no worries bro. I'll add a few things. Context is super important. JOBY was below its daily support so that's what led me to be a bit wider and continue staying short until we hit some sort of target. There are different spots you can place your stop when taking LOD breaks like breakdown bar high, previous lower high, etc. Sometimes you can get stopped out and the stock will make its way back down to LOD and break lower, you have to decide if it worth hitting back in or not. In this case for JOBY was breaking down on the HTF, structurally weak on the intraday and staying heavy, market was also weak, etc. So recognizing the checks in favor and then determining the % probability of it working out or not. Hope this helps
A bit late but here at the top opps + easy layups that fit my playbook and also some other trades I am trying to develop from last month May. https://t.co/IXIY1R4pVz
$GOOGL $TSLA $HIMS $OKLO $SPCE $SOUN $FSLR $UBER $UNH $WOLF $DJT $CRWV $UNH
$APLD+ $TEM trade review, mistakes, lessons, etc.
$GLD tried it over HOD and got absolutely rinsed on my exit fill when it wicked below my stop
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$PLTR joined the opening drive but got stopped out when it fell back below VWAP.
what do you think about buying the opening drive on COIN? I think its valid since it held in the upper quartile of its up leg the whole night and morning, great sign of strength. Could realistically buy at 232.30 a few seconds into the open, could even be aggressive and add when the bid dropped back down to opening print but held.I was focusing on FSLR during the open, bad miss from me.
Another MR rep on $SPCE
Was watching this on the side since it reported yesterday and got price alerted when it came up to PMH. I personally didn't love taking the PMH break unless it consolidated tightly under that level since it had just moved 2 ATR's, 45 mins after the open. You could make the argument there were some spots to scalp long as it was climbing, I personally wanted to sit out and see if an unsustainable move formed to short. Variables for the short are: was up +95% at highs. slope was steep, capitulatory volume, and hadn't broke 5min PBL for over an hour.
@limeperriere thanks, I'm gonna be diving back and studying back the MR trades I have saved from the past, but off the top of my head the best ones don't reclaim VWAP and it ends up being a strong resistance/Line in the sand. So yeah using VWAP as an out was more appropriate here.
$FSLR mean reversion
Sucks to end red on a euphoric day like today but its apart of the game. Totally fine with that entry, it definitely fits the criteria for a MR short. My trade management on the other hand is where the mistakes are made. I got warped into the mindset of looking for a big unwinding and anything short of that was not good enough.
Posting this to show my errors and how it can be avoided in the future + what an (A+) Mean Reversion trade should look like.
Feedback / tips/ input always appreciated.
If this thing gaps up, it should be game on tomorrow for a Day 3 exhaustion.
Only a quick scalp on $IBIT today - Not happy with my execs so wrote some solutions in my review.
Other good trades I saw today but didn't catch were UNH day 2 continuation short and CRWV lod + daily low short, ended up giving good follow through.