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The obvious way to value ETH is using stock-to-flow on net issuance
More transactions means less issuance. No need to complicate it further
The base/bear case puts ETH at 8k as of right now
The math is simple, assume current net issuance of say 1% and ETH supply at 120m - that’s 1.2m new ETH
120m / 1.2m = 100 stock-to-flow
Plugging the numbers into the most conservative model, that puts eth at 8k
Even assuming a ghost chain (so a 2% net issuance) that’s a 50 stock-to-flow so 4K/ETH!!
If you give the curve any shape (stock to flow valuation curves are rarely linear), the numbers just get higher. At even modest curves, Tom Lee’s 250k price target sounds very reasonable
Tl;dr; buy ETH, it’s much higher from here
I put my entire life into Cardano. My time, my expertise, my savings. I’ve literally gone all in, and for over 5 years now.
No salary for 3 years, along with my co founder, and every payroll was paid on time. This isn’t meant as a guilt trip just context towards my reality.
I forced my cofounders to envelope the ‘entrepreneur mindset’ and make sacrifices to make our vision of Anvil work.
I thought we were in good company in Cardano. A bunch of scrappy, smart people who are building the future financial rails of the world. Unfortunately, not everyone was living like starving entrepreneurs and looted our community/treasury while keeping cushy salaries. Now the price is in the teens…and we can’t even get contracts on Cardano to sustain our business, with no indication that change is coming, all community business proposals are not passing atm.
I gave up my 30s for this. I had a great career trajectory making solid money. I don’t regret the decision I just wish it went different. Believe it or not, we didn’t make many stupid decisions, we were responsible with salaries, and ran very lean operations. Did we fail? Or did Cardano fail to flourish and create real opportunity?
I bought Ada, I believed in the token. I dropped my 401k on it. Held it religiously for 5 years, all to sell at .16 so I don’t lose my house? It’s insane lol was I supposed to sell on everyone’s heads? I thought being a believer was the whole point now I just feel like a sheep. I don’t even have the 100k Ada required anymore to go straight to the treasury. The only thing I can think of that hurt worse were my kidney stones. This is the most defeated I have felt in a long time.
And now I’m watching 8 months of hard work and relationship building get thrown away. Can’t get a hold of half the DReps otherwise you come off as annoying. Didn’t do a Japan tour? Good luck!
I had to waste 6 days explaining to one of our top DReps why the product needs Cardano. He basically said we didn’t need to use blockchain or cardano. Instead of explaining the value we create I gotta convince our top DReps why a project chose to build on Cardano? 🤯
Im not perfect but I damn sure tried to be! Answered everyone promptly, reached out to DReps, and did our best to listen/apply feedback. I show up everyday.
Can someone explain to me why I should keep trying to build here? I’ve legit lost everything but my wife who isn’t getting any happier with me.
Today is the first day I work towards getting my life back. IDK exactly what that means but I’m done feeling like this for nothing.
@cityhikers@themorpheans Not burnt. As long as the project is not rugged, you have free credits every day.
Staking long enough, credits cover your cost and your $mor is free to you.
Don’t worry guys, you can still access frontier AI model through https://t.co/DqMtogDPqx or https://t.co/hbU3T3YB9X 🚀
That’s why we need permissionless and sovereign AI infrastructure that no one can shut down. $MOR 🔥 🌐
"Shut up, shut up
Let's build an app that makes me a millionaire
It needs to be done by tmrw morning"
While others thought AI would take over their job!
🤣
Our full conversation with Erik Voorhees
2:54 The first Bitcoin meetup
4:20 Selling Satoshi Dice for 125,000 BTC
8:47 What is Venice AI
9:30 The AI privacy problem nobody's talking about
14:37 Why crypto is still cool
16:05 Debating SBF before FTX collapsed
19:28 Thoughts on Michael Saylor
20:35 The dollar going to zero
23:40 Venice's dual token model
29:33 DeFi summer
31:15 His take on Hyperliquid
36:30 Why learning AI matters
49:05 A world where agents outnumber humans
53:45 Master AI or join the permanent underclass