@PhillyD I count on everybody here on this app freaking out with me because no one I know has read this book yet and it feels so reassuring to see the same level of insane excitement from other people tooooo
Twisters was made to be seen in 4DX. I loved that movie so much I went to watch it twice. Both times in 4DX. Just perfect. 🌪️ #TwistersMovie@Twistersmovie
Let me interpret this psychedelic chart for you, as none of the media or politicians will ever dare to look you in the eye and tell you things that will send shivers down your spine.
I WILL.
The end of this planet’s habitable climate for most biological life forms (yes, humans too) is coming: the arctic ice sheet is basically going, pretty soon. All of the following will happen:
1) A lot of cold in some places, even more heat in others. Cold and heat like you’ve never experienced.
2) if 1) isn’t uninhabitably cold or hot, your food will be uninhabitably expensive, that is, if there is any produced.
3) 8 billion people going hungry means only one thing: unrest, everywhere.
Have a good night
#ClimateCrisis
The best thing about "people coming to Twitter after Facebook and Instagram crashed" memes is that everyone still calls it Twitter. #facebookdown#instagramdown
@ClimateSN The Martian is one of my faves too. So is the book.
But my top movie is The Day After Tomorrow. I probably watched it 30 times by now. And still will.
Comfort movies are therapy. :)
🌎📉🌍
I did some basic energy and water calculations on the scary AMOC study (1) that's making headlines, so you don't have to.
It's quite simple, so please don't let the orders of magnitude scare you off.
This is a Big F*cking Deal (BFD)!
First, what are we talking about here?
What is the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation?
It's a shitload of water transporting a shit ton of heat energy North, through the Atlantic Ocean!
The study starts with an AMOC strength of about 15 sverdrups, or 15,000,000 cubic meters of ocean water per second.
This transports about 1 PW (1 petawatt = 1*10^15 watt) of heat North from the Southern Hemisphere and the tropics.
That's about 32 ZJ (32 zettajoules = 32*10^21 joules) of heat per year.
When the AMOC tips, most of this ocean heat transport stops.
The obvious question people are asking is "could this happen any time soon and how?"
The study (as have others, for example @DrJamesEHansen et al. (2016) (2), which is not referenced for some reason) shows that a lot of fresh water input from rainfall and Greenland ice melt could shut this thing down this century.
The more fresh water is added, the slower the AMOC becomes.
The tipping in the model happens at about 0.5 sverdrups (0.5 Sv, 500,000 m³ per second) of fresh water input.
There is a lot of fresh water waiting to add those 0.5 Sv, if only there was enough heat available to melt the ice sheet of Greenland.
0.5 Sv is 1.6*10^13 m³ of water per year.
Greenland holds 2.85*10^15 m³ of ice, which could provide about 170 years of 0.5 sverdrups of fresh water (after which global sea levels would be over 7 meters higher).
To melt 0.5 sverdrups worth of ice for a year takes 5.3 ZJ of heat.
Since 1970, our greenhouse gases have caused about 450 ZJ of additional heat to accumulate in the Earth system. ~90% of that warmed the oceans.
Aerosols, notably from coal plants and ships burning sulfur rich fuels, have reduced that heat accumulation.
Now that we are reducing aerosols, more heat is accumulating.
The larger North Atlantic Ocean region shows a spike in how much sunlight is being absorbed over recent years, while higher temperatures cause more heat radiation to space.
The net effect is a spike of over 2.4 W/m² above the 2000-2009 average. This spike added 4 ZJ of heat over 12-months:
The record high global energy imbalance is now (2023) about 1.8 W/m², which adds 29 ZJ of heat to the Earth system over a year.
To make a long story short, the heat is there to melt enough Greenland ice to shut the AMOC down.
And we don't need all that heat to be directed to the melting of ice, as more precipitation also contributes.
And of course, we are only making the climate forcing and Earth's Energy Imbalance worse by rapidly increasing greenhouse gas concentrations while decreasing aerosols.
Sorry I couldn't make this more hopeful.
But numbers don't lie.
(1): Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course
René M. van Westen et al. (2024)
https://t.co/MfWFkeVAuS
(2): Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: Evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2°C global warming is dangerous
@DrJamesEHansen , @MakikoSato6 et al. (2016)
https://t.co/rTfi4tCCFC
Society of the Snow is a fantastic movie. Beautiful cinematography, flawless acting and brilliant directing from @FilmBayona as I was expecting (having watched and loved The Impossible).
Fingers crossed for Oscar and Bafta!
#SocietyOfTheSnow#SociedaddelaNieve
🐞TWO WEEKS TO GO🐞
Finished copies of the U.S. edition of GOOD BAD GIRL have arrived and they are beautiful! I have one signed copy (plus a Shh tattoo & ladybug chocolates!) to give away. For a chance to win just RT & follow me. Open worldwide. Closes 20.08.23.
@netflix Great, let's cancel our smart and original shows and bring a thousand cooking and dating reality shows. Where's the logic in that?? What kind of rubbish streaming service do you wanna become? #save1899#renew1899