Kevin Sheth

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@Zprtr1 Blue Alaska but red Maine would be hilarious

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@JohnForReason @AutisticClip Then date men bro.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@LeighWolf @KFILE You know nothing about Austin then. My very straight sister goes there to have fun without getting hit on.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@calthrina950 Abbott will also win handily because despite all the culture war stuff, he's known for keeping the state economy running well and keeping things cheap. Terrible person but decent administrator.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@calthrina950 Nah man, the culture war stuff isn't going to work when gas is hovering around $4 a gallon and stuff is getting more expensive. Indies hated Biden because he made things more expensive and they hate Trump for the same reason.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@KellyScaletta Drove through rural TX, have not seen a single Paxton sign yet. In suburban TX (Cedar Park), it's a mix of John Carter (the incumbent R House Rep) and Talarico signs.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@chrisharris904 It’s finally out of La Niña which is probably why the rain is back. This is normal May weather.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@chriswithans Dawg, the recalled vote on the poll was Trump +13. They modeled at tie using the 2024 electorate.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@electionsjoe 5-6%. People may hate Trump but they do like how Abbott has run the state economy.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@Calebej37 I know a few potential Abbott - Talarico voters. They hate Trump but they like economic direction Texas is taking. It's still pretty affordable here and job market is decent and people may not want to rock the boat on that.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@Politics1com They’ll make it into a referendum to by pass the Courts and I’m sure they’ll do it right, unlike Virginia.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@AndrewJ132 @AstorAaron This is a bad long term move by the GOP. The new maps are good until 2030, and pissing off black voters guarantees Ds take the governor mansion and supreme court races in 2028 which guarantee a massive Dem pickup after 2028.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@Lexi8983 @LillianBelle2 @DrewSav Except in Maine and Michigan

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@FLPolEnjoyer @c_hunter_r If the Democrats win the supreme court in 2028, they can just block the gerrymanders (ex. NC until 2024)

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@SiddFinch00 @byelin Don't forget KY.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@JoeNC05 I think NY is a bit more aggressive. It's a safe blue state and Hispanics have snapped back left enough where they can be aggressive.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@spicy1812 @roon0292 @Wellstonecratt PASC is too risky. New York is the obvious big fish left to fry. Courts there have moved left and I'm sure a new constitutional amendement would pass there for 2028.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@mafia2198 @cobb_dem @walkeri141 You can see what parties endorse which judges and how the judges have ruled in the past. It doesn't take Sherlock Holmes to see which parties these judges lean towards even if it's a non-partisan race on paper.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@DavidGriscom Mah boi is from Austin. Potato egg and cheese tacos are a breakfast stable here.

[Kevin Sheth @KevinSheth55349]

@mafia2198 @cobb_dem @walkeri141 The Republicans did it in North Carolina, the Ds can do it in GA.