$BTC Exhibit C - The bands... (as confluence)
Price finding sellers which was confluent with daily 12/25 bands ... in line with stacked sells overnight (see third image) and just beneath the htf range lows... aka lower high
Personally closed the majority of the short here into the 50w MA
Back to ltf and contemplating a probable long if we take out the sept fomc lows and get a good enough reaction to switch long again for few thousand points higher...
Decent book depth for now (what matters is how price trades into them and should the bids not get pulled - the ladder helps - delta as well)... so ideally would want to see if forced sellers / liqs absorbed...
Acceptance below those lows and the inability to absorb probable liquidations around sept fomc low = flushes lower...
Just a matter of reacting...
If none of that makes sense just draw an 8k wide monthly order block and call it support
Cheers
$SOL
From a swing trading or spot perspective...
You just dont fade the daily bands into a previous range high particularly when:
1. The trajectory of the daily bands continues to trend lower with no slow down in momentum - not even remotely basing out...
2. It's rolled over the weekly's and that becomes resistance...
It's not difficult ...
Why fight the trend...
Stick to a simple framework and you'll be ok imo... or at least keep out of sub standard trades - pissing against the wind!
Pink vertical dashed line: the period around this is a week requiring heightened caution
Do you remember this post? I’ve been warning about this for a long time from 9/27
How can this be considered a bubble?
#hype#hyperliquid
$BTC
Another backtest of the 50w MA and 365d rolling vwap
Bull markets = price stays above - very short lived below
Below = well... I just consider lower prices a gift to buy value...
Between here and 73k are significant levels... for any sustained price action higher - but as is the case and has been since the highs in Sept - sellers remain in control ...
p.s - recall what I've stated about the weekly stoch as well several weeks ago... rolling over = isnt bullish momentum... consolidation/corrective - maybe...
$SOL
Losing the weekly 12/21/25 EMAs is hardly the backdrop in which I’d be looking to position for a significant swing higher, at least not until a credible basing structure begins to develop.
The same principle applies across much of the altcoin market. I’m surprised by how many on my timeline continue to buy dips that seemingly keep dropping lower... very brave - but i'll pass thanks.
I’d rather exercise patience and wait for clear evidence of accumulation structures before considering meaningful long exposure.
Keep it simple... stupid