LonelyInvestMan

Lonely lnvest Man

[ardizor 🧙‍♂️ @ardizor]

I WARNED YOU NOW WATCH THE ROADMAP.

Bitcoin is following the path to cycle bottom exactly as mapped

June → flat
July → relief bounce
August → dump to $50K
September → fake bounce
October → dump to $40K
November → cycle bottom

I called the $16K bottom and the $126K top 15 years of major turns, all public, all before the move

The next call is the most important one yet

Turn on notifications - you'll understand why you needed to follow sooner

[The Long View @HayekAndKeynes]

RIP inflation.

Now go sell some stocks and buy some bonds

[Guilherme Tavares @i3_invest]

Retail investors' cash allocation is at extremely low levels again.

This is not a "sell everything" signal, but a warning for the current environment where the mindset is "buy equities like there's no tomorrow."

Nobody wants cash, which is usually when having cash becomes valuable.

[Guilherme Tavares @i3_invest]

Can this extreme move in Intel's stock price give us any clues about what’s next for the index?

Historically, we saw two major tops (1976 and 2000) and one strong blow-off top (1997) for the SPX.

Classic valuation metrics suggest that we are currently closer to the 2000 scenario than the 1997 blow-off top.

[Guilherme Tavares @i3_invest]

Now add this:

The ONLY time MSFT relative to the Nasdaq 100 fell more than 40% over a 10-month period was at the exact top of the dot-com bubble.

Is this time different?

[Guilherme Tavares @i3_invest]

The tape remains bullish, and this is not a "sell everything" signal.

However, it is a warning that we are likely in a late-cycle environment.

High speculation levels (margin debt) compared to corporate profit growth in the US.

[(((The Daily Shot))) @SoberLook]

BCA’s MacroQuant model triggered a rare “emergency sell” signal.
Source: @PeterBerezinBCA

[Kalani o Māui @MauiBoyMacro]

2000, 2008 and 2022. 👇🏼

An indicator with a stellar track record.

[Lofty @0xLofty]

🚨 SOMETHING VERY DANGEROUS IS HAPPENING

Most people are focused on the latest bounce and still believe this cycle is different.

They're ignoring the bigger picture.

Bitcoin has officially entered the final bull trap.

The setup is simple:

$66K → $56K → $62K → $41K

The market doesn't need everyone to panic.

It only needs buyers to disappear.

Reminder:

I called the $17K Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025.

I'll call the next major bottom too.

Follow and turn notifications on.

Don't become exit liquidity.

[John P. Hussman, Ph.D. @hussmanjp]

Ho hum - dozens of overextension flags today - including this one - among the motherlode we've seen in the past 5 weeks.

Without implying that speculators can't do whatever speculators choose to do, their focus rarely gets this narrow except at extremes when they're all in.

[Aralez 🐕 @0xAralez]

🚨 THIS IS NOT FINAL DIP FOR $BTC

On HTF, Bitcoin is still respecting a massive "Descending Channel"

Here's roadmap:

$126k → $107k → $80k → $60k → $40k → $54k → $90k

This rally looks more like a bull trap than a new cycle

Sooner or later, fakeout ends and market resumes toward ~$40k cycle bottom...

IMPORTANT: Over last 2 years, I called every major $SPX selloff, nailed 2025 $BTC cycle ATH and warned about move from $126k → $60k

Missed those calls? No worries - next setups are already forming...

Turn on notifs - next market calls are already loading

[Financelot @FinanceLancelot]

Weekly Dow Jones $DJI 2026 vs 2000.
Pattern is still holding. Is this week the top?🤷‍♂️

[Mark Ungewitter @mark_ungewitter]

SPX flagging big daily losses near record highs. –Trivia dept.

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

A 6-8% $SPX mini correction is coming.

And when it does, you absolutely buy the living crap out of it for the eoy 🚀.

So pathway could look like this:

7,500-7,600ish

—>

6,900-7,000ish

—>

8,000-8,250ish

And yes this is the Tom Lee/Brian Belski, two permabull’s pathway.