Godfrey K. Gichuki

Pastor at LCI, Business Strategy & Public Policy Researcher. Trainer, Coach & Consultant. Life-long learner, Father & Husband.

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

This man has finished me. You gotta here this.
https://t.co/Mj5i0bMEAc

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

I wish our bureaucrats can get this truth.

[Brivael Le Pogam @brivael]

Elon Musk avait dit un truc qui m'avait marqué sur l'allocation de ressources. En substance : passé un certain niveau de richesse, l'argent n'est plus de la consommation, c'est de l'allocation de capital.

Cette phrase change tout.

L'économie, dans le fond, c'est juste un problème d'allocation. Tu as des ressources finies et des usages infinis. Qui décide où va quoi ?

Imagine une cour de récré. 100 enfants, des paquets de cartes Pokémon distribués au hasard. Tu laisses faire. Très vite, un ordre émerge. Les bons joueurs accumulent les cartes rares, les collectionneurs trient, les négociateurs trouvent des deals. Personne n'a planifié. Et pourtant chaque carte finit dans les mains de celui qui en tire le plus de valeur. Le système maximise le bonheur total de la cour. C'est ça, la main invisible.

Maintenant fais entrer la maîtresse. Elle trouve ça injuste. Léo a 50 cartes, Tom en a 3. Elle confisque, redistribue, impose l'égalité. Trois effets immédiats. Les bons joueurs arrêtent de jouer, à quoi bon. Les mauvais n'ont plus de raison de progresser, ils auront leur part. Les échanges s'effondrent. La cour est égale, et morte. Elle a maximisé l'égalité, elle a détruit le bonheur.

Le problème de la maîtresse, c'est qu'elle ne peut pas avoir l'information que la cour avait collectivement. C'est le problème du calcul économique de Mises, formulé en 1920. L'URSS a essayé de le résoudre pendant 70 ans avec le Gosplan. Résultat : pénuries, queues, effondrement. Pas parce que les Soviétiques étaient bêtes, parce que le problème est mathématiquement insoluble en mode centralisé.

Quand Musk a 200 milliards, il ne les consomme pas, il les alloue. SpaceX, Starlink, Neuralink, xAI. Chaque dollar est un pari sur le futur. Et lui a un track record. PayPal, Tesla, SpaceX. Il a démontré qu'il sait identifier des problèmes immenses et y allouer des ressources avec un rendement spectaculaire.

L'État aussi a un track record. Hôpitaux qui s'effondrent, éducation qui décline, dette qui explose, services publics qui se dégradent malgré des budgets en hausse constante. Le marché identifie les bons allocateurs, la politique identifie les bons communicants.

Le profit n'est pas une finalité, c'est un signal. Il dit : tu as alloué des ressources rares vers un usage que les gens valorisent suffisamment pour payer. Plus le profit est gros, plus la création de valeur est grande. Quand Starlink est rentable, ça veut dire que des millions de gens dans des zones rurales ont enfin internet. Quand un ministère est en déficit, ça veut dire qu'il consomme plus qu'il ne produit. L'un crée, l'autre détruit, et on appelle ça redistribution.

Dans nos sociétés il y a deux catégories d'acteurs. Les entrepreneurs et les bureaucrates. L'entrepreneur prend un risque personnel pour identifier un problème, mobiliser des ressources, créer une solution. S'il se trompe il perd. S'il a raison, ses clients gagnent, ses employés gagnent, ses fournisseurs gagnent, l'État collecte des impôts. Il est la cellule de base du progrès humain.

Le bureaucrate ne prend aucun risque personnel. Son salaire est garanti. Au mieux il maintient une rente existante. Au pire il la détruit par excès de réglementation, mauvaise allocation forcée, incitations perverses qui découragent ceux qui produisent. Mais dans aucun cas il ne crée.

Regarde les 50 dernières années. iPhone, internet civil, SpaceX, Tesla, Google, Amazon, Stripe, mRNA, ChatGPT. Toutes des inventions privées, portées par des entrepreneurs, financées par du capital risque. Pas un seul ministère n'a inventé quoi que ce soit qui ait changé ta vie au quotidien.

La France est devenue le laboratoire mondial de la dérive bureaucratique. 57% du PIB en dépenses publiques, record absolu. Une administration tentaculaire, une fiscalité qui pénalise la création de richesse. Résultat : décrochage face aux États-Unis, à l'Allemagne, à la Suisse. Fuite des cerveaux. Désindustrialisation. Dette qui explose.

Et le pire c'est que la mauvaise allocation s'auto-renforce. Plus l'État prélève, moins les entrepreneurs créent. Moins ils créent, moins il y a de base fiscale. Plus l'État s'endette et taxe. Boucle de rétroaction négative parfaite. La maîtresse pense qu'elle aide, et chaque année la cour produit moins.

Dans nos sociétés, ce sont les entrepreneurs, toujours, qui font avancer la civilisation. Les bureaucrates au mieux maintiennent une rente, au pire la détruisent. Aucune société n'a jamais progressé en taxant ses créateurs pour subventionner ses gestionnaires.

La question n'est jamais qui a combien. C'est qui alloue le mieux la prochaine unité de ressource pour maximiser le futur de l'humanité. La réponse depuis 200 ans n'a jamais changé. Ce ne sont pas les fonctionnaires.

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@MaryK2022 The only problem with the GMO debate is no one every names a chemical or actual molecule responsible for the hum, none. It's easy to name Bill Gates and many others but no name for a molecule, genome etc, nothing. End of my small contribution to the debate.

