merlin

Trader | Educator | Lifelong Learner

[merlin @Lukenum]

When to sell my (crypto) bags this cycle
20% - Reach 2Yr-MA Target
20% - Pi Cycle Top Signal, MVRV Z-Score Signal
20% - Reach Fib Target
20% - Trailing stop Weekly 10 EMA
20% - April 19th, 2025, or 12 months after the BTC halving date

Hold the remaining to the next cycle😤
#BTC

[merlin @Lukenum]

@coinalyzetool @grok Can you help me access the chart in this post with btc/usd and eth/usd price overlay?

[merlin @Lukenum]

@coinalyzetool How do I access this chart over the entire btc history?

[merlin @Lukenum]

@CryptoCon_ Can anyone summarize his full details decision here? I am sure many would be curious too.

[merlin @Lukenum]

@Nguyen176184 @Longdonglocal8 @MichaelXBT @grok So which accounts have a better record/reputation of being accurately predict the Bitcoin price?

[Ryan Wright @baynkr]

The tragedy of playing the funded account game: they reward the exact behaviors that ensure you'll never become a real trader operating at meaningful scale.

I see this pattern repeat endlessly:

- Trader buys multiple funded accounts
- Goes maximum leverage into momentum trades
- Blows up several accounts
- Eventually hits a winner
- Posts the winning screenshot on Twitter
- Rinses and repeats

They overrisk in the short term chasing immediate returns, celebrating these modest wins while unknowingly sabotaging their long term potential.

What's truly ironic is that the very behaviors these programs reward—maximum leverage, gambling mentality, quick profits—are precisely what disqualify you from ever operating at real scale in institutional settings.

This cycle, while potentially lucrative short term (relative to zero, but completely meaningless in institutional contexts), trains a mindset that is the absolute antithesis of what works in professional trading.

You're not learning to trade—you're learning to gamble.

The funded account ecosystem has created a perverse incentive structure where blowing up accounts is just part of the process. But this approach guarantees you'll never develop the discipline required for meaningful wealth creation.

You must respect risk to stay in the game long enough for the bigger opportunities to materialize. The traders who build real wealth aren't the ones swinging for home runs every day—they're the ones who understand position sizing, volatility management, and the power of compound growth.

The ultimate opportunity in trading is far bigger than most realize. But you'll never see it if you're celebrating $10K days as if they're meaningful achievements rather than rounding errors at professional scale.

The truth is this: proper risk management isn't limiting your upside—it's the only thing that makes significant upside possible.

The path to meaningful returns requires playing an entirely different game than what the funded account model incentivizes. Full stop.

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

Unpopular opinion: 😂

All governments should track all their spending on the blockchain, an immutable public ledger.

It's called "public spending" for a reason.

[merlin @Lukenum]

@chrono_chartist 130K will be about 2YR MAx2 which I don't think this raging bull market will be that weak. Only time will tell.

[merlin @Lukenum]

Bitcoin 2-Year MAx3 is currently at ~$130K... It will be interesting to see how quickly $BTC can smash that number this cycle. Historically, it never misses this MAx3 level in the bull run.

[merlin @Lukenum]

@IndiaTales7 Great thread!… IF integrated them with today’s technology, many could be futuristic as well!

[merlin @Lukenum]

Cheers to those who were here last cycle and never left… The winter was pretty brutal and it makes this crypto summer extra special. Note to self: Don’t screw up and let greed blind you again.

[merlin @Lukenum]

@defi_karen I’m pretty sick of this kinda post. Where is your wallet address? Why not just drop your prompt? Please stop wasting people time.

[merlin @Lukenum]

@chrono_chartist Couldn’t agree more. Btw, just curious if you have decided which alt to ride for the next few months?

[フ ォ リ ス @follis_]

People always say that the next few months are "easy mode"

But I disagree

Arguably the hardest part of the cycle is coming

You will be up HUGE. Enough to sell and walk away with more money than you've ever had before

But if you hold just a little longer, you could turn your portfolio into true generational wealth . . on the other hand, sell too late and you'll round-trip EVERYTHING

Knowing that so few time the top each cycle, what do you do? Play it safe? Scale out? Front-run the market? Go for the home run? Retire your bloodline? Paper-hand your ticket to Valhalla?

4 year cycles — and in the end, the difference between exiting in ecstasy or agony can be a matter of days

Decisions decisions

[merlin @Lukenum]

@BlondeCryptoPro @LeonidasNFT “go to the moon” 🌕

[merlin @Lukenum]

@ZssBecker Ummm interesting but the term "clean & fair" sounds very familiar. Wait a minute... The other coin is "free & fair"... my bad

[merlin @Lukenum]

@gallixsee @crypt_starter 100% agree on this. btw, I saw your comments about untz report on Rickus's post... would you mind sharing where I can find it?

[$ME @MEFndn]

ME Foundation is excited to share the tokenomics for $ME.

This tokenomics post covers the following:
- The next phase era of innovation in crypto is all onchain. $ME has been adopted by Magic Eden, the top multi-chain, multi-asset onchain trading platform

- Magic Eden is the #1 BTC DEX, #1 NFT platform, and building a cross chain mobile-native trading decentralized app (dApp). Their vision for the future is to make digital ownership universal. To accomplish this goal, Magic Eden will be the entrypoint for all crypto users to go onchain and trade all assets on all chains in one platform

- $ME will accelerate the growth of onchain users by rewarding users with $ME for trading all assets on all chains, to be debuted via Magic Eden’s rewards program

- $ME holders have the ability to receive further rewards from staking, contribute to the $ME ecosystem, and have governance rights over key protocol development direction

[0xNobler @CryptoNobler]

I built an automated bot for trading meme coins.

In just a few days, the bot turned $500 into $75K:
$BARSIK → 115x
$🟥🟩 → 45x
$RIZO → 40x

It literally printed money from thin air, all without me lifting a finger.

Here's how I made it work and the FULL source code👇🧵

[merlin @Lukenum]

@CryptoNobler The sad true is that this kind of bots only works in a bull market when everyone is happily throwing money away for a hope to win a lottery. I would love to see its performance over a longer period of time.

[merlin @Lukenum]

@chrono_chartist Thanks for the reminder. I am going to remind myself of this everyday for the next 4 months 🙃