I thought about it really hard, and actually, they totally did just put the genie back in the kettle.
No need to worry guys, powerful AI is a thing of the past thanks to quick action from our elected officials.
The coming psychological impacts are yet unspoken and going to be ‘uge.
Even if Matt is exaggerating (tbh I don’t think he’s that far off), think about what believing this actually means?
And think about compute shortages
Assuming Anthropic is able to restore Fable in the next few days, there's literally zero point doing any meaningful work until it is back.
What can be done in 100 hours with Opus can be done in 1 with Fable.
Hopefully this is figured out quickly.
You can get a data center technician job in low earth orbit and earn 180K credits/yr right now. You could go to the space strip club and drink space beers with your boys after space work. You could marry a cute grok-generated girl and buy a nice 2-chamber pod.
But you will not.
it's unclear if tech people yet realize that perspectives on ai usage differ dramatically depending on if you are token rich or token poor.
the idea of looping comes from a place of incredible privilege.
recommending that someone who works at an ai startup with unlimited token budget try looping makes complete sense.
however, that same idea told to someone with only a $2k/mo token budget would seem completely implausible.
what happens when millions of people start evaluating jobs based on what their token allowance will be? what happens to the longtail of administrative paper pushers that don't adapt? what happens to low throughput artists, engineers, or even lawyers and actuaries that can't be trusted to allocate spend?
every form of individual knowledge worker is going to be evaluated from the perspective of "do i trust this person to allocate tokens effectively?"
there are going to be massive investments into new hiring processes. organizations will need to rearchitect their structures to find orchestrators like Peter
my near term recommendation is to do everything in your power to work somewhere that trusts you to spend tokens.
you're ngmi if you only have $2k/mo to play with.
@brian_armstrong@pmarca Density and efficiency of intelligence is very important and I hope American closed source labs have some things cooking on this front
boris cherny goes on a podcast every three months and says something like “i’ve stopped breathing now i just wrote a breath.md” and the next day everyone in sf stops breathing