The Other Me

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@admcrlsn What did Collins say about the Red Sox?

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@umichvoter Fish is a 4-letter word

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@DrewSav Area 51?

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@ZaidJilani Is it fair to compare primary states with caucus states in this way?

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@umichvoter Mixed feelings here. Shri was a bad representative, but was bad in the best possible way!

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@animende1 @MattZeitlin Well, the 2021 baseline sucked. Adams won easily, but no one was enthused about that election.

2025 was weird though with Mamdani overperforming in the primary, then Cuomo overperforming in the general (but well short of winning).

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@ImNotOwned Kinda wondered about that. Is it mostly to give doorknockers a chance to think they are important?

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@nikicaga If only Britain had drawn the line better at separation, all the problems would have been solved!

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@DjsokeSpeaking LOL, are we gonna see "evil posters greatly exaggerated Abdul's lead just to tank his candidacy!"

Really not any wilder than the KY Senate conspiracies.

[Dj @DjsokeSpeaking]

😶

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@lxeagle17 Who knew that there were this many Bernie-Stevens voters!!!

Which ET poster best fits the Bernie-Stevens model?

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@DjsokeSpeaking I need Kalshi to bomb every now and then to reinforce my worldview.

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@NateSilver538 I mean, does that actually work sometimes - you convince the voters "It's over" so your opponent's voters lose heart and don't show up?

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@Jlrube Is it true that Michigan has open primaries - so that Sanders in 2016 and Stevens in 2026 could win crossover voters that polls don't account for?

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@DrewSav Isn't WA a place where the primary vote has been remarkably predictable.

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@ProfBrettWilson @cfthepodcast Many online were arguing he should pivot to the general.

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@theparanoidpuck @gelliottmorris Also, the lack of a Republican Senate primary could lead to more crossover voters.

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@theparanoidpuck @gelliottmorris If they are open, I could see where Stevens would overperform in the rural counties.

[The Other Me @KeithHi01139456]

@gelliottmorris A big question was even Haley Steven's alleged internal as bad for her as the public polls? I've never believed internal polls were way much better than public polls, even though may posters present them as the hidden truth.

[G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris]

Guessing but probably something to do with political engagement bias that correlated with vote choice that you can’t weight out of without a past vote/party benchmark (since not a general)