@LawrenceLepard Same thing happened with me
Got 2nd Floor tickets to the Laker Game! for my whole family cost me a fortune
They never delivered them
Never refunded me
MSTR to $3,800 per share.
Assumptions:
$1B/month preferred issuance only
11.5% preferred cost
30% BTC CAGR
1.32x CEBE mNAV, no expansion EVER
common stock sold to pay dividends
zero common stock sold to buy Bitcoin (LOL)
Start:
843,738 BTC
573,757 common equity BTC
163,144 CEBE sats/share
$158.97 implied price
Year 10:
1,424,686 BTC
1,287,186 common equity BTC
285,605 CEBE sats/share
$3,836.60 implied price
That is 24.1x in the model.
The insane part?
Preferred balance goes from $15.5B to $135.5B, yet senior claims fall from 270K BTC to 137.5K BTC.
Why?
Because fixed fiat claims get vaporized when measured against a compounding Bitcoin treasury.
This is Ownership Acceleration.
CEBE sats/share rise 75%.
Common equity BTC rises by 713K BTC.
Bears see “debt” and “dilution.”
The model sees fiat claims being dragged behind the Bitcoin monster truck at 3 AM while Saylor is doing laps around the sovereign bond market.
Even the bearish assumptions make me a very rich man.
CEBE is the scoreboard.
Bullish Strategy.
@Michael_L_Rauch Same thing happened to me..
Traded my car for one of the remaining model S
It’s unbelievable.. I barely touched steering wheel anymore.