Lexi

Unraveling the 🌎 of #Finance, #Crypto, #GoodFood, #Space and a bit of #Law. 😏
#FinanceMarketsApprentice📈
❤my🐶
Scammers F..off I'll report and block all🚫👊

[Lexi @Lexus_J_Russel]

Trading is not entertainment! 🤝 Don't beat yourself up.

[DANNY @Danny_Crypton]

🚨 NOW WE KNOW WHERE THE NEXT BULL RUN WILL START

No ragebait or any other shit, just look

The history of the last 3 cycles shows that the previous cycle ATH becomes the bottom zone of the next cycle:

2017 ATH ~ $20K
2021 BOTTOM ~ $19K

2021 ATH ~ $69K
2026 BOTTOM ~ $57K

And besides that, the reaction from this zone is also identical

A tap of the zone, a fake pump from it and then a new cycle low

On top of that, macro factors are literally SCREAMING correction right now

So be ready for a new low

Do you believe in this outcome?

Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October.

If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.

Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

[Denisa @_denisa719_]

@WhiteHouse

[Anonymous @YourAnonOne]

JUST IN: Archeologists that are researching the location Noah’s Ark announced that they are executing advanced underground scans of the site and are about to release all of their findings to the world.

[Lexi @Lexus_J_Russel]

@crypto_birb 😅

[Jelle @CryptoJelleNL]

$BTC started the week with a strong CME gap, sitting at $70,000.

The market will likely want to fill that before heading lower.

Over the past years, almost every gap has been filled sooner than later.

[Lemon 🍋 @TheCryptoLemon]

I really don't understand how you can be bullish here, all CT full of bullish news and that we are on the ground and that of what a candle of God, and fuck you bears, and all caused by the typical Trump phrase that today tells you this and tomorrow the opposite, I of you, I would not have any illusions. $BTC

[₿IRB @crypto_birb]

Some people say shorting bear is easy. They're wrong.

Bear markets have three phases. Each one requires a different risk approach.

Phase 1 (denial): normal sizing works. Trends still exist. Most traders are fine.

Phase 2 (panic): cut sizing in half. Volatility doubles. The same 2% risk now moves twice as fast against you.

Phase 3 (silence): the hardest phase. Nothing moves. You get chopped. Every breakout fades. Every setup looks good and fails.

Mistake in Phase 3 is trading like you're still in Phase 1.

The fix is reduce frequency, not conviction. Take fewer trades. Keep the same risk per trade. Wait for the setups where volume confirms the move.

Most blown accounts in bear markets don't come from Phase 2. They come from Phase 3. Death by a thousand small losses.

Which phase are you sizing for right now?

[Rekt Fencer @rektfencer]

Bitcoin just printed 8 consecutive green daily candles.

Looks exactly like March 2022.

The next crash will be the most painful one.

You aren't ready for what's coming.

[₿IRB @crypto_birb]

CT draws support at "where price bounced."

But that's not what support is.

Support is where orders cluster. And orders cluster at round numbers because humans are predictable.

There are far more buy orders at $70,000 than at $69,847. More at $65,000 than $65,215. The rounder the number, the bigger the cluster. CMT science confirms it - this is behavioral, not technical.

The part most traders miss: resistance once broken becomes support. Not because of magic. Because the traders who sold at resistance and were wrong now have a reason to buy that same level to get back in.

The traders who bought the breakout now defend that level because their P&L depends on it.

It's not lines on a chart. It's thousands of people making the same decision at the same price for different reasons.

Stop drawing support where price bounced once. Start drawing it where volume clustered.

What's your method - price levels or volume levels?

[Jelle @CryptoJelleNL]

Good morning everyone - it's FOMC day today, with Powell taking the stage in roughly 9 hours.

The past few FOMC Pressers triggered sizable sell-offs.

Will this time be different?

$BTC

[₿IRB @crypto_birb]

CT right now: "I need to see $90k before I buy."

Translation: "I'll buy after everyone else confirms it's safe."

That's not a strategy lmao. Rather a guarantee you'll buy the top of the relief rally.

The CMT data says the time to build positions isn't when it "feels" safe. It's when you see a new trend breakout confirmed by price % traveled, volume spikes, above-the-average volatility, time above at least a 20-day SMA, and improved breadth.

Waiting for confirmation is the most screw up.

Agree or disagree?