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@MigunaMiguna @LarryMadowo is right. Just that you can't stand anyone supporting Trump. Trump doesn't care.

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

WOKE NONSENSE! WHO CARES WHETHER YOU HAVE A CHILD OR NOT? WHAT IF YOUR MOTHER REASONED LIKE YOU?

[NTV Kenya @ntvkenya]

Consolata: As a lady, I can't risk having a child until Ruto leaves office. I pity parents who are raising children in this economy.

#FixingTheNationNTV @nationfmke @ericlatiff @mariambishar @Officialjmbugua

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@amerix Foolish theory. Go back to your sociology class.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

True

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

The professor who hated babies had died. https://t.co/cJW7L7EaFb via @UnHerd. This man did more damage to humanity than all the plagues to ever hit planet earth. Yet he was so wrong!

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

Here's an important conversation with H. E. Gideon Behar, Israeli Ambassador to Kenya. Have your say on @ElevateTVKenya

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

Most sober analysis here.

[Konstantin Kisin @KonstantinKisin]

The arguments about Iran are so polarised that no one wants to admit that several things are true at once:

You'd be a fool not to have serious reservations about the idea of a regime change war, especially in the Middle East.

You'd also be a fool to allow terrorist-funding lunatics to develop nuclear weapons.

Neither the people condemning these strikes, nor the people cheering them on know how this is going to work out.

So far, Trump Administration interventions have been extraordinarily successful in achieving valid objectives within a highly limited scope.

The strikes on Iran during the 12 day war achieved destruction of several nuclear facilities.

The Venezuela operation decapitated the hostile regime and replaced Maduro with a non-hostile leader.

Both also achieved significant "don't fuck with us" deterrence globally.

However, it is not remotely clear at this moment in time whether something similar can be achieved in Iran.

I understand and fully empathise with the people who think regime change is not going to work in Iran and you'll end up with the same as what you had or worse.

And I understand just as much the people who celebrate an evil dictator being killed and Iran's nuclear and military assets being degraded further.

The thing we do not know, and the thing that will determine whether this has all been worth it, is what the future leadership of Iran will look like. This seems to me to be the biggest risk Donald Trump has taken at any time in his first or second term. If it pays off, the reward both domestically and globally will be huge. If it doesn't and things go south, it could derail his Presidency and define his legacy like Iraq did for Blair and Bush.

Very few people have any idea which of these scenarios is more likely and one thing is for sure: none of them are talking about it on social media because they're all sitting in command bunkers, not on X.

I hope the people of Iran are released from living under tyranny. I hope the peoples of the Middle East can live in peace.
I hope the takeaway for any would-be terrorist is the realisation that October 7 might not have been such a good idea.
I hope that with the Middle East stabilised, the US can turn its attentions to the theatres that really matters to the security of the West: Russia and China.

Whether any of that happens remains to be seen and it seems the hardest thing for anyone to do is to not express an opinion before the smoke has cleared.

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@HonAdenDuale The only problem with 'inclusion' to the Islamic faith here is that it flows in only one direction. Try to apply inclusion for 'kafirs' in an Islamic controlled country or region is out of the question. The rules don't apply equally. This is political hypocrisy.

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@KenyaPower_Care reporting power outage off Kenyatta Road since last night. meter no 46202054501. Warning to spamers, don't call me.!

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@MigunaMiguna A cabinet secretary is a politician for all intents and purposes. The president is a politician too, just so that you know. You are reading too much into this situation. Let MBADI be. You keep telling us power is transient, have you forgotten?

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

Context matters.

[CONTEXT VIDEOS @Context2X]

@elonmusk

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@ayika_joshua Nimekwama hapo kwa "third wife". Ueeh!

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@Mzee_Kobe @moneyacademyKE @DavidNdii I didn't know there exist a legal debt to GDP ratio of 55%. How does parliament allow illegality to stand? Public debt has been weaponized for political purposes. It is difficult to know the truth. The real risk on public debt is internal or external war.

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@wnyakera Believe the media. They are the opitom of unfettered truth? REALLY? The guy who created the headline is sipping coffee and laughing off the rest of us fools. Of course SHA is the media gold mine for headline stories on a lazy afternoon.

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@thee_alfa_house Why are you looking for validation for a narrative that should stand on its own terms? Anti-imperialism is a veiled attack on Western Christianity. While the real colonialists left Kenya over 60 years, neocolonialism remain an obsession of Marxist professors seeking relevance.

[Godfrey K. Gichuki @Kibuchigg]

@ntvkenya @jamessmat @EricLatiff Religion is bad for ignorant feminists who don't realize that it's religion gave feminists the freedom to express themselves in the first place. It was Paul in Galatians who insisted that women and men are equal. Here's nother feminist moralizing about the purity of her soul.

[Pauline Njoroge @paulinenjoroge]

My favourite U.S President is Franklin D. Roosevelt, the leader who guided the country through the aftermath of the Great Depression of 1929. Through his robust programme, THE NEW DEAL, he laid the foundation for economic recovery, putting people back to work, rebuilding public services, providing relief to struggling families, restoring hope, and setting the country on a path to long-term growth and stability.

Today, Nairobi finds itself weighed down by failing service delivery, a city choking in filth, and deep financial strain driven by misappropriation and embezzlement of public resources.

Nairobi deserves a team that puts people first and service delivery at the centre. A team that listens, thinks beyond the obvious, fixes what matters develops efficient systems and bold, practical solutions to turn around the fortunes of our city. A county leadership that is accountable, and gets the job done.
Nairobi deserves A New Deal!

Register to vote, and make this a reality!