New biomarker analysis from NRG/RTOG 8610 & 9202 asks a key ❓: does p27 predict outcomes after radiotherapy for prostate cancer? 🔬
🧬 What is p27?
A cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor that regulates the cell cycle and tumor growth.
In a cohort of 361 patients treated with RT ± ADT, nuclear p27 levels were not prognostic for:
📊 overall survival
🌍 distant metastases
🧪 biochemical failure
⚠️ This contrasts with the post-prostatectomy literature, where low p27 has been associated with worse outcomes.
💡 Hypothesis: the biologic effects of radiation + ADT may override the adverse impact of low p27, highlighting important differences between surgery and radiation mechanisms.
Takeaway:
🔬 Biomarkers may behave differently depending on treatment modality
⚡ RT biology may neutralize prognostic signals seen in surgical cohorts
🔎 More work needed to validate treatment-specific biomarkers
The author list is stacked! @krishnan_patel@ACurreyMD@drjefstathiou@DrPaulNguyen just to name a few!
https://t.co/FpVeM0Dm0D
@ASTRO_org
@VickersBiostats@5_utr I share this frustration. While graphically easy to explain, I have trouble discussing RMST with patients (or physicians). The best I have come up with is quoting RMST gain for a treatment at a patient’s life expectancy, which seems the most natural index. Problems here too.
@RafaelOliveLeit@5_utr I usually start by mentioning that we know nothing for certain. If asked, "Will X help me?" I might say, “Yes, probably so. For people like you, there is a small chance of a big benefit (HR <0.5), a medium chance of a meaningful benefit (HR <0.9), and small chance for harm (HR>1)
@jryckman3@aapmHQ Agree. Lots to say on this but I believe a majority of the clinical data establishing CTs as risk factors for cancer may in part suffer from confounding by indication. Re: health risks from low-dose exposure this brief paper may be of interest: https://t.co/ofW6BFBT65
Check out our recent review on enhanced systemic therapy for localized prostate cancer now freely available: https://t.co/WSXM1U6HvN
A big thanks to our team (@melissaabel20, @SBasourakos, @DeborahCitrin) and Ravi (@Dr_RaviMadan) for his leadership on this one!
@ProtonStorey@ASTRO_org As you note, as absolute risk is lower the absolute benefit of ADT will be lower (although relative may be the same), so I try to make some judgement on the extent to which modern staging techniques alter the NCCN risk stratum in my patients for purposes of counseling.
Thanks @ASTRO_org for featuring our article (PMID: 39922318). I hope it will help to help practicing physicians understand, discuss, and recommend ADT in patients with intermediate-risk prostate cancer, especially in cases on the margin of the FIR and UIR stratification.
@ProtonStorey@ASTRO_org Thanks, @ProtonStorey, I have several thoughts hard to summarize here. I believe the favorable absolute bDFS in PACE-B is in part due to the low baseline risk / higher BED (40Gy/5# CTV as you note). While ≈75% were UIR, Gl. 4+3 excluded and stage migration(MRI, target bx).
@ChaurasiaMD@SbrtSean Well put @SbrtSean! I think conventional size restriction can be relaxed as we get more comfortable with SBRT. Speaking to this, @NRGOnc’s recent GU013 allows patients with ≤100 cc whereas GU005 was capped at 70cc. Papers which might be of interest PMIDs: 37984713, 36836467
@jryckman3 You're too kind buddy, it was a team effort for sure. Looking forward to additional posts about our ongoing and future work and further discussion on this forum.
Work is in progress to enhance this analysis with individual patient level data until @neildesai2005 and @aleberlin2 can report the results of NRGOnc’s NRG GU010 which will hopefully will hopefully give us a more intelligent way of selecting ADT intensity for IR prostate cancer.