Jameo is saving Christmas ‼️
1.25u - Jameson Williams 60+ Receiving Yards
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Analysis + Projection ⬇️
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KD WILL FEAST ☢️
🏀 PK Dish #4 (12/25)
🍽️ 𝐊𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐧 𝐃𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐨𝟑𝟒.𝟓 𝐏𝐑𝐀 (-𝟏𝟎𝟓)
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LIKE IF TAILING ❤️
• Kevin Durant enters this Christmas Day showdown in prime position to clear his 35 PRA. Over his last five games, Durant has cleared this line four times, averaging 37.2 PRA during that stretch. With the Rockets navigating a tight Western Conference race, head coach Ime Udoka has shown no hesitation in leaning on the 37-year-old legend, who is currently averaging 34.2 minutes per game on the season.
• When seeing 30+ minutes this season, Durant is over this line in 62% of games with an average of 35 PRA on 25.6 points, 17.6 field goal attempts and 16.2 rebounds+assists opportunities.
• Through 25 games, Durant is posting a field goal percentage of 50.9% on 17.0 attempts per game, including a lethal 42.9% from three-point range. His True Shooting percentage currently sits at 57.0%, which is well above the league average for high-volume wings. In the month of December alone, Durant’s efficiency has reached another level, where he is shooting 53.3% from the floor and 50.0% from deep.
• The matchup against the Lakers defense is very favorable for KD. LAL currently ranks 30th in the NBA in defense vs. Power Forwards, allowing a league-high 50.13 Fantasy Points per game to the position, which includes an average of 23.47 points and 13.82 rebounds. The Lakers’ defensive rating has ballooned to 117.4 which is the sixth worst in the NBA, and they are particularly vulnerable in the mid-range and on the glass, areas where Durant remains elite.
• Looking at how KD scores this season, there’s many areas he can take advantage of the Lakers defense:
- 16% of his points are from isolation which the Lakers are the 4th worst at defending
- Another 16% of his points are from spot-up shooting which the Lakers are the 7th worst at defending.
- He also scores 12.5% of his points as the PnR ball handler which the Lakers are the 9th worst at defending.
• Other high volume forwards have smashed their PRA line in the last month against this Lakers defense including:
-Kawhi Leonard: 47 PRA
-Scottie Barnes: 43 PRA
-Jaylen Brown: 46 PRA
-Brandon Ingram: 36 PRA
-Saddiq Bey: 36 PRA
-Dillon Brooks: 37 PRA
-Cooper Flagg: 31 PRA
• As we all know KD is already pretty old at 37 years old and won’t get many more opportunities to play on Christmas day going forward as he doesn’t have much time left in his career. On top of this he’s played very well on Christmas day throughout his career averaging 28.5 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game.
• With 12+ FGA in his 11 games played on December 25th dating all the way back to 2007 he’s gone over this line in 10 of those games.
Check out all of these game logs on Christmas day in his career ⬇️
• 12/25/2024 vs DEN: 37 PRA ✅
• 12/25/2020 vs BOS: 36 PRA ✅
• 12/25/2018 vs LAL: 35 PRA ✅
• 12/25/2017 vs CLE: 35 PRA ✅
• 12/25/2016 vs CLE: 54 PRA ✅
• 12/25/2015 vs CHI: 45 PRA ✅
• 12/25/2013 vs NYK: 42 PRA ✅
• 12/25/2012 vs MIA: 43 PRA ✅
• 12/25/2011 vs ORL: 41 PRA ✅
• 12/25/2010 vs DEN: 55 PRA ✅
• 12/25/2007 vs POR: 33 PRA ❌
• Expect KD to show up under the bright lights of a national Christmas broadcast against his buddy LeBron James and go over this line!
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