LeoandCleo1234

Filipina. GenX. Born in the US.

[Giorgia Meloni @GiorgiaMeloni]

Le immagini del ministro israeliano Ben Gvir sono inaccettabili. È inammissibile che questi manifestanti, fra cui molti cittadini italiani, vengano sottoposti a questo trattamento lesivo della dignità della persona.
Il Governo italiano sta immediatamente compiendo, ai più alti livelli istituzionali, tutti i passi necessari per ottenere la liberazione immediata dei cittadini italiani coinvolti.
L’Italia pretende inoltre le scuse per il trattamento riservato a questi manifestanti e per il totale disprezzo dimostrato nei confronti delle esplicite richieste del Governo italiano.
Per questi motivi, il Ministero degli Affari Esteri e della Cooperazione Internazionale convocherà immediatamente l’ambasciatore israeliano per chiedere chiarimenti formali su quanto accaduto.

[Charles Curran @charliebcurran]

LA is worth saving. Vote Spencer Pratt.

[Trita Parsi @tparsi]

WOW!

The Iranian AI Lego team has another video out. They are doubling down on building bridges between Americans & Iranians while depicting the US gov and "system" as the real enemy.

The music, lyrics, and imagery are all designed to appeal to disillusioned Americans.

[LeoandCleo1234 @LeoandC]

@ky_statesman 100% the guy in custody is probably an actor from L.A.

[Trita Parsi @tparsi]

Regarding Trump's threat/decision to impose a naval blockade on Iran, color me a skeptic.

1. Taking more oil off the market, particularly the only oil that is now getting out from the Persian Gulf, will drive oil prices further up, and the paper price of oil will get closer to the actual price, which should be around $150 per barrel. A dramatic increase in inflation in the US will ensue. Avoiding this is precisely why Trump was stuck in a position where he had no escalatory options out of this conflict before the ceasefire. He still doesn't.

2. Stopping tankers carrying Iranian oil wouldn't just be an escalation vis-à-vis Iran, but also against the countries that are buying Iranian oil, which includes China, India, and other Asian countries. I doubt Trump is ready for that escalation, particularly given the upcoming summit in Beijing.

3. This is also true for punishing countries that have negotiated a toll with Iran for the Straits. That includes Pakistan, which hosted the negotiations.

4. The naval blockade escalation will make the closing of the Red Sea more likely by the Houthis. That would take another 12% of global oil flow off the market. We would now be looking at oil around $200 per barrel.

There are nine or so days left of the ceasefire. Since neither side has explicitly stated that talks won't resume, or that the ceasefire is dead and over with, all these moves should be treated as tactics and threats within the negotiations.

It wouldn't be surprising if these threats are walked back soon (perhaps before markets open on Monday) and a new round is announced.

HOWEVER, there is a time for brinkmanship, and there is a time for serious negotiations.

If the US truly was insisting on zero enrichment in Islamabad, which was not Trump's red line at first but rather Israel's, then the next talks will be rendered a failure - just as the talks in May 2025 were killed by Trump shifting to the Israeli red line.

Still, I don't think that necessarily will lead to a return to war. A more likely scenario is a new non-negotiated status quo in which Tehran retains control over the Straits but doesn't get any sanctions relief, while the US pulls out of the war, and the question becomes whether Israel will continue the war on its own.

[LeoandCleo1234 @LeoandC]

@WeTheBrandon Is the USS Gerald R. Ford going to Montenegro for repairs?

[LeoandCleo1234 @LeoandC]

@Cernovich 100% true

[LeoandCleo1234 @LeoandC]

@WeTheBrandon Who is Solomon? I just logged into X, I may have missed something about Solomon.

[Megyn Kelly @megynkelly]

You wanna rip the GOP apart right to its core and prevent a single America First voter from participating in the midterms? Indict Joe Kent and Tucker Carlson. See how that works out.

[THE ISLANDER @IslanderWORLD]

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 Donald Trump stood in the East Room of the White House on Day 17 and told the world that “numerous countries have told me they’re on the way” to help secure the Strait of Hormuz. He couldn’t name a single one.

He said “very few shots are going to be taken because they don’t have many shots left.” This is the man whose own intelligence community confirmed Iran fired well in excess of a thousand powerful ballistic missiles and 4000 drones since February 28. Wave 57 landed tonight.

Greek Patriot systems are being pulled for Qatar. THAAD components are gone from South Korea. Two Israeli interceptors fired in the wrong direction. The Khatam al-Anbiya command — which has been bombed, decapitated and bombed again — is still issuing targeting coordinates. American bases decimated, forcing servicemen to evacuate and seek refuge in Gulf hotels which have also been hit hard. Economic interests across the region are being devastated. The strait of Hormuz is in full control of Iran, only allowing friendly nations access. Much of Israel looks like an orange (poetic?) Apocalypse.

He called Iran a “paper tiger.” This paper tiger mined the world’s most important shipping lane, closed it for 17 days, hit Dubai airport four times, struck the US embassy in Baghdad twice, fired on American bases across nine countries, sent a tanker fleet to the ocean floor, and caused the largest emergency oil reserve release in the history of the International Energy Agency.

Iran spends less than 2 percent of America's 1 trillion defence budget, you want to talk shitty ROI and a paper tiger? When the last clean win came in the micro island of Grenada some wonder if we could punch ourselves out of a paper bag, let alone Iran, let alone Russia.

He said “we’ve been protecting you for 40 years and you don’t want to get involved in something very insignificant.” Australia said no. Japan said no. Germany said no. France said defensive posture only. Spain said no. Sweden said no. Luxembourg said no. South Korea is “carefully reviewing.” Britain needs to “consult the team” but then said they wouldn't be dragged into the wider war. The countries "protected for 40 years" looked at the kill zone Iran built into the Hormuz geography, looked at more than 57 devasting waves, looked at the IRGC’s satellite targeting lists and decided that forty years of the protection racket wasn’t worth sailing their ships into an Iranian shooting gallery for a war Washington started without them on orders from Israel.

The Apprentice launched the most consequential war in a generation, destroyed the coalition before it formed, begged the world for minesweepers, called it insignificant, named no countries, and the Strait is still closed to the Epstein coalition.

Day 18 now. The paper tiger has the keys.​​​​​​​​​​���​​​​​ The mighty Epstein coalition is locked outside looking at the consequences of Bibi's 40 year dream.

[Tucker Carlson @TuckerCarlson]

When you discover the CIA has been reading your texts in order to frame you for a crime.

[LeoandCleo1234 @LeoandC]

@JDVance What was the cause of the plane crash?

[LeoandCleo1234 @LeoandC]

@JDVance What was the cause of the plan crash?

[Tucker Carlson @TuckerCarlson]

Pray that the spell breaks and the world is saved.

[Cernovich @Cernovich]

We must treat the midterms as existential for the country, for the Trump administration, and for the lives (literally) of our families. Democrats will unleash death squads if they somehow stole the House in 2026. It would be open murder in every conservative's home.

[DOC @doctormalibu]

.@grok are any of the videos in this post generated by AI?