan.
🔶Interest rate 0% - 0.1% will move capital back for sure. As commercial real estate world wide is dead, Japan looking pretty decent.
🔶Yen carry trade is dead. Negative impact on euro and usd ( negative liquidity )
🔶Japan’s MOF probably directed BOJ to bring the money back
🔶Yield Curve Control is gone
This feels like a margin call on the world
Net impact
🔶Selling of US assets
🔶Stocks + Bonds will drop
🔶Crypto will likely follow short term
🔶My best guess is some sort of crisis needs to happen so Fed can be dovish. Maybe June Pivot.
Regarding this tweet: https://t.co/gp9dEAVrvc
#BTC 65K call wall was nicely defended for 2 days until BOJ’s decision. It’s too big for crypto to absorb, on top of the slowing of inflows from ETF.
_____
At the same time, I’m found of most bullish project to be launching. In my opinion, top 10. Easy. I’m trying all ways to accumulate it via OTC. I will share more about it in the future, I’m not front running you ever and never, you can’t buy it, I can’t buy it. It’s not launched.
Stay cautious, I’ve been warning you guys over several tweets. When normies start to get interested, it’s the ultimate top signal. Nuke them, rinse and repeat.
Max fuckery is always the path.
Also, glad I moved you guys to partial profit taking at the peak. When I think we can start buying again, I'll let you know.
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If you didn’t sell $PLTR at $20 and capture your gains
There is zero, and I really mean zero, reason to be upset it’s falling
Did you want it to stay at $20 and just stare at paper gains? Or did you think it was headed to $30?
If you thought it was going to $30 with 13% growth — you don’t understand valuations.
If you didn’t sell, then unless you love looking at numbers that aren’t real on your brokerage, you should probably want to acquire more shares at even better valuations if you believe in AIP playing out, along with a variety of other factors, over the long term.
The story has only gotten better — more AIP customers in the pipeline, S&P 500 soon, various contracts up for play, The decade of AI just getting started.
Lower prices should be your friend not your enemy.
The fight will be managed by my and Zuck’s foundations (not UFC).
Livestream will be on this platform and Meta. Everything in camera frame will be ancient Rome, so nothing modern at all.
I spoke to the PM of Italy and Minister of Culture. They have agreed on an epic location.
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Don’t want to leave you hanging by a thread… but Twitter, you really outdid yourselves! Last week we had our largest usage day since February. There’s only ONE Twitter. You know it. I know it. 🎤
Holy smokes! I did not expect so many people to be bullish.
Is this representative of the larger population? 🤫
If so, then market may go down soon as market tends to go opposite of the majority’s expectations
Maybe market will drop soon, flush out the weak hands, give us a chance to add more shares , then rally 😁
I find it funny that people get very upset when I say that I will not invest in Crypto/Bitcoin
If you so confident in an asset that you are invested in, you should not care if others are invested in it. You do not need others to agree with you.
If you truly love your wife/husband, you want them all to yourself. You do not want to share them with other people. You do not need others to tell you that they are beautiful.