[Midas @DeFiMidas]

BTC just completed another macro pullback into prior breakout structure

Previous cycles formed higher lows before expanding into the next impulsive leg

~$58K zone aligns with historical floor behavior

Bullish for Bitcoin

[Lemon 🍋 @TheCryptoLemon]

I think the MM fooled us again yesterday and is planning the orange box. I don't trust anything anymore. I'm out of longs. If I miss the bullish rally, I miss it, but I don't like what I see. $BTC

[CryptoReviewing @CryptoReviewing]

Important update for #Altcoins.

$ETH just pumped above $2,000 liquidating $330M.

Now, $ETH has a large liquidity zone at $1,800 - $2,000 that could be re-tested.

Meanwhile, $2,000 - $2,200 above has very thin liquidity meaning that price could easily sweep that zone and even potentially squeeze higher.

#Altcoins are already performing well in the last days and will continue to do so if $ETH pumps.

Altcoin Bulls are gaining momentum.

[₿IRB @crypto_birb]

Everyone's watching BTC. Meanwhile ETH just formed an outside week for the first time since December.

Volume profile shows support at $1,600. SMA200 drift confirms early stage of bear market. This is either a $2,500 retest or plunge to new lows.

$2,000 is the line. Above it, SMA50 mean reversion. Below it, slow death.

What's your read on this one?

[Jelle @CryptoJelleNL]

Historically, when $BTC dips below the 2-year moving average - it's time to pay attention.

Not a bottom signal, but a sign that the bottom is approaching.

Be ready.

[DANNY @Danny_Crypton]

🚨 BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE 2017 AND 2021 PATTERN!!!

Look to this chart, $BTC will dump to $35,000 in 10 days.

Are you actually prepared for that scenario?

From my theory, I’ve identified the timing of the next cycle.

I track BTC on two axes.

TIME + PRICE.

Most people only watch price.
That's why they every time MISS the best entries.

First, the TIME axis.

Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving:

- 2012: 406 days
- 2016: 363 days
- 2020: 376 days
- 2024: still pending

These numbers are close.

So if this cycle lines up, the highest probability window for the next real bottom is Oct to Nov 2026.

That is my time target.

And when that window hits, I buy no matter what price looks like.

Because time is how you don't get front run.

Now the PRICE axis.

I've already started buying since we entered the $60,000 zone.

Even if the time window hasn't hit yet.

Why?

Because waiting for the perfect level is how you miss the whole move.

Retail says "I'll only buy at X price".
But if price never hits it, you're left behind.

So my approach is simple.

If price gives value, I start buying.
If time hits the historical window, I buy regardless.

That one framework explains everything.

Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I said I'd be a strong buyer in the $60,000 range.

People laughed.
They said BTC would never see $60K again.

I don't argue with noise.
I stick to the plan.

Now we've hit that zone, and the price call played out.

But the risk of a lower low is still real.

That's why the TIME axis matters.

My plan:

1) TIME axis
Oct to Nov 2026 is a strong BUY, regardless of price.

2) PRICE axis
Below $60,000 is a strong BUY, regardless of time.

If either one hits, I execute daily buys of $500,000.

And there's one more thing I watch.

NUPL - Net Unrealized Profit/Loss.

The onchain indicator that historically flags the real cycle bottom.
- 2018
- COVID crash
- 2022

It caught all of them.

Right now, we're not in that blue zone yet.
We're still far from it.

So I wouldn't be surprised to see BTC in the $45K to $50K zone by end of 2026.

That's my ultimate bottom target, where I'd feel good going heavy.

The market is messy right now, but this phase will pass.

I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.

Follow and turn notifications on.

I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

[Coin Signals @CoinSignals_]

If the #BTC daily candle closes above $65,000, expect a $2.5k–$5k recovery.

LONG, Expecting a bounce from here.

[Crypto Tony @CryptoTony__]

$BTC / $USD - Update

Liquidity a bit lower on Bitcoin. I reckon we see the bottom buildup soon

[CryptoCon @CryptoCon_]

Now things get confusing.

Plenty of people are screaming for lower prices, and some isolated indicators like Weekly RSI are at cycle bottom levels.

So you should be buying, right?

The whole picture says no. Psychology can be helpful, but also misleading. Price can still go up or down when "most" people expect it to. It does all the time.

The Aroon Oscillator is ahead of the projection I laid out for returning to cycle bottom levels, but still has plenty of ground to cover before getting there.