LWR’S Football Tips & Cheat Sheets

Betting help posted with research | Post daily on | Specialised in Cheat Sheets & hit rates | 18 + only

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📂 Liverpool v Man United Cheat Sheet

🎯 Hit Rates that have landed in the last five games:

Liverpool
▫️Diaz 1+ foul
▫️Gravenberch 1+ foul
▫️Mac Allister 1+ foul
▫️Salah 4+ shots
▫️Gakpo 1+ shot

Manchester United
▫️Mainoo 1+ foul
▫️Ugarte 1+ foul won
▫️Hojlund 1+ foul won
▫️Diallo 1+ foul won
▫️Diallo 1+ shot

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📂 Liverpool v Man United Cheat Sheet

🎯 Hit Rates that have landed in the last five games:

Liverpool
▫️Diaz 1+ foul
▫️Gravenberch 1+ foul
▫️Mac Allister 1+ foul
▫️Salah 4+ shots
▫️Gakpo 1+ shot

Manchester United
▫️Mainoo 1+ foul
▫️Ugarte 1+ foul won
▫️Hojlund 1+ foul won
▫️Diallo 1+ foul won
▫️Diallo 1+ shot

I will make a Bet Builder using the Cheat Sheet if I make it in time 👷

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@ValueBetSpotter Looks like a winner to me already 👀

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@ValueBetSpotter Can’t wait 😍

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Liverpool v Man United Bet Builder

🛑 Dominik Szoboszlai to Commit 1+ Fouls 🔄
📈 Odds: 1.33

Szoboszlai’s average of 1.67 fouls per 90 minutes tells you all you need to know and it’s a real surprise he’s been priced as generously as this to sin just once.

Across his 17 league appearances this season, Szoboszlai has committed at least one foul in 15, only failing to do so against Fulham and against Arsenal when he played just 28 minutes off the bench. To put that into perspective, those 15 games include 4 other substitute appearances summing under 2 hours of game time in which he’s committed 5 fouls, including at least 1 in each.

Bruno Fernandes will be his likely counterpart which is also significant given the United skipper averages 1.28 fouls drawn per 90.

🎯 Luis Diaz to have 1+ Shots on Target 🔄
📈 Odds: 1.30

Although Salah has justifiably taken the headlines this season, Luis Diaz has quietly had an exceptional season and has demonstrated a clinical killer instinct we perhaps hadn’t seen in previous seasons.

He’s averaged 1.44 shots on target per 90 minutes in the league this season, although has seemingly taken this up a notch in recent times, testing the keeper 7 times across his last 2 matches and beating him on 3 occasions.

Man United are averaging comfortably over 4 shots on target conceded per game and having lost 5 of their last 6, conceding 2+ goals in each loss, Liverpool’s forwards will be licking their lips at the prospect of the chances which could await them.

🛑 Lisandro Martinez to Commit 1+ Fouls 🔄
📈 Odds: 1.44

Lisandro Martinez has been a consistent contender in the fouls department, sinning at least once in 11 of his 16 league appearances.

There seems to be a correlation between the likelihood of him fouling, and the difficulty of the game. The 5 matches in which he avoided sinning came against Southampton, Brentford, West Ham, Leicester, and Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, he sinned once against both Liverpool and City, twice against Tottenham and Newcastle, and 3 times against Chelsea. Interestingly, he was also cautioned in 4 of those 5 games.

It’s not a stretch to suggest that a large portion of this comes from issues with temperament rather than skill, which could be problematic in a game as heated as this.

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Premier League Hit Rates🎯

Bournemouth v Everton
Saturday 15:00

✅Antoine Semenyo to have 1+ Shots on Target

@ 1.4

Antoine Semenyo has registered a shot on target in his last 5 Premier League games for Bournemouth.

He has averaged 1.09 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League this season, an average which increases to 1.60 per 90 over his last five appearances.

This selection has only failed to land once in his last nine fixtures for the Cherries.

Southampton v Brentford
Saturday 15:00

✅Bryan Mbeumo to have 1+ Shots on Target

@ 1.53

Bryan Mbeumo has had at least one shot on target in 4 of his last 5 Premier League matches.

Across his last five appearances for the Bees, he has averaged 1.03 shots on target per 90. Southampton have conceded 30 shots on target in their previous five matches.

Aston Villa v Leicester
Saturday 15:00

✅Boubakary Soumare to Commit 1+ Fouls

@ 1.25

Boubakary Soumare has committed a foul in his last 5 Premier League games.

He has committed 1.27 fouls per 90 for the Foxes this season, fouling three or more times on two occasions.

Aston Villa side leads the league in terms of fouls drawn per 90 (12.63).

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