t_karakousis

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[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@aleabitoreddit Nice performance, but value matters. Putting in 10€ is one thing, and 500,000€ is another

[Venu @Venu_7_]

If anyone wonders why your portfolio feels like it's moving around a lot lately:

$VIX is sitting at 22.

A quick way to estimate the market's expected daily move is to take the VIX and divide it by 16 (the square root of 252 trading days).

22 ÷ 16 = 1.375%

That means the market is pricing in roughly 1.375% daily moves in $SPY. With $SPY around $732, that's approximately $10.07 swings per day.

For context, when the VIX was around 14 earlier this year, implied daily moves were only about 0.875%.

In other words, we're experiencing nearly double the day-to-day volatility compared to just a few weeks ago.

So if your portfolio feels more volatile lately, it's not necessarily because you're doing something wrong.

It's the environment.

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@Invest_Brandon If my dick had a fingernail, it would be a finger.

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@IncomeSharks Flnc ⛽⛽⛽

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@IncomeSharks After Donald Trump’s naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz which looks more like a desperate move in a war of attrition don’t you think the probability of further escalation has increased significantly? Such a development could easily lead to very severe economic consequences

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@IncomeSharks Thnx

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@IncomeSharks Mpravo

[IncomeSharks @IncomeSharks]

Not to scare, just to prepare. Sahm Rule has been 9/9 on calling recessions. It's never given a false positive. We've gone from 0.10 in July to an estimated 0.20. At 0.50 it triggers a recession warning. We aren't close yet but unemployment rising is pushing us closer.

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@IncomeSharks Any stocks? Only root?

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

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[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: Publicly traded Bakkt Holdings says it may use $1 billion from shelf offering to buy Bitcoin.

[IncomeSharks @IncomeSharks]

My rule of 3 for buying a stock:

1) At least 3 different entries
2) Wait at least 3 days between entries
3) Have at least 3 reasons why you should buy (FA, TA, earnings, catalysts, sentiment)

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@IncomeSharks What about lac, tgt, m87??? Don't just mention what goes up

[IncomeSharks @IncomeSharks]

Here's the 4 charts you should get all your news from. 4/4 say everything today was a nothing burger.

$VIX flat
$LMT flat
$OIL dropping
$SPY green

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@ChillTRD Atlas

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@IncomeSharks What about LAK?

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@IncomeSharks What about lac?

[t_karakousis @KarakousisT]

@IncomeSharks @DefiyantlyFree Give us a comment about the idiot who said he would turn Gaza into an American Riviera (ethnic cleansing, that is)