Michael Spence

Marine ecologist/statistician. We are the Boro!

[Dominic Grainger @dpdgrainger1]

New paper🎉🎉

We introduce FInCH, a new continuous-time method for inference on individual animal movement.

FInCH is scale-invariant, models behavioural changes between observation times, and allows for inference in either a Bayesian or frequentist setting. 🐾

[Methods in Ecology and Evolution @MethodsEcolEvol]

Head over to the Methods Blog to read the story behind our new research article 'Avoiding confusion: Modelling image identification surveys with classification errors' 👇

https://t.co/cahpH6gfjZ

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

When AI classifies an object, is it correct? It depends on the accuracy of your algorithm and the prevelance of the object. Interestingly (well to me), we demonstrate there is some information about the accuracy of an algorithm without a confusion matrix https://t.co/3DYCwblJmJ

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

@LowestoftTownCC Love it!!

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

@CefasGovUK Great talk Michael!

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

Legend!! #ICESASC24

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

@PyHernvann This'd never happen at WGSAM

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

@sdnjohnson @ICES_ASC Blim is also calculated by ICES on a stock by stock basis. For category 1 stocks, which we look at, ICES determine Blim by looking at the SRR in the assessment and deciding which of 6 types each stock. They have rules for each of the 6 types. See https://t.co/oOOJNtSxHA

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

As changing stock sizes will cause changes to predator prey dynamics we ask:

Can we simultaneously adopt the precautionary approach for multiple stocks in the North Sea?

I'll be presenting this next Monday at @ICES_ASC

https://t.co/nEiuo7zi4N

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

@sdnjohnson @ICES_ASC ICES define the precautionary approach by looking at the long-term SSB. If the probability that the long-term SSB of an individual stock is below its Blim is less than 0.05 then the precautionary approach is being followed.

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

@luke_3llis @AnglianCom @LowestoftAnd Sorry pal, we have found an opponent now

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

Due to the opposition calling off Normanston Magpies of @LowestoftAnd are looking for a team to play a friendly with this Saturday, 1pm kick off at Barnards meadow. Pitch and ref are booked
@AnglianCom

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

@MolluscMatt 😬😬😬

[Matteo Fasiolo @fasiolo1985]

A new 3.5-year PhD opportunity on Generalised Additive Models (GAMs) for energy modeling in Bristol @BristolUniMaths deadline for application is 31st Jan, for details see: https://t.co/U8WefawopI

[Chris Griffiths @christophgriff5]

Very happy to announce that I have received a 3-year ECR @FormasForsk grant to continue our work on the age structure of exploited fish stocks @_SLU @SLU_aqua. The grant builds directly on our ABImsy work recently published in @FishFishJournal - https://t.co/YJASPowAbJ 🐟🎣💻

[Eloise Bray @EloiseABray]

Make sure to sign up to the RSC if you're a probability/statistics/machine learning PGR! It's gonna be a great conference!

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

@FergusJChadwick Could🚶‍♂️

[Luca Borger @lucaborger]

Group photo at #NCSE2023!

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

@Reader1981 Good luck pal 👊

[Michael Spence @MASpence86]

@ByronHouseFC Nice! Well done lads!