@tferriss It takes a decade of 80 hour weeks to build a good restaurant or the largest tech company in the world.
If you plan on working hard no matter what, then your cost is fixed. So might as well swing big.
As engineering, product, design, DS, etc. melt into a new kind of role, I was reflecting on what roles might look like in the future. For example, when I look at the Claude Code team I see what I think is five archetypes:
1. Prototyper: comes up with brand new ideas; churns out many ideas, most of which don't ship
2. Builder: quickly turns a prototype/idea into production-grade product/infra
3. Sweeper: cleans up the UI, simplifies the code and system, unships, optimizes performance
4. Grower: takes a product that has been built and iterates on it to improve Product-Market Fit
5. Maintainer: owns a mature system to make it secure, reliable, fast, and efficient as it scales
Many people span across 2 roles, and sometimes 3 roles. I also notice that these roles are not really tied to job function -- eg. across Anthropic, some designers match category 1, some 2, some 3; same for engineers, PM, DS.
A healthy team needs a mix of these, depending on the product:
- A product that is new and pre-PMF needs people that are strong at 1+2+3
- A product that is growing and has found PMF needs 2+3+4 and some 5
- A product that has strong PMF needs 3+4+5 and some 2
Maybe product roles of the future will look more like this, and less like the domain-specific roles of today?
College students use AI to do most of their writing. An increasing number of professors secretly use it for grading. In the limit case, AIs do all the work, and all the humans do is transmit what they create. A good compiler would recognize this as dead code and remove it.
Jeff Bezos: "If people want me to pay more billions, then let's have that debate, but don't pretend that that's gonna solve the problem. You could double the taxes I pay, and it's not gonna help that teacher in Queens.... Airbnb isn't causing high rents. What's really causing high rent is government intervention."
You get rich by betting on things other people are wrong about. Because most "good" investments have their "goodness" priced into them, making them "mediocre" or "bad" investments in reality.
The key is to find something that looks bad but is actually good. Which means you gotta be willing to have people tell you why you're dumb (then wait). Then get called lucky. Then do it a few more times. Then have people say you're finally good.
But by the time they say you're good it already stopped mattering to you what they thought because why would you respect someone's judgment who was so repeatedly bad? They now only say you're good because everyone else does and not because they could ever make up their minds on their own.
IT’S ABOUT TO BE A GREAT TIME TO BUY A HOUSE
Median home prices just hit their lowest level since 2021.
Kevin Warsh, Trump's pick for Fed chair is expected to take over May 15. He's being put in place to lower rates.
Low prices + cheap money = good