The Treasury is draining its checking account at the Fed. The Treasury General Account (TGA) had $450B in it at then end of February. As of April 6th, it had $140B. That’s $310B injected back into the banking system and the money supply. Why?…1) because the debt limit is approaching and 2) The Fed is running at a loss and is no longer paying the Treasury back the interest it earns on its bond holdings.
The Treasury is draining its checking account at the Fed. The Treasury General Account (TGA) had $450B in it at then end of February. As of April 6th, it had $140B. That’s $310B injected back into the banking system and the money supply. Why?…1) because the debt limit is approaching and 2) The Fed is running at a loss and is no longer paying the Treasury back the interest it earns on its bond holdings.
"We love to complain about wherever we are," says Warren Buffett. "But the world has changed so much for the better in terms of how well off people are compared to any other time in history...It's man's nature to be dissatisfied and politics does stir that up."
Life insurance is to replace an economic loss resulting from the death of an income earner.
For almost everyone, that's the sole purpose of life insurance.
It's not retirement savings, education funding, or some sort of weird bank...none of that.
Cold, hard truth.
"I wish we could get rid of the politeness and the Fed could say to Congress, 'It would be helpful if you didn't pay people not to work,' and Congress says, 'It would be helpful if you didn't pay banks not to lend,'" says @judyshel. "We need to get back to a productive economy."
"You cannot re-wire supply chains overnight. It takes a long time. For those companies, it means supply uncertainty," says @elerianm on protests in China. "The change in globalizations means inflation will not get back to 2% quickly."
A true economist had laid out the clearest explanation of the disaster our Federal Government has created, thank you @wesbury for being a voice of reason and truth
"The Fed rhetoric of higher for longer would guarantee a recession. This moves up the pivot. All we need is for them to recognize what prices on the ground are doing," says Jeremy Siegel. "They're probably going to go 50 basis points but that should be the absolute pause."
"This is a very, very bad thing. The country did not need a currency that was good for kidnappers," says Charles Munger. "They don't care whether it's child prostitution or #Bitcoin. If it’s hot, they want to be in on it. It's partly fraud and partly delusion."
Since 2008, the Fed and it’s Abundant Reserve monetary policy have held interest rates artificially low. Kind of the same as saying government can control the climate. It is now totally backfiring.The 10-yr Treasury yields 4.27% today. A rip your face off bear market.
"I'm not a big proponent of government engagement in socio-economic problems that could be better solved by business," says @RLJOfficial. "Accountability seldom exists in the world of government spending. The government has to step in and put a brake on wasteful spending."
Well, data from today, ADP employment +208,000 and ISM Services 56.7 (well above 50) in September do not show a recession is here at all. We are forecasting +3.0% growth for real GDP in Q3.
"We have regimes around the world that make some really poor decisions, but we're still going to do business with them." says Former Energy Secretary Rick Perry. "Anybody that's doing business with the Chinese, I caution them to be very very careful."
"It disturbs me that everyone's on board with the same speaking points," says Wharton Business Professor Jeremy Siegel. "You would hope there'd be more voices within the Fed saying 'it's time to slow down' and that really disappoints me."
Yes, M2 YOY growth has slowed sharply. However, the Treasury General Account has risen by $480 billion this year. When people write checks to buy bonds or pay taxes, and the Treasury puts that in the TGA, it subtracts from M2. Count me as an M2-slowdown denier.
because the Fed thinks they can "thread the needle" here without too much fall out while hoping people are not paying attention to their actions @wesbury
Why is this the first time I have seen Jerome Powell talk about the Fed’s switch from a “scarce” to an “abundant” excess reserve monetary policy? It is a massive, historic, unprecedented shift, and is barely talked about! I want to ask questions. https://t.co/CRhosQIOCX
According to the latest report from the National Low Income Housing Coalition, there isn’t a single state in America where a minimum-wage worker can afford the average two-bedroom apartment. https://t.co/NkO67Obkvr