LOGIC Macro Regime

Institutional macro simplified into actionable positioning strategy. Earn better risk-adjusted returns. 7-day FREE trial 👉 NFA.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

Institutional macro, simplified. 🧭🌊👇

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

This👇

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

The Market’s Biggest Misread: Why a Falling US Dollar Is Bullish https://t.co/jRAJiGeeGH via @YouTube

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@DeItaone $Gold’s time to shine may be lining up soon. We can see a confluence of macro forces that drive it, heading in the right direction.

Check us out - link is in the bio.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

At LOGIC Macro Regime, we quantitatively arrive at which macro regime we’re in (the ocean conditions) and our Risk Bias Score allows us to determine the headwinds or tailwinds to risk taking (the wind conditions).

So simplistic, but it works and saves you time from reading up on markets.

Earn better risk-adjusted returns. Link is in our bio.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@DariusDale42 @business @CliffordAsness I guess this is idealist thinking, but AI hopefully leads to abundance where money won’t matter as much as it does in a world of scarcity.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@Mr_Derivatives The next 6 months should be choppier.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

Treasury borrowing rises as long-duration demand is already strained

Why it matters: A larger federal financing requirement increases the amount of government debt that markets must absorb while long-term yields remain elevated.

The US Treasury expects to borrow $739 billion in privately held net marketable debt during the July–September quarter, $68 billion more than estimated in May, while maintaining a projected $950 billion September cash balance. It anticipates another $628 billion of borrowing during the fourth quarter. Auction details are due Wednesday, with investors particularly sensitive to long-duration issuance following the 30-year yield’s recent rise to a 19-year high.

https://t.co/tAL5BSJw14

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@JoeCarlasare The second derivative of global liquidity has been back-tested by us as the most correlated driver of future #Bitcoin prices.

Link is in the bio to check us out.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@unusual_whales I thought he was a “free market capitalist “.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

This👇

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

If you’re on YouTube, please remember to Subscribe to our new and developing channel on how the macro-economic machine works 👉https://t.co/CuuPkyAJ6m

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@WClemente Not much longer for any long duration, growth sensitive stock. Negative inflection period likely coming, based on our systematic macro forecast.

Link is in the bio.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@bespokeinvest Long duration plays are like going to hit a negative inflection point shortly as liquidity wanes and financial conditions continue to tighten.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@zerohedge Quite the streak of above 50 developing for the US Manufacturing PMI.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@DeItaone This is likely the last gasp higher for 🇺🇸 US stocks. Our systematic models that have quite the track record, say that September to February is when we hit a choppier “Risk-Off” period.

Link is in our bio.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

The #US and #Japan just intervened together to support the #yen.

That matters far beyond currency markets.

A stronger yen raises the cost of yen-funded leverage and can force investors to unwind positions across technology, emerging markets and other Risk-On assets.

#Reflation holds. But global #Liquidity just tightened.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

If you’re on YouTube, please remember to Subscribe to our new and developing channel on how the macro-economic machine works 👉https://t.co/CuuPkyAJ6m

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@LynAldenContact A wise person once said “Nothing stops this train!”. Fiscal dominance.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

If you’re on YouTube, please remember to Subscribe to our new and developing channel on how the macro-economic machine works 👉https://t.co/CuuPkyAJ6m

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

@darioperkins @freyabeamish This cycle is not looking pretty over the next 6 months.

[LOGIC Macro Regime @LOGIC_MacroReg]

The window of weakness is likely to be more macro in nature and affect everything. Our process looks out 6 months, and it’s not looking pretty.
We had a rosier outlook during the Iran conflict and called buying the dip in tech in March, which was the right call, while others were bearish. Link is in the bio.