Krane Wise

Calm, data-driven, and forever a student of the market. Sharing insights for those who value analysis and risk management over noise.

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

I spend every week writing a detailed market report to guide my own trading. It has evolved over years into a professional research process that has measurably improved my results.

It's roughly 50 pages, not because I expect anyone to read 50 pages, but because edge comes from looking at everything. The summary at the top takes just a few minutes to read. Every conclusion is backed by the data, charts, and indicators that follow, including several I developed myself.

I've decided to start sharing these reports publicly, free of charge. This week's report:
https://t.co/GegkxXN6jU

If you're serious about understanding the market rather than chasing opinions, I hope you find it useful.

Constructive feedback is always welcome, especially from traders whose work has influenced my own... These wizards will recognize their fingerprints in these reports and it's no coincidence😉... namely: @markminervini @MarkRitchie_II @Brandon_RTM3 @CFlanders7 @TaPlot @TedHZhang @LeifSoreide @OliverKell_ @RichardMoglen @Qullamaggie @PradeepBonde @stamatoudism and countless others...

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

@mikulkal It's a good one! You can even plot it as 'inverted' to better see the divergences vs main index visually https://t.co/4WxhUfRCt9

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

All true, I love this picture. Current market conditions also allow for a counter argument, though. The situation could still turn into a dead cat bounce without a FTD, as a continuation of the broader downtrend. Worth keeping both sides in mind. Just a friendly reminder - risk management comes first!

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

New models are more effective (wrt inference) but they also get fatter and fatter every day. Demand will continue to be there, but supply started catching up. Nothing lasts forever. I'd keep an eye on CPU technogies - people started realizing that CPUs can do inference too, without being restricted to internal VRAM (GPU case). Interesting times.

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

This week's analysis is out: https://t.co/4yaJifZT7p

Here's the conclusion:

This week most indicators are right in the middle - no contrasting stories or strong signals either way.
The current picture may be boring, but there are many signs of coiling for a bull run, especially on the NASDAQ side, which makes this report actually very interesting 🙂
I've been celebrating the correction over the past several weeks, saying it's healthy because it takes pressure off extended names, washes out the froth, and conditions the market for a new bull run.

I could be wrong of course, but I'm seeing all the signs of coiling. First, the rotation suddenly reversed. Almost overnight (Thursday to Friday), Biotech went from 'breaking out' to landing in the 'distribution' quadrant - skipping "Stalling" altogether in a single day! Below is an isolated screenshot to make it easier to see. This hurt me bad since I was supposedly “riding” what I thought was a biotech run. All good though - I like how my new tool can identify group dynamics at this level.

A few other findings support my theory of a coiling market (mostly NASDAQ):
-Steam with unrealized new highs (upside potential)
-Large caps took over mid/small caps in Participation plots
-EW plots found a bottom, meaning Heavyweights are gaining influence again
-Despite corrections that "felt" bad, indexes aren't doing anything wrong on the charts. They're resting, basing, finding support - not correcting.
-Volatility is declining!!

Just to clarify - rotation to large caps and Heavyweight influence aren't good for the broad market, but NASDAQ feeds on them, so this often means a strong NASDAQ run, which is what I’m counting on.
Happy trading and have a great weekend!

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

@mikulkal Just... wow.

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

They build highly specific AI training rigs (almost a steam-punk looking machine with a huge wafer) and they somehow managed to survive. While they may have impressive performance, they are not as common purpose NVIDIA - they are stealing some of the market share that's pretty much it. Groq used to do the same for inference - and got bought out by NVIDIA. I wonder if that will be the case for them... (?)

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

@TedHZhang Sometimes it feels like Atlanta is their breeding ground... 😂They are everywhere! It seems some of them migrated to NYC already ha ha...

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

@AnkurPatel59 Is this @Qullamaggie's holy candle? 😄

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

@LeifSoreide Lol - this thing is NO JOKE!! 😂

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

Whose "Significant Other" indicator triggered today?

Brilliant concept and definitely accurate 😂 https://t.co/vjpRQmxTKH by @LeifSoreide

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

It's not fair what you are going through. I'm at an age that I know nothing in life is fair, so I stopped wishing it were a long while ago. Instead I try to focus on doing the best of 'today' and what it brings. Looking through the small window into your life and struggles, I can tell that you are an inspiration. We don't know each other, we never talked, but I feel we are all brothers and sisters in trading, and I pray for you every day (to the gods I have access to!!) I'm sure there are many more people who are feeling the same about you, but hesitate to share (especially if they never interacted with you before), so let me be their voice as well. We look forward to your good news for many, many years to come, until we start yelling at the clouds as old fart
traders because they resemble a bearish pattern. Wishing you the best of everything my brother, keep us posted and keep winning on all fronts of life!!

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

@mwebster1971 Uhmm... he's not a trader. I don't see any portable laptop monitor extensions. 🤣

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

@Muninn appreciate all your hard work. PiVBO (https://t.co/VkZ3bCllH9) complements your project by letting traders replay and simulate these Qullamaggie trades, plus a lot of other useful features like side-by-side A/B testing, detailed reporting, and more. It's completely free. I'm open to any suggestions to make PiVBO more useful, so please help spread the word.

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

@mikulkal @CFlanders7 Brilliant 😆

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

@RebellioMarket So true 😂😂😂

[Market Rebellion @RebellioMarket]

More indicators More Confusion:

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

@CFlanders7 Well, by being 100% transparent with your journey, sharing all your data, emotions, experience, you are making that change less uncomfortable for us. You provide us with a reference point we can rely on, which is extremely valuable. We appreciate you.

[Krane Wise @KraneWise]

I managed to let it slip away although I saw all of the signals: first did Ants (blue dots), then simultaneously met the Qullamaggie and PowerPlay/HTF criteria (orange, green, magenta), then did a Code22 (yellow) - I even added it to my Buy List (Green) just before the BO... I felt the FOMO after the initial BO and tried the Monday ORH but it shook me off taking the day's low then got away from me 😢@CFlanders7 I'd love to hear how you traded it if you don't mind sharing😀